Arkansas, 2024Flooding in Arkansas, March 15 to 24, 2024
March 15 to 24, 2024 · NWS LZK · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
Heavy rain in mid-March brought a period of river flooding to central and southern Arkansas where minor flood stage was recorded on the Fourche LaFave, Saline, and Ouachita River basins.
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- Tropical storms and surge
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Heavy rain in mid-March brought a period of river flooding to central and southern Arkansas where minor flood stage was recorded on the Fourche LaFave, Saline, and Ouachita River basins.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 15, 9:41 AM CST, 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 15, 9:41 AM CST, 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1041 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1040 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
Updated near term forecasts to reflect diminishing precipitation
shield in southern sections, and to add drizzle across most
areas.
55
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
The remnants of a linear convective complex were still moving Ewrd
acrs Srn to S/Ern AR, and extending N/Ewrd into the Mid-South lower
MS River Valley, per composite reflectivity imgry. Additional
elevated, but scattered thunderstorm development was noted to the
wrn periphery of the convective complex, evident of ongoing
WAA/isentropic ascent asctd w/ the passing sfc low, most recently
analyzed over the Cntrl ARKLATEX region. An attendant, but
conditional threat for strong to briefly severe storms wl persist w/
this elevated convective activity over the next few hours.
Precip/thunderstorm activity is expected to continue acrs the Srn
half of the FA thru the remainder of the mrng hours, w/ precip
tapering off from Cntrl AR towards S/Ern AR thru the later mrng
hours. Thru the day, a cdfrnt... currently located over the Ozark
Plateau/SWrn MO... asctd w/ advancing Great Plains high pressure, wl
be moving thru the FA, aiding to cutoff precip usher in drier condns
w/ breezy Nrly winds and slightly cooler daytime condns following.
Sat, the aforementioned sfc high pressure wl keep local condns
settled, w/ light Nrly winds and near-normal to slightly above-
normal afternoon temps. Incrsg rain chances are expected to resume
later on Sat night acrs portions of Srn AR invof a lingering
stationary bndry, though QPF amounts remain meager for now.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
An upper low pressure system will be over the Desert Southwest to
begin the long term period with an upper low entering the Great
Lakes. The southwest upper low will remain stationary through
Tuesday as the Great Lakes upper low affects the northeast part of
the country. Once the southwest upper low begins moving east on
Wednesday, southwest flow aloft will return to Arkansas.
A cold front will move through the state Sunday morning and will
bring a slight chance of showers to southern Arkansas. Canadian high
pressure slowly drops southward and builds over the state Monday
through Wednesday. Sunday night through Wednesday will be dry. A
cold front will bring a chance for showers and isolated
thunderstorms Wednesday night and a better chance on Thursday as the
upper low moves through the area.
Cooler air returns to the area with the Canadian high pressure. Near
freezing temperatures are expected Monday morning and below freezing
temperatures will be possible in the north Tuesday morning. Below
normal temperatures are expected Monday then a warming trend
begins Tuesday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 639 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
MVFR to IFR condns were noted acrs the FA Fri mrng, w/ strongest
thunderstorm activity noted over far Srn AR. Precip continues to
extend acrs most of the state, w/ embedded thunder as far north as
Cntrl terminals, so have kept mentions of thunder for most
terminals thru Fri mrng and early aftn. IFR CIGs are expected to
prevail thru most of the PD, w/ CIGs improving from N/W to Cntrl
AR later Fri aftn/evng as a cdfrnt ushers in drier air. Breezy
N/Wrly winds wl ensue today, w/ sustained winds of 10-15 kts
possible. Acrs S/Ern AR, IFR condns w/ thunder is lkly to continue
thru the early aftn ahead of the advancing cdfrnt.
/72/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 65 43 69 50 / 50 0 0 10
Camden AR 71 50 71 53 / 90 10 10 40
Harrison AR 61 41 67 46 / 10 0 0 10
Hot Springs AR 69 48 71 52 / 60 10 0 30
Little Rock AR 69 48 71 55 / 80 10 0 20
Monticello AR 71 51 70 55 / 100 10 10 30
Mount Ida AR 69 47 72 51 / 40 10 0 30
Mountain Home AR 63 41 68 47 / 10 0 0 0
Newport AR 65 44 67 51 / 60 0 0 10
Pine Bluff AR 69 48 68 53 / 100 10 0 30
Russellville AR 68 46 70 51 / 20 0 0 10
Searcy AR 67 43 68 50 / 70 0 0 10
Stuttgart AR 68 48 67 54 / 90 0 0 20
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...55
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 15, 3:08 AM CST, 7 hours 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
408 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-160915-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
408 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms will persist across portions of southern
Arkansas through the pre-dawn hours on Friday morning. Locally
heavy rainfall will continue to support the threat for flash
flooding across southern Arkansas. Additionally, a few strong to
briefly severe storms will be possible through the later morning
hours today, before precipitation activity departs to the
southeast.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
At or below freezing temperatures will be possible across portions
of northern Arkansas Monday and Tuesday mornings.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
72/51
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 15, 7:42 AM CST, 2 hours 40 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
842 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0631 PM Hail Gravelly 34.88N 93.69W
03/14/2024 E3.00 inch Yell AR Public
&&
55Flood, Saline
- When
- March 15, 10:22 AM CST to 9:05 PM CST
- Where
- Saline County, 0.79 mi WSW of Benton Saline Co Arp to 0.61 mi W of Benton Saline Co Arp
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 34.567, -92.613
Heavy rain brought minor flooding to Benton on the Saline River on March 15.
Flood, Calhoun
- When
- March 16, 9:12 AM CST to March 24, 1:15 AM CST
- Where
- Calhoun County, 6.43 mi S of Artesian to 6.21 mi S of Artesian
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 33.308, -92.488
Heavy rain brought minor flooding to Thatcher Lock and Dam on the Ouachita River between the dates of March 16 until March 24.
Flood, Perry
- When
- March 16, 8:18 PM CST to March 17, 8:40 AM CST
- Where
- Perry County, 1.93 mi SW of Houston to 1.82 mi SW of Houston
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 35.011, -92.725
Heavy rain brought minor flooding to Houston along the Fourche LaFave River between the dates of March 16 and March 17.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, March 15 to 17, 2024$1.3 million · 1.75 in hail · 3 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Mississippi, March 15, 2024$151,000 · EF1 · 11 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Alabama, March 15, 2024$164,000 · EF0 · 33 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, March 15 to 17, 2024$60,000 · 2.75 in hail · 34 events
- Damaging Winds in Louisiana, March 15, 2024$26,000 · 52 kt wind · 10 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Georgia, March 15, 2024$20,000 · 1.75 in hail · 4 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, March 15, 202454 kt wind · 15 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Alabama, March 15, 20241.1 in hail · 11 events
- Heat in Washington, March 15 to 16, 202410 events
- Flash Flooding in Arkansas, March 15, 20247 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, March 15, 20246 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, March 15, 20246 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1163855, 1163542, 1163527.