California, 2024

Wildfire in California, July 29 to 31, 2024

July 29 to 31, 2024 · NWS SGX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Additional wildfires started in late July and the largest was the Nixon fire.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$100,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SGX wrote it up.

Additional wildfires started in late July and the largest was the Nixon fire.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 7:33 PM PST, 4 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 7:33 PM PST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Diego CA
833 PM PDT Sun Jul 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A trough of low pressure over most of the West Coast will bring
fair and cooler weather, along with breezy west winds in the
mountains and deserts through Tuesday. A warming trend begins
Wednesday and continues through the weekend. Monsoon moisture
returns for Friday through the weekend with a chance of
thunderstorms over portions of the mountains and deserts each
afternoon. Occasional low clouds and fog will continue near the
coast, mainly during the nights and mornings.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

.Evening Update...
Breezy west winds will continue through the mountain passes
through this evening, diminishing overnight. Winds are peaking
at this hour with gusts near 35-50 MPH near the San Gorgonio Pass
and 25-35 MPH elsewhere. Low clouds off the coast this evening
will slowly cover southern areas of the coast, with a lesser
chance into parts of Orange County. The temperature forecast
remains on track to bring near to slightly below average
temperatures through the next couple of days thanks to a weak
trough to our north.

Model ensemble clusters depict a ridge expanding over the southern
Rockies and Southwest, leading to warmer weather with increasing
monsoonal moisture and humidity. ECMWF/GEFS probabilities for
PWAT values over 1 inch increase by late in the week for mountains
and deserts. This combined with subtle increases in instability
will lead to chances for daily showers and storms across the
higher terrain. Chances could increase by the weekend into next
week for deserts and adjacent valleys as well, but confidence on
this factor remains low at this time.

.Previous Discussion (135 PM Sunday)...
Our break from oppressive summer heat will continue through
Tuesday, with max temperatures a few degrees below normal across
the region. For that we can thank a weak upper trough over the
Northwest that has sagged southward. The marine layer will persist
as is, with similar cloud levels and cloud/fog coverage, and
timing relegated to very late nights and early mornings. The
onshore flow that strengthened yesterday will continue through
Tuesday to produce strong and gusty westerly winds through parts
of the mountains and deserts during the afternoons and nights
through Tuesday night. Strongest wind gusts should peak through
the San Gorgonio pass at around 45-50 mph.

The cooler period will end; the upper ridge now over Texas will
oscillate back into the interior West, eventually over the Great
Basin, where it seems to have found a happy summer home. That
should reduce our marine layer and coastal cloud cover. It will
also warm up all areas, especially inland. With the ridge axis
north of our latitude, the flow underneath will become southeast,
opening the door for monsoon moisture to return to SoCal. A weak
inverted trough is featured by most guidance to move up from Baja
and rotate through SoCal Thursday and Friday, a feature
surprisingly consistent among runs of model guidance. We'll
continue to watch for an elevated convection episode, producing
showers and thunderstorms anywhere in SoCal. But for now, that
inverted trough doesn't look sufficiently moist and unstable for
that. Right now we've got slight chances of afternoon showers and
thunderstorms in the mountains and high desert starting Friday.

The moisture increases next weekend for greater chances, basically
in the mountains during the afternoons...at least for now. The
warming trend will boost inland max temps a little above average
starting Wednesday, then up to about 5-10 degrees above average by
Saturday. That means around 115 in the low desert and around 105
in the Inland Empire and High Desert. Right on schedule for the
dog days of summer.

&&

.AVIATION...
280300Z...Coast/Valleys...Low clouds will be slow to develop tonight
with local BKN stratus near the beaches 04Z-07Z Mon becoming areas
of BKN/OVC CIGs 07Z-17Z Mon. Similar bases to last night expected,
600-1100 ft MSL and tops to 1200 ft MSL within 10-20 miles of the
coast. Timing of CIGs at coastal airports is low confidence,
especially at KSNA where low clouds again may not occur at all
through Mon morning. Areas of VIS 0-3 miles in BR/FG will occur over
higher coastal terrain, including the coastal mesas of San Diego
County, 09Z-16Z Mon with higher terrain locally obscured. Low clouds
scattering out of coastal sites 15-17Z Mon, remaining offshore
through late Mon evening.

Mountains/Deserts...Clear skies with unrestricted VIS will prevail
through Mon evening.

&&

.MARINE...
No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Friday.

&&

.SKYWARN...
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are
encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...None.

&&

PUBLIC...APR/MM
AVIATION/MARINE...CSP

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Riverside County Mountains

When
July 29, 12:00 AM PST to July 31, 12:00 AM PST
Where
Riverside County Mountains forecast zone
Property damage
$100,000
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
33.744, -115.994 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Nixon wildfire started around 4 pm PDT on July 29. The fire burned up to 4000 acres and was just south of State Route 379 and east of Aguanga. At the onset the humidity was 14 percent with gusts to 22 mph.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in California, July 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1206981.