Training heavy rainfall in the early morning hours of the 10th produced 2 to 4 inches of rainfall from Eddyville to Owensboro, Kentucky. Some of the highest hourly rainfall rates exceeded 1 inch an hour in Hopkins County, with 3 hour totals up to 3 inches, leading to multiple reports of water over roadways.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Training heavy rainfall in the early morning hours of the 10th produced 2 to 4 inches of rainfall from Eddyville to Owensboro, Kentucky. Some of the highest hourly rainfall rates exceeded 1 inch an hour in Hopkins County, with 3 hour totals up to 3 inches, leading to multiple reports of water over roadways.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 10, 5:50 AM CST, 20 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 550 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Showers and possibly a few thunderstorms will increase early this morning and continue through much of the day, mainly over the southeast half of the Quad State. Additional rainfall of 0.5-1.0" is expected, while a narrow zone of 2-3" will be possible, mainly over west Kentucky. - Temperatures will remain mild, generally at or above normal, through next weekend. - The forecast is trending wetter for Wednesday and Wednesday night. && .UPDATE... Issued at 550 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 Visibilities over southeast Missouri have improved as winds have increased, so the Dense Fog Advisory will be allowed to expire at 6 AM. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 223 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 A 40kt low-level jet is fueling an increase in coverage of showers early this morning. The intensity is likely to increase through daybreak, as well, with much of the 00Z and later guidance indicating a relatively narrow band of 3+" of rainfall running northeast across west Kentucky through midday Sunday. Instability remains very limited, but there may be enough elevated instability to generate a few lightning strikes. Will maintain a slight chance of thunderstorms through the day. The showers should be limited to far southern portions of west Kentucky by this afternoon, but there will be the possibility of another narrow band of heavy rainfall there. All of the precipitation should be southeast of the region by 00Z this evening. If that heavy rainfall develops as forecast through the day, some isolated flooding issues will be possible, mainly of the typical low-lying and poorly draining areas. The increase in showers early this morning should mostly stay to the east of the Dense Fog Advisory. Will leave the Advisory as is for now, and will monitor for either a cancellation or expansion based on ground truth observations and radar trends. High pressure aloft will gradually build over the Quad State early this week, but surface high pressure will also build, resulting in temperatures dropping to near normal levels Tuesday and Tuesday night. Otherwise, temperatures will be above normal next week and through next weekend. The 00Z guidance has trended stronger and more amplified with a storm system that will briefly flatten the upper ridge over the Quad State late Wednesday through Thursday. However, there remains quite a spread in the intensity and resultant QPF for the region. The system is generally deep enough to draw some Gulf moisture up the Mississippi Valley which could lead to some substantial QPF for the Quad State, but there is no consensus for that just yet. For now chance PoPs are forecast for the entire region as the system passes, but QPF is well under a quarter inch. The upper flow will become more amplified on the larger-scale for the end of the week and next weekend, with an upper ridge located over Quad State through at least Saturday. There is some chance that the ridge will be flattened enough to allow energy to bring some more showers to the region by next Sunday or Sunday night. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/... Issued at 550 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 Showers will continue to stream over KOWB for much of the day, while KPAH and KEVV will get a final round this morning. LIFR ceilings will be the primary aviation impact and will take much of the morning to improve. VFR conditions are expected at all sites other than KOWB at some point this afternoon. KOWB will have IFR to MVFR ceilings through the day and will not become VFR until this evening. Southwest winds may gust 15-20kts at times this afternoon. Winds will become northwest at 5kts or less this evening, but that should be sufficient to prevent fog formation overnight. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && UPDATE...DRS DISCUSSION...DRS AVIATION...DRS
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 235 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-111100- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 235 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 /335 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Areas of dense fog are expected over the Ozark Foothills of southeast Missouri through sunrise. Refer to the Dense Fog Advisory for details. Widespread showers and possibly a few thunderstorms may produce a narrow zone of very heavy rainfall, in excess of 2 inches, over west Kentucky from early this morning through much of the day. Some isolated flooding issues may develop, generally in the typical low-lying and poorly draining areas. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. DRS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Water was reported over KY-1069 near Tucker Schoolhouse Rd. Roughly 3 to 4 inches of rain fell in this area, with the heaviest rainfall rates between 0400-0600 CST.
Water was reported over KY-112 near Sugar Creek Rd. Roughly 3 to 4 inches of rain fell in this area, with the heaviest rainfall rates between 0400-0600 CST.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, November 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1223281, 1223369.