Florida, 2024Rip Currents in Florida, May 14 to 15, 2024
May 14 to 15, 2024 · NWS MOB · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
Strong rip currents developed at area beaches and resulted a death of man in his mid 70s in Destin. Another person died at Langdon Beach in the Gulf Islands National Seashore.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 2
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Strong rip currents developed at area beaches and resulted a death of man in his mid 70s in Destin. Another person died at Langdon Beach in the Gulf Islands National Seashore.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 14, 3:03 PM CST, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 14, 3:03 PM CST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
403 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday night)
Issued at 317 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
An upper trof oriented near the lower/mid Mississippi River valley
progresses slowly across the eastern states to just off the East
Coast through Wednesday night. An associated surface low currently
located near the Mississippi/Ohio River confluence progresses to
near the Mid-Atlantic Coast, and in the process brings a weak cold
front through the forecast area tonight. Ahead of the approaching
frontal boundary, a modest zone of low level convergence oriented
roughly along the I-65 corridor will combine with the frontal
boundary to produce isolated to potentially scattered convective
development during the remainder of the afternoon, with the best
potential mainly along the I-65 corridor. The convection diminishes
this evening with dry conditions then following for the overnight
hours through Wednesday night. MLCAPE values for the rest of this
afternoon into the early evening hours look to be mostly 1500-2500
J/kg, which along with deep layer shear values near 45 knots could
allow for a few storms to possibly become severe. The best potential
for this to occur is over much of southwest and south central
Alabama, including the western Florida panhandle, where a Marginal
Risk of severe storms exists. Lows tonight range from the lower 60s
inland to near 70 at the coast. Highs on Wednesday will be in the
mid to upper 80s, then lows Wednesday night range from around 60
well inland to the upper 60s at the immediate coast. A high risk of
rip currents continues through Wednesday, then a moderate risk
follows for Wednesday night. /29
&&
.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 317 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
The pattern will become active again after a brief break on
Wednesday and Wednesday night. An elongated mid and upper level
low pressure system currently positioned over the Pacific to the
west of southern California will be our next system to potentially
bring high impact weather along the northern Gulf Coast. This
feature is expected to quickly translate eastward across the
southern tier of the U.S. over the next few days and be located
over the Southern Plains by Friday. This is supported by the
latest ensemble model suites. Much of the model guidance is also
suggesting that a lead southern stream shortwave should eject
across our forecast area out ahead of the main approaching
mid/upper level trough. As this occurs, there is a fairly robust
signal in the ensemble probabilistic guidance that there will be
a surge of deep tropical moisture northward across the north
central Gulf Coast associated with a lifting warm front with the
air mass destabilizing rapidly along and south of the front by
Thursday night. In addition, the lifting warm front should be
aided by a strengthening low level jet which should be spreading
across the warm front. As low level winds become enhanced in
association with the lead shortwave which interacts with
increasing instability, storms are expected to form initially
along and north of the boundary. A few of these storms may become
severe but should be initially elevated in nature. With time
towards Friday morning, storms may become increasingly surface
based. This would only help to increase the overall severe weather
potential into Friday morning.
There may tend to be a break in convective activity later Friday
before the primary forcing associated with the main mid/upper
level trough overspreads the region Friday night into Saturday
morning. This should support another round of storms, some
potentially severe, during this time period. There will be some
uncertainty with respect to the overall instability available for
newly developing convection overnight Friday night into Saturday
morning. This will hinge on mesoscale processes associated with
the Thursday night into Friday morning convection. The question,
as was the case with our latest past event, is whether the first
round of storms will disrupt the instability that will be
available for the Friday night into Saturday morning convective
system. These details will not be known until we get closer to the
event and begin to see the eventual evolution of storms associated
with the lead shortwave. Either way, conditions appear to be
increasingly favorable for some severe weather potential during
the end of this week with details to still be worked out over the
coming forecast cycles.
Storm coverage may continue into Saturday as the upper trough
remain over the area and a potential boundary drapes across the
area. This again will be dependent upon the evolution of the
convection Friday night into Saturday morning and whether or not
the air mass can recover. Another reinforcing northern stream
shortwave trough digs into the region on Sunday and pushes a cold
front across the region. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may
develop in association with the cold frontal passage on Sunday.
Upper level ridging should become re-established across the Gulf
Coast states by early next week and bring a return to dry weather
along with increasingly hot temperatures. /JLH
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 317 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Will have a Small Craft Advisory continue until 5 pm for the 20-60
nm portion to allow for southwesterly winds to subside a bit more.
No concerns are otherwise expected through Thursday night. An
onshore flow gradually strengthens Friday into Friday night then
diminishes Saturday into Saturday night and becomes west to
northwest. Another Small Craft Advisory will likely become
necessary from late Friday night into Saturday morning. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 65 88 64 87 69 85 71 86 / 10 0 0 10 40 70 40 40
Pensacola 70 87 67 86 73 84 74 84 / 20 0 0 10 30 60 50 50
Destin 72 85 70 84 74 83 75 83 / 20 0 0 10 20 60 50 50
Evergreen 63 87 61 89 66 85 67 85 / 20 0 0 0 40 80 60 50
Waynesboro 61 86 61 88 65 82 66 85 / 10 0 0 10 50 80 40 40
Camden 62 85 60 87 66 81 66 83 / 20 0 0 0 50 80 60 40
Crestview 65 88 62 90 66 87 70 86 / 20 0 0 0 20 70 50 50
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ670-
675.
&&
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mobRip Current, Okaloosa Coastal
- When
- May 14, 5:00 PM CST
- Where
- Okaloosa Coastal forecast zone
- Deaths
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 30.665, -86.592 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A man in his mid 70s visiting from out of state was caught in a rip current. This occurred at 1006 East Highway 98 near Jade East Towers in Destin.
Rip Current, Escambia Coastal
- When
- May 15, 3:40 PM CST
- Where
- Escambia Coastal forecast zone
- Deaths
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 30.614, -87.341 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
One person drowned around 440pm. This occurred at Langdon Beach, inside the Ft. Pickens gate in the Gulf Islands National Seashore.
- Rip Current
- A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Rip Currents in Puerto Rico, May 14 to 19, 20242 deaths · 2 injured · 2 events
- Wildfire in Colorado, May 14 to 31, 2024$3.0 million · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Florida, May 14, 2024$750,000 · 61 kt wind · 4 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Tennessee, May 14, 2024$435,000 · EF0 · 15 events
- Tornadoes in South Carolina, May 14, 2024$202,000 · EF1 · 3 events
- Tornado and Flash Flood in Indiana, May 14, 2024$76,000 · EF1 · 5 events
- Flash Flood and Heavy Rain in Virginia, May 14 to 15, 202444 events
- Tornadoes in North Carolina, May 14, 2024$42,000 · EF0 · 6 events
- Flash Flood and Flooding in Kentucky, May 14, 2024$27,000 · 1 in hail · 5 events
- Hail in Nebraska, May 14, 20241.75 in hail · 12 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Georgia, May 14, 2024$12,000 · 50 kt wind · 7 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, May 14, 202452 kt wind · 8 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1171000, 1171003.