The drought intensified across much of west central Texas during the month of September and eased up a little toward the end of the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 20 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
The drought intensified across much of west central Texas during the month of September and eased up a little toward the end of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 11:13 PM CST, 47 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1213 AM CDT Fri Sep 1 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday) Issued at 228 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 Very quiet weather continues through Friday. Upper level ridging will remain in control resulting in hot and dry conditions. Lows this morning dipped down into the lower to mid 60s across much of the Concho Valley, northern Edwards Plateau, and northwestern Hill Country. With clear skies and light winds tonight expect similar temperatures to dip back down into the 60s. Highs tomorrow will be in the upper 90s to lower 100s under mostly sunny skies. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Thursday) Issued at 248 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 Expect hot and dry conditions to continue through the upcoming holiday weekend. The ridge aloft from New Mexico into the central Plains will be eroded during the weekend. This will occur as an upper trough develops over the western CONUS, and a weak upper low moves from near the Texas/Louisiana border toward north-central Texas. Mostly clear skies are expected over our area Saturday through Monday, with above normal temperatures. Daily highs will be mostly 100-103 degrees across much of our area. With the forecast strength of the 850mb thermal ridge, will have to monitor for the possibility of temperatures being a little hotter than this, and for the potential need to re-issue Heat Advisories for some of our area. As the western CONUS trough progresses east early next week, the aforementioned Texas low will open into a trough and lift northeast into eastern Oklahoma/Arkansas. Temperatures should be a few degrees lower by Wednesday and Thursday, but will still be above normal. The GFS and ECMWF differ with the forecast details in the Wednesday/ Thursday time frame. While both models redevelop an upper high over northern Mexico into southern New Mexico and southeastern Arizona, the GFS shows a possibility of an embedded disturbance entering our area, on the eastern periphery of the high. In addition, the GFS tries to bring the trailing portion of of a cold front south toward the Red River. This may lead to a low chance for showers and thunderstorms in parts of our area. The ECMWF shifts the high a little farther east, and with the associated subsidence, suggests a continuation of dry conditions for our area. At this time, going with the blended model consensus which keeps rain chances minimal in our area. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1213 AM CDT Fri Sep 1 2023 VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours. Light winds overnight should become southerly in the morning, then shift easterly in the afternoon, but remain at or below 10KT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 100 70 100 71 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 101 70 100 71 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 101 69 100 71 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 100 70 100 69 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 102 71 102 72 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 97 71 97 70 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 99 70 99 71 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...42 LONG TERM....19 AVIATION...SK
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service San Angelo TX 222 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-011930- Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho- Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford- Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble- Mason- 222 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Dry and hotter conditions are expected for the rest of this week into the first part of next week. This will result in elevated fire weather conditions, primarily during the afternoon and evening hours each day. Daily highs will be at or above 100 degrees across much of the area Friday through Monday. This will bring an increased potential for heat-related illnesses. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
20 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Shackelford County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Nolan County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Taylor County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Callahan County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Sterling County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Coke County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Runnels County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Coleman County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Brown County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Irion County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Tom Green County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Concho County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across McCulloch County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme/exceptional drought conditions across San Saba County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Crockett County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Schleicher County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Sutton County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Menard County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme/exceptional drought conditions across Mason County during the month of September.
The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme/exceptional drought conditions across Kimble County during the month of September.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1138957, 1138959, 1138960, 1138961, 1138962, 1138965, 1138967, 1138968, 1138970, 1138971, 1138972, 1138973, 1138975, 1138976, 1139588, 1139589, 1139590, 1139591, 1139592, 1139593.