Diurnal instability with sea breeze and upper-level short wave trough forcing triggered strong to severe storms with locally heavy across SE GA in the afternoon and evening.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Diurnal instability with sea breeze and upper-level short wave trough forcing triggered strong to severe storms with locally heavy across SE GA in the afternoon and evening.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 29, 2:58 PM EST, 4 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 358 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024 ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE... .NEAR TERM... Issued at 357 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf Showers and storms are slowly making their way into the western edges of SE GA and NE FL. Activity will begin to spread from west to east, with isolated strong thunderstorms possible for locations west of US-301 in SE GA and NE FL from the late afternoon into the evening hours, with most activity clearing out before midnight. Main hazards for any storms that do develop include strong wind gusts of 40-50 mph, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall. Max temperatures will top out in the low 90s. By the evening, overnight lows will get down to the low 70s for inland locations and the mid to upper 70s across coastal locations. && .SHORT TERM... (Tuesday through Wednesday night) Issued at 357 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024 Tuesday, a shortwave mid/upper level trough will move from the southern Appalachians into the SE US coast while a upper ridge retreats west from the NW Gulf of Mexico to the TX coast with west to northwest flow aloft over our area. This will limit the inland progression of the Atlantic seabreeze to near US 17 with only scattered coverage of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s inland with upper 80s to near 90 degrees at the beaches. Lows Tuesday night will be in the mid 70s inland and the upper 70s along the coast. Wednesday, mid/upper level troughing along the SE US coast will begin to slowly lift away into the western Atlantic while ridging aloft to the west near the ArkLaTex region builds back to the east. This will help bring highs into the mid 90s inland and around 90 at the beaches. Light southeasterly winds will affect the coast and I-95 to US 17 corridor in the afternoon behind the Atlantic seabreeze with more southerly winds farther inland. With an uptick in moisture levels, numerous coverage of showers and T'storms expected over inland NE FL with more scattered coverage over SE GA. Lows Wednesday night will be in the mid 70s inland and the upper 70s along the coast. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through next Monday) Issued at 357 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024 Bermuda high pressure ridging will build across the FL peninsula with more south to southwesterly flow aloft Thursday and Friday with ridging aloft extending east from the ArkLatex region. Above normal moisture will supply numerous coverage of showers and storms focused from highway 301 to US17 corridor as the Gulf seabreeze merges with the Atlantic seabreeze from strong diurnal heating. Temperatures will be above normal in the mid 90s inland with some isolated upper 90s possible and lower 90s along the coast allowing heat index values to surpass heat advisory thresholds of 108 degrees Thursday through Saturday. The National Hurricane Center maintains a 50 percent chance of development of a tropical system developing between the SW Atlantic and the Bahamas. There is considerable uncertainty at this time as the ECMWF model has an organized weak low pressure system moving from the Bahamas northward towards the Carolinas Sunday into Monday while the GFS has little in the way of organization. As a reminder, be sure to check your hurricane plans and ensure any emergency supplies are stocked and monitor upcoming forecasts for updates. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 357 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024 Some showers and storms will develop over the western edges of the area, with GNV seeing the highest chances of having some impacts this afternoon. VCTS for the rest of TAF sites as can not rule out some pop-up storms along the sea breeze. Most activity will clear before midnight. Otherwise, VFR conditions will continue for most of the TAF period outside of convective activity. && .MARINE... Issued at 357 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024 A stalled front over the area will clear by tonight. Easterly winds will transition to become light and mostly southerly. Seas at 2-4 ft as wave periods range in from 7-9 seconds. By midweek, the southerly flow will continue as the Bermuda ridge axis sets up to the south over the Bahamas, allowing for slightly stronger south- southeast winds over the local waters. Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents at all area beaches through midweek. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 72 93 74 94 / 40 40 10 40 SSI 76 90 77 92 / 20 30 10 30 JAX 74 93 75 95 / 20 40 20 50 SGJ 75 91 76 93 / 10 30 10 40 GNV 72 93 73 92 / 20 50 30 60 OCF 74 92 74 93 / 30 60 30 80 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. &&
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
337 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
FLZ021-220-292015-
Western Hamilton FL-Suwannee FL-
337 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN SUWANNEE AND
SOUTHWESTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...
At 337 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Dowling Park, or 7 miles southwest of Suwannee River State Park,
moving east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Live Oak, Suwannee River State Park, Dowling Park, Mcalpin, Newburn,
and Houston.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3026 8324 3029 8323 3031 8321 3035 8321
3035 8319 3038 8319 3039 8317 3041 8318
3042 8322 3045 8322 3036 8285 3007 8297
3018 8325 3023 8324 3023 8325 3025 8324
3025 8325 3026 8325
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 286DEG 26KT 3033 8325
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
23Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
645 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
GAZ132-133-292315-
Coffee GA-Jeff Davis GA-
645 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL COFFEE AND
SOUTHWESTERN JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...
At 644 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles west of Jacksonville, or 12 miles northeast of Fitzgerald,
moving southeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Broxton, Snipesville, and Pridgen.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3184 8268 3157 8288 3165 8301 3166 8300
3178 8300 3179 8298 3178 8292 3179 8290
3178 8289 3179 8288 3178 8287 3182 8284
3181 8282 3183 8279 3185 8279 3186 8277
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 293DEG 25KT 3185 8312
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
23Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
700 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
GAZ132>136-151-250-292330-
Pierce GA-Bacon GA-Appling GA-Coffee GA-Jeff Davis GA-Wayne GA-
Northern Ware GA-
700 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN COFFEE...NORTHERN
PIERCE...NORTH CENTRAL WARE...BACON...NORTHWESTERN WAYNE...
SOUTHEASTERN JEFF DAVIS AND APPLING COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...
At 700 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles east of Plant Hatch to near
Snipesville. Movement was south at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Baxley, Hazlehurst, Alma, Graham, Surrency, Nicholls, Odum, Denton,
New Lacy, and Pine Grove.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3193 8226 3192 8225 3190 8219 3190 8214
3191 8213 3189 8214 3189 8212 3190 8211
3187 8211 3186 8212 3184 8207 3161 8192
3137 8265 3182 8273 3194 8230 3193 8230
3194 8229
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 340DEG 26KT 3190 8222 3175 8269
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
23Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
726 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
GAZ132>136-151-250-300015-
Pierce GA-Bacon GA-Appling GA-Coffee GA-Jeff Davis GA-Wayne GA-
Northern Ware GA-
726 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN COFFEE...NORTHERN
PIERCE...NORTH CENTRAL WARE...BACON...WAYNE...JEFF DAVIS AND APPLING
COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM EDT...
At 726 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles northeast of Surrency to near Pridgen.
Movement was southeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Jesup, Baxley, Alma, Broxton, Graham, Surrency, Gardi, Nicholls,
Screven, and Odum.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3186 8212 3182 8202 3179 8199 3179 8196
3167 8185 3159 8171 3152 8165 3136 8263
3172 8300 3178 8300 3178 8287 3182 8281
3191 8213
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 308DEG 35KT 3184 8214 3176 8287
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
23Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
755 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
GAZ132-149-163-250-300045-
Atkinson GA-Clinch GA-Coffee GA-Northern Ware GA-
755 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN COFFEE...ATKINSON...
NORTHWESTERN WARE AND NORTH CENTRAL CLINCH COUNTIES THROUGH 845 PM
EDT...
At 754 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Ambrose, moving southeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Douglas, Pearson, Broxton, Ambrose, Cogdell, Millwood, and Axson.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3147 8312 3151 8308 3156 8306 3161 8306
3161 8305 3163 8303 3164 8301 3166 8301
3166 8300 3171 8299 3133 8252 3109 8279
3147 8315
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 311DEG 28KT 3160 8302
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
23The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 107 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:03 UTC.
1 flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A road was | washed our near Toliver Schell Road. Time | estimated from radar.
A tree was reported down along Donnie Harper | Road as reported by 911 call center.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1194248, 1194249.