A cluster of thunderstorms developed in eastern New Mexico and tracked to the southeast into the extreme southern Texas Panhandle and northern South Plains during the late evening hours. Very strong thunderstorm outflow winds produced several severe wind gusts across the area.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
A cluster of thunderstorms developed in eastern New Mexico and tracked to the southeast into the extreme southern Texas Panhandle and northern South Plains during the late evening hours. Very strong thunderstorm outflow winds produced several severe wind gusts across the area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 8, 5:49 PM CST, 3 hours 58 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 649 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023 Partly to mostly cloudy skies are currently seen across much of the region. Although this cloud cover will slightly inhibit instability, forcing and moisture parameters are more impressive. A potent 500 mb shortwave will track into the forecast area this afternoon from the northwest and PWATs of 1.25 to 1.75 inches are expected, with minimum RHs only dropping to around 30-40% today. Although the HRRR is slightly more agressive than other high-res models, the latest forecast is strongly bias towards its current solution as the synoptic setup is similar to previous events in which it verified (such as yesterday). Storms would likely form near the TX/NM border early this evening and track eastward over the far southern Texas Panhandle and northern South/Rolling Plains through late evening. A few storms may become severe, particularly in the Childress area, with damaging winds being the main threat. Large hail is also possible. A second round of thunderstorms remains possible in the far northeastern Texas Panhandle early Sunday morning. If the first round of storms comes to fruition, the second round would not have as great a severe threat due to a more stable atmosphere. In any case, everything should end later Sunday morning. Cloud cover in over the northwestern portion of the forecast area will keep highs in the upper 80s during the afternoon, while mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-90s are expected elsewhere. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023 Not much will change with the upper pattern over the next week. An upper high will remain over the Desert Southwest and will extend north-northwestward into British Columbia/Alberta through late Tuesday. This will keep the FA under northwesterly upper flow and will allow for continued afternoon/evening rain chances Monday. The upper high will flatten Tuesday into mid week thanks to a series of shortwave troughs on the northern edge of the upper high. This will also result in the upper high expanding further eastward encompassing the South Plains region. This will, overall, keep rain chances at a minimum. As the FA will be near the eastern edge of the upper high, isolated rain showers could be attained if a weakness develops in the upper high and moves over the FA as surface moisture will remain in place. This would be welcomed as a relief from 100+ highs that are expected through much of next week. Cooler temps do look to be in store for the weekend, however, as the Hudson Bay upper low amplifies and the upper high migrates to the West Coast. Not only does this place the region under northwesterly upper flow, it increases chances for a cold FROPA Saturday/Sunday. In addition to cooling temps this would help increase chances for welcomed rainfall. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 640 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023 The main aviation concern this evening and overnight is the potential for TSRA at the terminals, the best potential is at KCDS, then KPVW, while it appears KLBB has the lowest chances. In conjunction with the t-storm activity, a outflow boundary may pass through KPVW and KLBB this evening, even if those terminals aren't directly affected by the storms. However, confidence in the strength, timing and extent of this boundary is low at this time. In the wake of the storms overnight into Sunday morning, another outflow boundary is expected to move southeast...likely bringing a wind shift to the northeast through all the terminals. Finally, low stratus is expected to fill in behind this outflow across much of the eastern Panhandles and into the western Rolling Plains. Low ceilings may result, primarily at KCDS, but possibly at KPVW as well. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...19 LONG TERM....51 AVIATION...33
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lubbock TX 808 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023 TXZ021>044-100115- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd- Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum- Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 808 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Thunderstorms are possible across the far southern Texas Panhandle and northern portions of the South Plains and Rolling Plains this evening and tonight. Some storms may become strong to severe, producing damaging winds up to 70 mph. The highest likelihood of severe weather is expected in the Childress area late tonight into early Sunday morning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. There is a chance of thunderstorms Monday night, mainly across the far southern Texas Panhandle. The main threats with these storms include large hail and damaging winds. Temperatures will once again rise into the upper 90s and low 100s across the region Tuesday through Friday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
905 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023
TXZ021-022-090230-
Castro TX-Parmer TX-
905 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Parmer and western
Castro Counties through 930 PM CDT...
At 904 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
outflow over Friona, moving east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Blowing dust may also cause abrupt
reductions in visibility.
Locations impacted include...
Dimmitt, Friona, Bovina, Summerfield, Easter, Rhea and Black.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. Slow down
if driving into blowing dust.
&&
LAT...LON 3475 10214 3435 10235 3454 10304 3475 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0204Z 280DEG 44KT 3465 10274
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MCSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
929 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023
TXZ021-022-090300-
Castro TX-Parmer TX-
929 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Parmer
and Castro Counties through 1000 PM CDT...
At 929 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles west of Easter, or 11 miles northwest of Dimmitt, moving east
at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Blowing dust may also cause abrupt
reductions in visibility.
Locations impacted include...
Dimmitt, Friona, Summerfield, Easter, Black and Nazareth.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. Slow down
if driving into blowing dust.
&&
LAT...LON 3475 10200 3455 10203 3441 10224 3456 10276
3475 10273
TIME...MOT...LOC 0229Z 283DEG 33KT 3465 10248
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MCSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1042 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023
TXZ022>024-090430-
Briscoe TX-Swisher TX-Castro TX-
1042 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Castro, Swisher and
Briscoe Counties through 1130 PM CDT...
At 1042 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Vigo Park, or 14 miles northwest of Silverton, moving east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Tulia, Dimmitt, Hart, Silverton, Caprock Canyon State Park, Kress,
Happy, Quitaque, Vigo Park, Claytonville, Mackenzie Reservoir and
Nazareth.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3431 10106 3431 10243 3475 10224 3475 10095
TIME...MOT...LOC 0342Z 287DEG 34KT 3461 10148
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MCThe Amarillo radar (KAMA), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:46 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Vigo Park measured a wind gust of 60 mph.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Abernathy measured a severe wind gust of 60 mph.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Turkey measured severe wind gusts from 0008 CST through 0009 CST. A peak wind gust of 60 mph was measured at 0008 CST.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1104473, 1104474, 1104475.