Heavy Rain, Duval
- When
- September 11, 11:00 PM EST to September 12, 12:55 PM EST
- Where
- Duval County, (Jax)jacksnville Int
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 30.500, -81.680
The KJAX ASOS measured 4.50 inches of daily rainfall thus far.
Converging onshore flow under high moisture, upper diffluence and an approaching upper level trough continued to bring rounds of heavy, flooding rainfall.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Converging onshore flow under high moisture, upper diffluence and an approaching upper level trough continued to bring rounds of heavy, flooding rainfall.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 11, 8:53 PM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
953 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 936 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Occasional showers will continue to stream onshore at times
through the rest of the night, mainly within about 20 to 30 miles
of the coast where a Flood Watch remains in effect. The
combination of rainfall runoff and the persistent onshore flow
also maintains criteria for a Coastal Flood Advisory for the St.
Johns River Basin from Jacksonville southward, which remains in
effect through at least high tide of Thursday. Temps bottom out
into the low to mid 70s inland, and upper 70s along the coast and
east of the St. Johns River.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
The frontal boundary that has been stalled, will become more of a
warm front extending across north central NE FL Thursday morning
from remains of Francine. As Francine remnants lifts well to
northwest of the area during the Thursday into Thursday night, this
boundary will slowly lift north to near the FL/GA line. The boundary
will then remain stalled, with high pressure to the northeast. An
area of low pressure will develop just to the east of the area over
the Atlantic waters along this boundary.
Above normal precipitation chances will continue this period,
especially during the day, due to diurnal heating contribution.
Highs will trend below normal Thursday, then near normal Friday.
Lows will be above normal both Thursday night and Friday night.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
The frontal boundary will continue to linger over northern FL
through the weekend as low continues to the east northeast. This
pattern will continue the higher than normal precipitation chances
through at least the weekend.
There is more uncertainty heading into the first half of next week,
as the models are trending toward further developing the low into
what could become a tropical system, and moving it into the
Carolinas. At this point will trend toward scattered precipitation.
If the low does become tropical, and move inland far enough to the
north, drier air may wrap in behind it across the local area.
Temperatures will trend near to a little above normal this period.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 719 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
Periods of SHRA and MVFR ceilings will overall be the norm
through the rest of tonight as well as into the day on Thursday at
area terminals. IFR ceilings at times towards sunrise are also
expected for interior areas (VQQ and GNV), and cannot fully rule
out the possibility at the rest of Duval terminals. SHRA chances
continue Thursday for all, as well as breezy conditions towards
coastal sites. TSRA potential is overall pretty low, and only
confident enough to include VCTS at GNV for Thursday afternoon at
this time.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 214 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
A frontal boundary will be over area through the weekend, with high
pressure to the northeast. An area of low pressure is expected to
develop over area waters on the front through the weekend, which may
strengthen as it moves to the north of area.
Rip Currents: High Risk through Thursday night
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 72 82 72 84 / 50 80 30 80
SSI 76 82 76 84 / 50 60 40 70
JAX 75 84 75 86 / 60 80 40 80
SGJ 77 85 77 87 / 60 80 30 70
GNV 72 86 73 86 / 40 80 20 80
OCF 74 88 74 89 / 40 70 10 80
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for FLZ024-033-038-124-125-
133-138-225-325-425.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for FLZ033-038-
132-137-325.
High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ124-125-
133-138.
GA...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for GAZ153-154-165-166.
High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for GAZ154-166.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ450-452-454-
474.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Friday for AMZ470-472.
&&Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
941 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 SSW Arlington 30.31N 81.62W
09/11/2024 Duval FL Broadcast Media
Large Tree uprooted and fell on car.
Saturated ground due to continuous rainfall
from the past couple days is the likely
cause. Time estimated by radar.
&&
ACPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1025 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0940 PM Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 WNW Mayport 30.39N 81.44W
09/11/2024 M41 MPH AMZ452 FL Mesonet
Mesonet station 1483W Fswn Jfrd Station 40.
&&
LEVThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 heavy rain, 2 flood, 2 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The KJAX ASOS measured 4.50 inches of daily rainfall thus far.
The AWOS station KFHB in Fernandina Beach measured 5.6 inches of rainfall in 12 hours.
A public weather station in Fernandina Beach | measured 5.79 inches of rain over the past | 12 hours. Several surrounding gauges | measured 5+ inches of rain in a similar time | frame.
A public weather station in Yulee measured | 5.36 inches of rain in about 4 hours. | Several other gauges nearby reported between | 4-5 inches of rain in the same period.
At 2:16 pm, broadcast media reported flood waters entering Browns Creek Fish Camp during high tide resulting in the business closing for the day. The high tides combined with heavy rainfall to create total water flooding issues. At 2:55 pm, emergency management reported flooding along Lem Turner at the intersection of Terrell Road and Gerald Road. At 3:30 pm, broadcast media reported yards and roads were flooded around Yulee. At 6:49 pm, street flooding was reported along Sawpit Road.
At 3:47 pm, emergency management reported that a vehicle stuck due to flood waters near | Bainebridge Dr near Rachel Creek Drive. Multiple roads flooded in the Bainebridge neighborhood. The I-95 off ramp to Pecan Park Rd was flooded.
Multiple trees and branches were blown down due to gusty onshore winds and showers and saturated grounds along Hecksher Drive. The cost of damage was estimated.
Trees were blown down near East 22nd Street and Thelma Street and along Brick Road near West 27th Street. The cost of damage was estimated.
Street flooding was reported along Julington Creek Drive.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, September 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1214466, 1214470, 1214469, 1214467, 1214478, 1214485, 1214490, 1214482.