The severe drought over the western Brush Country spread eastward into southern portions of the Brush Country by the end of the month. Rainfall was well below normal for south Texas with areas across the Brush Country receiving only a few hundredths of an inch of rainfall during the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.
The severe drought over the western Brush Country spread eastward into southern portions of the Brush Country by the end of the month. Rainfall was well below normal for south Texas with areas across the Brush Country receiving only a few hundredths of an inch of rainfall during the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 10:44 PM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1044 PM CST Tue Jan 31 2023
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 353 PM CST Tue Jan 31 2023
The deterministic model runs predict an upper pattern characterized
by a weak upper disturbance continuing to move eastward across
the Great Lakes region tonight (and possibly contributing to a
weak surge of surface high pressure over the CWA), and the slow
eastward progression of an upper low (nearly cut-off from the
zonal flow to the north) across the southwestern CONUS, with the
RRQ of the associated upper jet streak providing upper forcing to
the CWA Wednesday. Nevertheless, isentropic lift is expected to
persist over the CWA during the period. Anticipate patchy/areas of
light rain and isolated/scattered showers tonight. Expect the
coverage/intensity rainfall to increase from west to east
Wednesday/Wednesday night in response to the foregoing upper
disturbance. Will not expand the current Winter Weather Advisory
(WWA) and the Freeze Warning. Select deterministic NAM/RAP
soundings suggest primarily cold rain, with freezing rain
possible only over the northern sections of the counties currently
in the WWA (Live Oak, Bee and Goliad). The HREF ensemble mean
depicts barely freezing temperatures restricted to the current WWA
region. Anticipate minimum wind chill values 22-32F over the CWA
and thus will not issue a Wind Chill Advisory. Based in part on
the HREF ensemble mean, do not expect freezing temperatures
Wednesday night.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 353 PM CST Tue Jan 31 2023
Key Messages:
-Cold air remains in place through Friday night
-Freezing temperatures possible Thursday and Friday nights
Cold temperatures are expected to remain over South Texas through
Friday night before onshore flow returns Saturday. Elevated rain
chances are also expected to continue through Thursday afternoon as
PWATs remain just over one inch, mainly across the immediate coast
and the Victoria Crossroads. Rain chances will quickly decrease
Thursday night into Friday as a boundary moves across the area
ushering in much drier air. With PWATs around 0.50" Friday through
Sunday, partly cloudy conditions are expected to settle in returning
the sunshine to South Texas. With moisture increasing (PWATs over an
inch) mid-week next week and our next upper level disturbance
approaching, models are beginning to show rain chances increasing
during that timeframe from the Coastal Plains through the Coastal
Bend and into the Victoria Crossroads.
With mostly cloudy skies lingering through Thursday, chilly
temperatures are expected to remain across the region. Drier air
will filter in Friday in the wake of a boundary decreasing cloud
cover and providing a small surge of cold air advection into the
region. With the drier air in place and clear to mostly clear skies,
radiational cooling could allow overnight temperatures Thursday and
Friday night to approach freezing or dip slightly below.
Temperatures will gradually warm Saturday through early next week as
onshore flow returns.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1020 PM CST Tue Jan 31 2023
Most sites continue to have IFR/LIFR ceilings, but COT has a brief
window of MVFR ceilings tonight. Expect all terminals to return
and stay IFR/LIFR through the TAF cycle once again. Light rain or
drizzle is expected overnight with the potential for freezing
temperatures, so caution should be used when landing at any of the
local airfields. Icing may become a concern for pilots with mostly
saturated air above the freezing level.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 353 PM CST Tue Jan 31 2023
The combination of surface high pressure to the north and
deepening low pressure over the western Gulf of Mexico, expect the
MSLP gradient to increase resulting in strong north wind over the
Waters tonight, with conditions improving from west to east
Wednesday. The HREF probabilities of >20kt surface wind adds
credence to the adjusted location/timing of the Small Craft
Advisory. The foregoing surface trough of low pressure, and an
approaching upper level disturbance will contribute scattered to
numerous showers tonight through Wednesday night. North winds are
expected to strengthen to 20-25 knots Thursday afternoon and
persist through Friday night, increasing to 25-30 knots Thursday
night through Friday morning. Winds will shift to the northeast
Friday night as they diminish to under 10 knots before veering to
the southeast Saturday afternoon. Scattered to numerous showers
are expected Thursday and Thursday night as rain chances decrease
Friday in the wake of a boundary.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 42 36 41 39 / 40 70 50 70
Victoria 39 35 39 36 / 30 60 70 70
Laredo 41 37 41 41 / 60 70 60 50
Alice 40 35 39 37 / 40 70 60 70
Rockport 43 38 44 40 / 40 70 50 70
Cotulla 41 37 41 40 / 60 80 70 70
Kingsville 42 35 41 39 / 40 70 50 70
Navy Corpus 44 40 45 44 / 50 70 60 80
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST Wednesday for TXZ231>233.
Winter Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Wednesday for TXZ231>233.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Wednesday for GMZ231-232-236-
237.
Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Wednesday for GMZ250-255.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST Wednesday for GMZ270-275.
&&
SHORT TERM...WC
LONG TERM....JCP
AVIATION...LS/77Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 430 AM CST Tue Jan 31 2023 TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447-011030- La Salle-McMullen-Live Oak-Bee-Goliad-Victoria-Webb-Duval-Jim Wells- Inland Kleberg-Inland Nueces-Inland San Patricio-Coastal Aransas- Inland Refugio-Inland Calhoun-Coastal Kleberg-Coastal Nueces- Coastal San Patricio-Aransas Islands-Coastal Refugio-Coastal Calhoun- Kleberg Islands-Nueces Islands-Calhoun Islands- 430 AM CST Tue Jan 31 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. A Winter Weather Advisory will go into effect at 11 PM through 9 AM Wednesday morning for Live Oak, Bee, and Goliad counties. Freezing rain will lead to trace ice accumulations on elevated surfaces. A Freeze Warning will go into effect at 11 PM through 9 AM Wednesday morning for Live Oak, Bee, and Goliad counties. Wind chill values in the low to mid 20s are possible this evening and tonight across the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Wind chill values in the 20s and 30s can be expected through Thursday morning. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-270-275-011030- Baffin Bay and Upper Laguna Madre-Corpus Christi and Nueces Bays- Copano, Aransas, and Redfish Bays- San Antonio, Mesquite, and Espiritu Santo Bays- Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM- Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM- 430 AM CST Tue Jan 31 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. A Marine Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until noon today for the bays and nearshore waters. A Small Craft Advisory will go into effect at 3 PM this afternoon through 10 AM Wednesday morning for the coastal waters. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. A Small Craft Advisory will be in effect through Wednesday morning over the Gulf waters and may be needed Thursday through Friday for the offshore waters. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. TC/BF
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 851 PM CST Tue Jan 31 2023 TXZ229-230-234-240-241-243-244-246-011500- La Salle-McMullen-Victoria-Duval-Jim Wells-Inland Nueces- Inland San Patricio-Inland Refugio- Including the cities of Cotulla, Encinal, Calliham, Cross, Loma Alta, Tilden, Victoria, Bloomington, Freer, Benavides, San Diego, Alice, Orange Grove, Premont, Robstown, Tuloso, Bishop, Sinton, Mathis, Taft, Odem, Refugio, and Woodsboro 851 PM CST Tue Jan 31 2023 ...NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT... Low temperatures are expected to be at or just above freezing tonight and early Wednesday morning. Wind chill values are expected to be near 25 degrees. Please use caution if spending time outside. Check on any at-risk people, bring in your pets, and protect outside water sources.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought persisted over the western part of the county through the month.
Severe drought spread across most of the county through the month.
Severe drought spread across the southern part of the county through the month.
Severe drought spread across the southern part of the county through the month.
Severe drought spread across the western part of Kleberg County through the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1083530, 1083531, 1083532, 1083533, 1083534.