Arizona, 2024Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in Arizona, August 8, 2024
August 8, 2024 · NWS TWC · 3 events in 1 county or zone
An area of strong to severe thunderstorms moved through the Tucson area resulting in wind damage and flash flooding.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $21,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
An area of strong to severe thunderstorms moved through the Tucson area resulting in wind damage and flash flooding.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 8, 1:47 PM MST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 8, 1:47 PM MST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
147 PM MST Thu Aug 8 2024
.SYNOPSIS...Scattered showers and thunderstorms each day into this
weekend with the exception of Saturday which could see reduced
coverage. Storms will have the potential for heavy rainfall and
strong wind gusts. Temperatures slightly below normal today then
warm up to above normal levels Friday through the weekend into
early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...Storms are beginning to pop up over the higher
terrain as of 1:30 PM this afternoon over the Sky Islands. There
is still some debris clouds mainly over Western Pima County,
Tohono O'odham Nation, and Northeastern Graham County. The
activity should remain in the higher elevations over the next
couple of hours before making their way into the valley floors
later this afternoon and evening. The thunderstorm ingredients are
either in place or beginning to shape up with MLCAPE being in the
1000-1500 J/kg range over most of Southeast Arizona, where the
only exceptions are where the remnants of the debris clouds are
located with some CIN being there due to lack of surface heating.
The PWs are ranging from 1.00"-1.75" with the higher values areas
Tucson westward. Areas with the best shear are areas north of the
forecast area, however there is some weak directional shear with
the surface being from the NW and the overall upper flow from the
SE, so there could be some potential for sustained updrafts. Since
we are still in that moister environment, DCAPE is in the 700-900
J/kg range, decreasing the overall severe wind threat, but is
still possible. Aiding in longer lived updrafts is the semi-
favorable placement of the upper level low that is currently
located over the Gulf of California making some upper level
diffluence available as well. Interestingly, the RAP model is
showing some areas of 1-3 in the Microburst Composite, so that is
something of note that stronger storms are possible today. Similar
to yesterday there is very light steering flow of 5-10 kts so
thunderstorms will be slow moving with possible accumulations
between 1"-2" and can be higher in localized areas. The main
threats with thunderstorms this afternoon and evening are heavy
rainfall leading to possible flash flooding, some gusty winds
(30-40 mph), and frequent lightning. Overnight some CAMs are still
hanging onto some thunderstorm activity through about 2 AM, so
that is something to keep in mind tonight.
Looking ahead to tomorrow, the overall activity is very much
dependent on if/how long thunderstorm activity sticks around in
the overnight hours to determine how active it is on Friday
afternoon and evening. Conditions are still favorable for
thunderstorm activity with moisture sticking around for much of
the forecast area minus areas east of Tucson, daytime heating,
and lift still available. The HREF CAMs are highlighting
southeastern Pinal, Pima, and Santa Cruz counties but not as much
in coverage as today. The weekend continues to look to decrease
in activity slightly with each day as the moisture begins to cycle
and limit much of the coverage to areas mainly west of Tucson.
After this weekend, there is currently no hints at any extra
dynamics or moisture surge in the longer range models to increase
confidence on any specific higher impact monsoon days as of now.
Overall high temperatures are slightly above normal (3-6 degrees)
though next weekend. Stay tuned to forecast as it changes.
&&
.AVIATION...Valid through 10/00Z.
SCT-BKN clouds at 6k-9k ft AGL and BKN-OVC clouds AOA 15k ft AGL
thru this evening then gradual clearing overnight into the
morning. SCT SHRA/TSRA thru 09/06Z, slowly diminishing
thereafter with possible ISOLD SHRA/TSRA thru 09/09Z. MVFR
conditions expected near TSRA, with VSBY restrictions, wind gusts
to 40+ kts, heavy rain and mountain obscurations. Outside of
thunderstorm wind gusts, wind speeds will be less than 12 kts,
favoring an SWLY through NWLY direction in the afternoon and early
evening hours and variable in direction at other times. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Isolated to scattered mainly afternoon and evening
showers and thunderstorms are expected through the upcoming
weekend with a possible down day Saturday. There is a chance for
some overnight activity tonight. Min RH values will be in the
25-40 percent range in the valleys through Thursday (and higher in
the mountains), decreasing to 15-30 percent Friday through the
weekend for the upper Gila Valley and Sulfur Springs Valley.
Outside of thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot winds will
generally be 15 mph or less, with afternoon/early evening gusts to
20-25 mph and light winds overnight.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
Tetrault
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Thunderstorm Wind, Pima
- When
- August 8, 4:10 PM MST to 4:35 PM MST
- Where
- Pima County, 0.06 mi N of Emery Park to 4.09 mi S of Jaynes
- Measured
- 61 kt (70 mph) measured gust
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 32.131, -110.950
ASOS station at Tucson International Airport recorded a wind gust of 70 mph. This same thunderstorm resulted in a power pole down near Speedway and Greasewood Rd.
Thunderstorm Wind, Pima
- When
- August 8, 4:14 PM MST to 4:22 PM MST
- Where
- Pima County, 3.66 mi NNE of (Dma)davis Monthan A
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 32.217, -110.851
Reports of a large palo verde tree down near Broadway and Wilmont. Also, reports of a mesquite tree down near Kolb Rd and 22nd St.
Flash Flood, Pima
- When
- August 8, 6:45 PM MST to 7:29 PM MST
- Where
- Pima County, 2.82 mi S of Drexel Hgts to 4.03 mi SSW of Drexel Hgts
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 32.140, -111.028
Camino de la Tierra closed just south of Tumbleweed Dr due to flash flooding.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Wind in New Mexico, August 8 to 9, 20241 death · 1 injured · $105,000 · 66 kt wind · 9 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in North Carolina, August 8 to 9, 20241 death · $99,000 · 13 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Utah, August 8 to 11, 20241 death · 63 kt wind · 24 events
- Flash Flood in Arizona, August 8 to 9, 20241 death · $1,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding in Ohio, August 8 to 9, 2024$3.0 million · 21 events
- Tornadoes in Virginia, August 8, 2024$525,000 · EF1 · 3 events
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Virginia, August 8, 20242 injured · $211,000 · EF1 · 3 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Virginia, August 8 to 10, 2024$91,000 · 45 events
- Flash Flooding and Strong Wind in North Carolina, August 8, 2024$378,000 · 12 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Delaware, August 8, 2024$50,000 · EF1 · 5 events
- Flash Flooding and Strong Wind in South Carolina, August 8, 2024$96,000 · 5 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Wind in Pennsylvania, August 8 to 9, 2024$50,000 · 50 kt wind · 5 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1211481, 1211471, 1211488.