Guam, 2024

Drought in Guam, May 1 to 31, 2024

May 1 to 31, 2024 · NWS GUM · 6 events in 6 counties and zones

Greatest impacts from the drought created by the dry season and dry phase of the now waning El Ni o continued to be the greatest across islands near and north of 8N, especially across Yap State and the Mariana Islands.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GUM wrote it up.

Greatest impacts from the drought created by the dry season and dry phase of the now waning El Ni o continued to be the greatest across islands near and north of 8N, especially across Yap State and the Mariana Islands.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Guam wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 8:17 AM UTC, 5 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 8:17 AM UTC, 5 hours 43 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
617 PM ChST Tue Apr 30 2024

.Marianas Synopsis...
Satellite indicates scattered cumulus clouds and very isolated light
showers over the Mariana Islands this afternoon. Upstream, to our
east, the leading edge of a modest trade-wind surge and weak surface
trough has moved to about 15N148E, and is still moving westward.
Local airports report surface winds are gentle to moderate with
occasional fresh gusts. Combined seas nearby are 4 to 6 feet.

&&

.Discussion...
The surface trough to our east is causing patchy clouds and isolated
moderate showers. The leading edge is at about 148E, between 13N and
15N, and will arrive later tonight and likely trigger a few moderate
to briefly heavy showers late tonight and early Wednesday for the
local forecast zones. Otherwise, a relatively dry, gentle to moderate
trade-wind flow will continue across the Mariana Islands.

&&

.Marine/Surf...
Gentle to moderate trade winds will continue this week. Combined
seas of 4 to 6 feet tonight will slowly subside to 3 to 5 feet by
Friday. There will be a moderate risk of rip currents along east
facing reefs for the next several days, with a low risk expected
along all other reefs. Surf along east facing reefs will subside a
foot or two by Friday.

&&

.Fire Weather...
The KBDI is at 292 today, still in the low category. A few showers
can be expected at times in the coming days, especially over the
southern mountains, but wetting rains are unlikely. The KBDI will
likely rise steadily and conditions will continue to dry out.

&&

.Eastern Micronesia...
Satellite analysis during the day showed trade-wind convergence south
and east of the Marshalls generating scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Both deterministic and ensemble model members show
trade-wind convergence with weak embedded troughs shifting northward
and over Majuro, Kosrae, and Pohnpei generating scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms through at least this weekend.

Combined seas of 4 to 6 feet are expected at Kosrae and Pohnpei
through the weekend. For Majuro, combined seas of 6 to 8 feet are
expected through at least Saturday before falling one to two feet.

Mainly moderate trades with some gusts to fresh are expected through
Thursday, then becoming gentle to moderate at Majuro, Kosrae, and
Pohnpei.

&&

.Western Micronesia...
A weak surface trough moving over Chuuk State has been generating
scattered showers during the day. The aforementioned weak surface
trough is expected to move westward and impinge into the Near
Equatorial Trough(NET) bringing chances for scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms to Palau around Thursday. Model analysis
during the day shows that the NET will lift northward sometime over
the next couple of days before retreating again this weekend. The
northward movement of the trough and impinging weak surface troughs
within the trade-wind flow will likely bring scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms to Palau and perhaps Yap Proper on Wednesday
into Thursday. Afterwards, Yap Proper will be too far north of the
deeper moisture and stronger convergence with only isolated showers
expected through at least the weekend.

Combined seas of 4 to 6 feet are expected through the weekend at
Chuuk, Yap, and Palau. Gentle to moderate winds are expected at Yap
and Palau through this weekend. For Chuuk, mainly moderate trades
with some gusts to fresh are expected through Thursday, then
weakening to gentle to moderate through the weekend.

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...None.
MP...None.
Marianas Waters...None.
&&

Marianas: Simpson
Micronesia: Kelly

Event by event

6 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Belau

When
May 1, 12:00 AM GST to May 14, 12:30 PM GST
Where
Belau forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager

Palau had improved from abnormally dry to to no drought or dryness at the end of April, but remained under Stage 1 of the National Drought Action Plan since March 26th. On May 14 at 1030LST (1230ChST), the National Emergency Management Office (NEMO) of the Republic of Palau issued a updated message stating the Stage 1 Declaration was rescinded due to water levels rising and remaining above the 85% threshold, with long-term weather outlooks showing a decreasing risk of long-term dryness and drought.

Drought, Micronesia

When
May 1, 12:00 AM GST to May 31, 11:59 PM GST
Where
Micronesia forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

Yap State remains the hardest hit by short-term and long-term drought in the FSM. Yap Proper, Ulithi and nearby islands were in exceptional (D4) drought at the start of May. These islands remained in D4 until May 28th, when they improved slightly to extreme (D3) drought in response to heavy showers associated with Invest 93W around May 22nd, with Yap Proper reporting 0.93 inches and Ulithi reporting 2.70 inches, before this disturbance would develop further into 01W (Ewiniar) in the Philippine Seas. Woleai, an island in eastern Yap State, entered May in severe (D2) drought, and would fluctuate D2 and moderate (D1) drought as passing trade-wind disturbances, including 93W, brought periods of increased rainfall to Woleai and nearby islands. Woleai then remained in D2 from May 21st to the end of May as a dry pattern established itself over Yap State near the end of May. Reports from Yap State mentioned minor improvements in water levels in water catchments and other water storage systems, with 3 of the 4 water authorities on Yap Proper, reporting water supplies starting to rise after experiencing months of water levels dropping. However, short-term and long-term drought impacts continued to strain water and agricultural resources, with residents continuing to be urged to ration fresh water usage.

Drought, Marshall Islands

When
May 1, 12:00 AM GST to May 28, 12:00 AM GST
Where
Marshall Islands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

The Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI) south of 9N continued to see improving drought condition through May with most islands improving from moderate (D1) drought to abnormally dry (D0) or no drought or dryness. This resulted from the strong winter subtropical ridge starting to weaken and lift north, allowing trade-wind disturbance that have been mainly near the equator to lift northward into the Marshall Islands. This pattern also started to bring drought relief to Wotje and nearby islands in the northern RMI, was in exceptional (D4) drought at the end of April. On May 7th, Wotje had improved to extreme (D3) drought, and this trend continued as Wotje further improved to severe (D2) drought on May 21st, and finally improved to moderate (D1) drought on May 28th. For the month of May, 6.94 inches of rain fell at Wotje, up from the 3.32 inches recorded in April, and the 0.00 inches reported in March.

Drought, Guam

When
May 1, 12:00 AM GST to May 31, 11:59 PM GST
Where
Guam forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

Guam held steady at severe (D2) drought as most weeks failed to meet the 1 inch weekly minimum requirements to meet water needs and Guam ended the month with 3.82 inches at the weather service office. Vegetation started to yellow again, after briefly greening at the beginning of the month from the heavy rain fall back on April 24th.

Drought, Saipan

When
May 1, 12:00 AM GST to May 31, 11:59 PM GST
Where
Saipan forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

Saipan and Tinian remained steady in extreme (D3) drought for the month of May as both islands did not meet 1 inch weekly minimum rainfall requirements to meet water needs. Saipan International airport ended May with 1.26 inches of rain, while Tinian airport ended the month with 0.85 inches. Vegetation remained yellowed and dry across the island.

Drought, Rota

When
May 1, 12:00 AM GST to May 31, 11:59 PM GST
Where
Rota forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

After holding steady at moderate (D1) drought since February, Rota degraded to severe (D2) drought and further degraded to extreme drought (D3) on May 14th. Rota by May 7th was about 50 percent of normal rainfall for the calendar year to date. At the end of the May, 2.84 inches of rain was reported at the Rota Airport for the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Guam in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Guam, May 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1175560, 1180757, 1180758, 1180759, 1180760, 1180761.