Washington, 2023Wildfire in Washington, July 29 to 31, 2023
July 29 to 31, 2023 · NWS OTX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
The wildfire started on July 29 from unknown cause.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $8.0 million
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The wildfire started on July 29 from unknown cause.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Spokane, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 29, 1:52 PM PST, 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 1:52 PM PST, 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
252 PM PDT Sat Jul 29 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
The region is expected to experience ongoing warm and dry weather
for the majority of the time. There is a slight possibility of
thunderstorms occurring from Saturday night through Sunday,
although any thunderstorms that do form are likely to be dry and
produce minimal rainfall. Additionally, the weekend will bring
breezy winds that could contribute to the spread of fires. Looking
ahead, the warm and dry conditions are expected to continue
throughout the upcoming week.
&&
Tonight through Sunday: Satellite imagery this afternoon reveals a
tightly wound low pressure system spinning just off the coast of
Vancouver Island. The center of the low will remain in place for the
next 48 hours or so with a weak cold front slowly push across
Washington. The front is currently draped across northwest
Washington at 1:00 PM this afternoon and is progged to shift into
the Cascades overnight. Then the front looks to shift more into
eastern Washington on Sunday as a shortwave disturbance rotates
around the low and gives it a further eastward nudge.
We'll be monitoring the potential for nocturnal convection
tonight with models showing modest amounts of mid level
instability increasing over the Inland Northwest overnight into
Sunday morning. Earlier this morning we saw a little bit of
altocumulus castellanus (ACCAS) drift across the region with an
area of weak instability at mid levels. Most unstable CAPEs will
increase a bit more for tonight, but there is still the question
of if it will be enough. The NAM analyzed around 100-200 J/kg of
MUCAPE with the ACCAS earlier this morning. For tonight, the 12Z
NAM is indicating around 100-200 J/kg additional CAPE for
tonight. We should also see a bit more lift synoptically with the
front bit further east. The 12Z GFS, NAM, and ECMWF all indicate
an enhancement of high level Total Totals of 30- 38 Celsius. The
values vary depending on the model. Unsurprisingly, the NAM is on
the higher end of this range and indicates the better instability
a bit further west more so over eastern Washington from the basin
to the Okanogan Highlands and points eastward. Whereas the GFS and
ECMWF, has the axis of better higher level total totals more so
over southeast Washington into the central to northern Idaho
Panhandle. Signals are there for the potential of nocturnal
thunderstorms tonight, but placement is uncertain anywhere east of
a line from Omak to Moses Lake and coverage is likely to be
isolated at best. Any thunderstorms that do develop will likely
have little in the way of rainfall, and will be capable of
starting new fires.
The incoming front will tighten the pressure gradient across the
region as well, and in particular across the Cascade Mountains.
Breezy west to southwest winds of 10-20 mph is expected for the
afternoon hours on Sunday. Wind gusts of up to 25-30 mph is expected
on the higher benches around Chelan and Wenatchee and on the
Waterville Plateau. Dry and breezy conditions will increase the risk
for fire spread for any new or ongoing fires.
Sunday night through Monday night: The flow aloft turns more
westerly behind tomorrow's frontal passage. Less moisture will
decrease any chance for seeing showers, or thunderstorms for that
matter. Skies will be clear and temperatures a bit cooler both
Sunday into Monday. Highs both Sunday and Monday will be in the
upper 80s to low 90s, which is right around normal for late July
considering we are in the climatologically hottest part of the year.
/SVH
Tuesday through Saturday: A ridge pattern will be in place over the
region through Thursday as a Low positions itself off the coast. It
will bring a dry, warming trend. Probabilities of relative
humidities less than 10% are near 50%. Chance for 100 degree day
probabilities have pulled back to less than 10% for most locations
across the Inland Northwest. The region is still expected to see
widespread 90 degrees plus. Ensembles continues to have the Low
pull in the southern monsoonal moisture by the end of the week.
Timing differences make the Thursday through Saturday confidence,
on arrival of moisture, low. They continue to keep the bulk of
precip to the East over Montana. Thunder chances have increased
over the Idaho Panhandle during the afternoon periods. It will be
something to continue to monitor. Highs will dip a few degrees
lower from Wednesday highs but still be warm. Lows will be in the
60s. /JDC
&&
.AVIATION...
00Z TAFs: VFR conditions will prevail. Gusty winds near 30 mph
will continue from KOMK to KEAT through the afternoon. Increasing
chance of thunderstorms in the Idaho Panhandle will late this
evening that could contain gusty and erratic winds. Winds will
calm overnight before another round expected late morning and
afternoon on Sunday. /JDC
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane 60 87 55 87 53 90 / 20 20 0 0 0 0
Coeur d'Alene 58 87 55 87 53 89 / 20 20 0 0 0 0
Pullman 53 84 50 83 48 87 / 20 10 0 0 0 0
Lewiston 66 93 62 93 61 96 / 20 10 0 0 0 0
Colville 52 88 46 87 45 89 / 20 20 0 0 0 0
Sandpoint 56 87 51 86 48 88 / 20 20 0 0 0 0
Kellogg 62 85 60 84 58 87 / 20 20 0 0 0 0
Moses Lake 57 89 52 88 53 91 / 10 0 0 0 0 0
Wenatchee 63 87 58 88 60 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
Omak 60 91 56 90 56 92 / 10 10 0 0 0 0
&&
.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&
Wildfire, Okanogan Valley
- When
- July 29, 2:00 PM PST to July 31, 11:59 PM PST
- Where
- Okanogan Valley forecast zone
- Property damage
- $8.0 million
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
- Coordinates
- 48.143, -119.716 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Unknown cause started the wildfire. It burned 16428 acres of grassland, brush, and timber. It prompted level 3 evacuations along SR-97 from Oroville to the Canadian Border. Three structures were lost.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 29, 20231 death · $26 million · 78 kt wind · 28 events
- Damaging Winds in Kentucky, July 29, 20231 death · $77,000 · 56 kt wind · 8 events
- Damaging Winds in Maryland, July 29, 2023$27 million · 74 kt wind · 37 events
- Damaging Winds in District of Columbia, July 29, 20232 injured · $25 million · 73 kt wind · 2 events
- Heat in Nevada, July 29, 20231 death · 1 event
- Rip Current in Indiana, July 29, 20231 death · 1 event
- Rip Current in Wisconsin, July 29, 20231 death · 1 event
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Nebraska, July 29, 2023$907,000 · EF1 · 15 events
- Damaging Winds in Illinois, July 29, 2023$433,000 · 65 kt wind · 14 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, July 29, 202361 kt wind · 90 events
- Damaging Winds in Ohio, July 29, 2023$140,000 · 50 kt wind · 31 events
- Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 29, 2023$95,000 · 60 kt wind · 34 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1127087.