Arizona, 2024

Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in Arizona, June 25, 2024

June 25, 2024 · NWS TWC · 2 events in 1 county or zone

A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms occurred primarily in southern Cochise County between Bisbee and Douglas and produced areas of flash flooding and a severe wind gust.

Where it happened

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  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms occurred primarily in southern Cochise County between Bisbee and Douglas and produced areas of flash flooding and a severe wind gust.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 25, 1:47 PM MST, 6 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 1:47 PM MST, 6 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
147 PM MST Tue Jun 25 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

Southeast Arizona will continue to see enough moisture for a daily
chance of thunderstorms into next week. Some storms will generate
strong winds and locally heavy rain. Temperatures will heat up a
few degrees by the middle of the week as high pressure builds
overhead. Looking into July, the pattern is favoring active
weather as additional moisture will likely move into the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Skies have seen more clearing this afternoon across southeastern
Arizona in the wake of an exiting mesoscale convective vortex.
While some associated subsidence and delayed insolation should
cause convection to be more isolated today, ample precipitable
water and surface dew points exceeding 60 degrees will allow for a
few stronger thunderstorms. Though deep moisture through the
atmospheric column should diminish the strong outflow threat
across much of the area, drier mid-level air in eastern areas of
the state will allow for higher DCAPE values with a marginally
higher strong wind gust potential. Otherwise, locally heavy
rainfall rates with a slight chance of a strong wind gust
potential under wet microbursts will be the main threats (along
with lightning) with any isolated thunderstorms this afternoon.
Additional convection later this evening can't be ruled out as
outflows out of Sonora and northwest Chihuahua move across the
International Border late.

Going forward, the upper level high will shift west over the next
few days and become more centered over southeastern Arizona. This
should bring temperatures back up a few degrees but below
excessive levels. Mid-level subsidence and the shift in the
moisture trajectory should bring overall thunderstorm chances down
a bit each day, but with adequate surface heating and moderate
atmospheric moisture isolated to scattered convection will be
possible. Ensemble probabilities back off on widespread
precipitation potential through the work week, then reintroduce
stronger probabilities by early next week as the upper high shifts
back east.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 27/00Z.

Isolated-scattered -TSRA across KOLS-KDUG, with very isolated
activity possible further north through KTUS this afternoon and
evening. Additional activity possible at KOLS-KDUG through 26/08Z
as thunderstorms move in from the south. Brief MVFR conditions
possible with thunderstorms. Winds generally remain below 10 kts
through the forecast period, except for gusty outflow winds from
storms. KSAD area may see a few winds gust up to 25 kts tomorrow
afternoon. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Relatively deep moisture will keep RH values on the higher side
into next week, along with daily chances for thunderstorms.
Moisture is expected to be deep enough for some storms to generate
locally heavy rain. Winds should generally remain below 15 mph
each afternoon, though occasional gusts to 20 mph are possible.
Stronger erratic outflows with some thunderstorms.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Public...Edwards
Aviation...Edwards
Fire Weather....Edwards

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 106 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:39 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Cochise

When
June 25, 8:40 PM MST
Where
Cochise County, 3.63 mi ESE of Paul Spur
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
31.370, -109.690

Mesonet station at Cochise College airport recorded a wind gust of 58 mph.

Flash Flood, Cochise

When
June 25, 9:15 PM MST to 11:30 PM MST
Where
Cochise County, 3.9 mi WSW of Double Abode to 3.77 mi SW of (Dug)bisbee Douglas
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
31.443, -109.758

Heavy rain, estimated at 2 to 3 inches caused flash flooding along Central Highway north of Highway 80.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, June 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1177220, 1177219.