Late May heavy rainfall resulted in waters rising on the Green River to moderate flood at Paradise and minor flood at Calhoun. Drier conditions afterwards allowed for a quick decline in river levels early June, with flooding ending June 2nd.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Late May heavy rainfall resulted in waters rising on the Green River to moderate flood at Paradise and minor flood at Calhoun. Drier conditions afterwards allowed for a quick decline in river levels early June, with flooding ending June 2nd.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 10:14 PM CST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1114 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - An unsettled weather pattern is forecast to remain in place this weekend and next week, resulting in on and off chances of showers and storms. - Temperatures are expected to remain near to a bit above average. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1114 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Updated aviation discussion for 06z TAFs. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 200 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Weak mid level impulses will move northeast across the area through tonight, as a shortwave trof over the Plains approaches from the west. The shortwave and associated surface low pressure system will move across the area Saturday, resulting in a very high (greater than 80 percent chance) of rain and isolated storms later tonight through Saturday afternoon. On Saturday there is a marginal risk for severe storms per the Storm Prediction Center. Forecast parameters not overly favorable for severe convection, given weak overall lapse rates. There could be some downburst winds given the instability and forecast moist vertical profiles, but mostly non-severe with less than ideal differential theta-e. We should see PoPs on the decrease later Saturday through Sunday. However, we will leave some slight chances in given the unsettled look in a few of the models. It could end up mostly dry. Next week a consensus of model output has our flow transitioning from zonal to northwest as an upper low deepens while moving east along the U.S.-Canadian border. This pattern will support our continued chance of showers and storms along with slightly above average temperatures, as a series of upper level impulses move over our region interacting with a rather warm and unstable environment. The NBM captures this relatively well, so no real adjustments needed to its output for our forecast. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1114 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Cigs will continue to gradually thicken/lower through the overnight as showers are now increasing in coverage across the region. The other concern will be MVFR/IFR cigs that will spread east across all terminals through daybreak. Winds will be easterly between 5-10 kts. The most organized showers remain on track to move through during the morning and early afternoon hours on Saturday before turning more scattered late day. This is when MVFR and possibly brief IFR vsby reductions will be possible with heavier downpours combined with low cigs. Have included VCTS mention Saturday afternoon and evening as a few rumbles of thunder will become possible with increasing instability. Winds will veer more to the SE-S between 10-15 kts with gusts around 20 kts. Model guidance continues to show a very saturated boundary layer Saturday evening with winds turning light & variable. There is uncertainty in how quickly the low stratus cigs will scatter out as they will likely remain in place across a good portion of the region; however, KCGI/KPAH may return to VFR towards the end of the TAF period. If clearing were to occur quicker, fog would then be a concern, but confidence is very low as the more favorable conditions look to be just off to the west towards the end of the TAF period. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && UPDATE...DW DISCUSSION...CN AVIATION...DW
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 324 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-010830- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 324 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024 /424 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Thunderstorm chances return this afternoon through tonight. Severe weather is not anticipated; however, heavy downpours may lead to localized flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Daily afternoon thunderstorm chances will continue through next week, with Saturday having the highest chances. Heavy rain and lightning look to be the main hazards; however, a few stronger storms may develop Saturday afternoon and produce small hail and gusty winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Paducah KY
759 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0826 PM Tornado Grayville 38.25N 88.00W
05/26/2024 White IL NWS Storm Survey
Updates, previous tornado report from
Grayville. EF1 tornado, 110 mph maximum
winds/ 34.2 mile track for 33 minutes.
&&
JGGThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Moderate flooding briefly lingered into early June as water levels quickly decreased, with continued flooding of some low-lying agricultural areas on the Green River near Paradise.
Minor flooding lingered into early June, with continued flooding of some low-lying agricultural areas on the Green River near Calhoun.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1192067, 1192068.