Torrential rainfall, and training thunderstorms in otherwise widely scattered convection, resulted in an estimated daytime rainfall total of 4 to 7 inches in far southwestern Ballard County and northwestern Carlisle County in Kentucky, along with far eastern Mississippi County in Missouri. This included a mid-morning round of heavy rain, and a second round in the early afternoon.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Torrential rainfall, and training thunderstorms in otherwise widely scattered convection, resulted in an estimated daytime rainfall total of 4 to 7 inches in far southwestern Ballard County and northwestern Carlisle County in Kentucky, along with far eastern Mississippi County in Missouri. This included a mid-morning round of heavy rain, and a second round in the early afternoon. On the Kentucky side of the Mississippi River, flash flooding was reported in Wickliffe and Mayfield Creek overflowed. Precipitable water values were around 1.75 inches, while MLCAPE increased to 1000 J/kg for the afternoon.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 1, 11:45 AM CST, 45 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1245 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - An unsettled weather pattern is forecast to remain in place this weekend and next week, resulting in on and off chances of showers and storms. - Temperatures are expected to remain near to a bit above average. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024 |Updated the aviation section for the 18Z TAF issuance. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 135 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024 An upper level shortwave trof just to our west will move slowly northeast across the area today. Rain coverage will be best on through the morning hours, with scattered to numerous showers this afternoon and evening. Overall instability looks to be the best during the afternoon and early evening for some thunder activity. Overall, we have very little confidence there will be any severe storm activity (see SPC's marginal risk area for today). Maybe some precip loading and gusty downdraft winds with some of the stronger cells. Sunday through Sunday night should be quiet with weak high pressure in control. Next week a consensus of model output has our flow transitioning from zonal to northwest as an upper low deepens while moving east along the U.S.-Canadian border. This pattern will support our continued chance of showers and storms along with slightly above average temperatures, as a series of upper level impulses move over our region interacting with a rather warm and unstable environment. The NBM captures this relatively well, so no real adjustments needed to its output for our forecast. Thursday through Friday night may be mostly void of shower and storm activity per a model consensus. We cannot rule out some diurnal activity, so slight chance PoPs will remain during mainly the afternoon hours. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024 I Rain continues to move through the eastern half of the Quad State, with scattered shower development in the west. These showers will continue this afternoon and evening from west to east. Lightning activity will be fairly limited as sky cover remains BKN-OVC, limiting afternoon-evening convective potential. IFR to MVFR cigs with rain will briefly lift to VFR, then drop back down to MVFR-IFR overnight. Vsby drops accompany heavy rain and storms. If any partial clearing can occur tonight, some fog development is possible, but clearing potential is low, especially in the northeast. Winds out of the south today will trend lighter, becoming calm tonight, and remaining light tomorrow. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && UPDATE...ATL DISCUSSION...CN AVIATION...ATL
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 151 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-021000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 151 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024 /251 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight There is a chance for a few thunderstorms today through this evening. Isolated stronger storms, should they develop, will be capable of gusty winds this afternoon and early this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday There is a chance of thunderstorms starting Monday and continuing through much of the work week. Chances for storms will be highest Monday through Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 30 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:29 UTC.
1 flash flood, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Torrential rainfall during the day with radar estimated totals of 4 to 7 inches resulted in water flowing over roads in Wickliffe.
Portions of northern Carlisle County near Mayfield Creek flooded. Radar estimated rainfall during the day was 3 to 6 inches.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1193664, 1193666.