Texas, 2023

Heat in Texas, August 29, 2023

August 29, 2023 · NWS CRP · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Heat wave persisted for one more day in August.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.

Heat wave persisted for one more day in August.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 29, 5:13 AM CST, 6 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 29, 5:13 AM CST, 6 hours 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
613 AM CDT Tue Aug 29 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 401 AM CDT Tue Aug 29 2023

Key Messages:

 - Monitoring for an increased rip current risk and coastal flooding
potential

Water vapor imagery this morning paints a busy picture with ridging
to our west, a trough across the Midwest, and Tropical Storm Idalia
entering the Gulf to our east. At the surface, a decaying frontal
boundary is draped across the region. GOES TPW hints at PWATs around
2" across our southern tier of counties with drier air (PWATs ~1.5")
across our northern counties. This drier air will continue to
drift south into the region through the day today. We can't rule
out some isolated showers and thunderstorms through this
afternoon, generally within this axis of deeper moisture as a H7
vort max passes through aloft. With that said, most locations will
stay dry today. After today's convection, dry conditions will
settle in through the middle of the week.

High temperatures today look to settle into the mid 90s to around
102. Drier air will help to tame heat indices a bit today. A few
spots may briefly reach 110 for a short time this afternoon but
not for a long enough stretch to warrant a Heat Advisory. High
temps will warm a couple of degrees on Wednesday. However, the
arrival of much drier air will keep heat indices generally less
than 105.

It's likely that we start to see some impacts from Tropical Storm
Idalia arrive along our coast overnight tonight into Wednesday.
While the system is forecast to reach major hurricane strength
before making landfall along the Gulf coast of Florida, long period
swells will begin to spread over our waters by the middle of the
week. 10-11s swells and a full moon on the 30th would likely lead to
an increased rip current risk and potential for minor coastal
flooding. Went ahead and increased our rip current risk to moderate
starting tonight. It's possible that we see a bump up to high later
on today or tomorrow. At this time, PETSS guidance is not picking up
on the potential for coastal flooding. However, the full moon, 10-
11s swells, and a northeasterly winds would likely help drive water
to the dunes as Ekman transport kicks in during Wednesday's high
tide cycle.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 401 AM CDT Tue Aug 29 2023

Key Messages:

 - Increased risk of dangerous rip currents and minor coastal
flooding likely to continue through the end of the work week.

 - Slight chance (10-20%)of showers and thunderstorms along the
coastal areas this holiday weekend and into next week. Higher
chances across the Coastal Waters.

Main concern for Thursday, and perhaps into Friday, will be moderate
to high risk of rip currents and minor coastal flooding in response
to Idalia moving across the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the next
couple of days. Although the National Hurricane Center forecast
Idalia to make landfall along the Florida Coast early Wednesday,
swells may continue to propagate toward the TX coast through
Thursday, then should diminish by Friday.

Otherwise, Thursday and Friday are expected to be hot under mostly
sunny skies and light to moderate onshore winds as high pressure
builds back across TX. Minimum relative humidity values across the
Brush Country each afternoon are progged to range from 20-30% and 30-
50% along the coastal areas. Fire weather conditions are not
anticipated at this time for Thu/Fri, as winds should remain below
thresholds. Fuel dryness currently is at normal levels across the
Brush Country and southern Coastal bend, but are dry to critically
dry across the northern Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads.
Therefore, any fires that do develop could spread quickly.

The high pressure aloft gets pushed north and east by an upper low
pressure system that is progged to move slightly west this weekend.
This will bring the upper low across E TX with its trough axis
draped southward along the TX coast. Sufficient moisture is progged
to advect across the gulf toward the TX coast with PWATs increasing
to around 1.7 inches. The combination of the moisture with the upper
trough and possibly a stalled frontal boundary, may be enough for
isolated convection along the coastal counties over the weekend. The
slight chance of convection continues into early next week, mainly
morning convection along the coast, then along the afternoon sea
breeze. Rain chances look better over the coastal waters where the
moisture will be deeper and the environment is expected to be more
unstable.

Heat Index values are forecast to be generally 105 to 109 degrees
over the weekend, but begin to increase Mon to 110-113 across the
southern Coastal Bend. There is very low chance of the heat indices
exceeding 115, but the chance of exceeding 110 across the coastal
bend goes from around 20-30 percent Fri/Sat to around 40-50 percent
Sun through Tue.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Tue Aug 29 2023

VFR conditions are in place along with light winds across all
terminals. GOES Microphysics imagery reveals some patchy
fog/stratus developing near VCT so included a TEMPO for MVFR
restrictions for a couple of hours. Winds will increase through
the day with gusts from 15-20 knots possible. Winds will be light
and variable again tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 401 AM CDT Tue Aug 29 2023

A weak to moderate northeasterly flow will develop through the day
before becoming weak overnight. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
will be possible over the waters today as deep moisture remains in
place. Winds will slowly regain an onshore component through the day
Wednesday. Seas will begin to increase late in the day Wednesday as
Tropical Storm Idalia moves across the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. A
light and variable flow is expected Wednesday night into Thursday.
A generally light onshore flow can be expected Friday through the
weekend with a slight increase in the afternoons. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    99  77 101  75 /  20   0   0   0
Victoria         100  72 103  72 /  20   0   0   0
Laredo           102  78 103  77 /  10   0   0   0
Alice            102  75 104  72 /  20   0   0   0
Rockport          98  79  98  77 /  30   0   0   0
Cotulla          102  76 102  76 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville       101  76 103  75 /  10   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       95  81  96  80 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...TC
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...TC/95

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 heat. Local standard time, as filed.

Heat, Inland Kleberg County

When
August 29, 12:00 PM CST to 6:00 PM CST
Where
Inland Kleberg County forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
27.427, -97.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heat index values ranged from 110 to 113 degrees.

Heat, Inland Nueces County

When
August 29, 12:00 PM CST to 6:00 PM CST
Where
Inland Nueces County forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
27.735, -97.516 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heat index values ranged from 110 to 113 degrees.

What these are

Heat
Heat below excessive heat criteria that still caused deaths, injuries or significant impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1134161, 1134162.