During the early morning hours of the 7th, a storm complex impacted portions of Kansas, western Oklahoma, and the far northeastern combined OK/TX Panhandle. This complex impacted Beaver County with 62 to 82 mph winds and heavy rain.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AMA wrote it up.
During the early morning hours of the 7th, a storm complex impacted portions of Kansas, western Oklahoma, and the far northeastern combined OK/TX Panhandle. This complex impacted Beaver County with 62 to 82 mph winds and heavy rain.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 11:55 PM CST, 2 hours earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1255 AM CDT Fri Jul 7 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM ... (This evening through Friday night) Issued at 159 PM CDT Thu Jul 6 2023 Summary: There is a low chance that thunderstorms originating from the high terrain of northeast New Mexico/southern Colorado will move into the western Panhandles this evening. There is a better chance for strong to severe thunderstorms with a MCS tonight at least in the northeast combined Panhandles. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible again Friday. This afternoon through early this evening: Morning rain and thunderstorms are moving out of the Panhandles with much of the western half of the Panhandles already cleared out. A shortwave trough is expected to move into southern Colorado/northern New Mexico later this afternoon. Depending upon sufficient destabilization, thunderstorms may develop in the higher terrain of southeastern Colorado/northeastern New Mexico. However, northeastern New Mexico has remained cloudy this morning and through the early afternoon hours, so that area might be too stable for thunderstorm development later. If a thunderstorm were to develop in the high terrain later this afternoon, would expect it to be in southern Colorado as they cleared out early this morning. If this were to happen, it would likely move into the northwest Panhandles and become supercellular with hail up to or exceeding 2" in diameter and up to 70 mph wind gusts. A tornado may occur prior to 10 PM. However... at this time, it appears the higher terrain will remain too stable for thunderstorms to develop. Rest of the evening through tonight: Models are indicating that thunderstorms will develop along the Rockies in northern Colorado and southeastern Wyoming. Currently expecting these thunderstorms to gradually move south-southeast or southeast overnight and eventually grow into an MCS. This may clip at least an eastern portion of the combined Panhandles overnight, though it is also possible that it misses the area completely. The hazards with this MCS would be damaging winds, possibly in excess of 75 mph. Friday: Once again, another ridge riding shortwave trough is expected to impact the Panhandles later Friday afternoon. Thunderstorms would likely develop northeast New Mexico and move east through the Panhandles. However, what happens overnight tonight will have implications on the severe weather threat for Friday with one of these three scenarios likely to happen: Scenario 1) If the MCS clips the CWA, as depicted by 12z NAM, then an outflow boundary may set up across the CWA which would become a feature of interest. Scenario 2) If the MCS misses the CWA entirely, then there would likely be little to no concerns about sufficient destabilization. An outflow boundary may still set up across a portion of the CWA which would become a feature of interest. Scenario 3) If thunderstorms are more widespread in the Panhandles overnight and/or clouds linger through the morning hours, there may be some questions about sufficient destabilization. There is currently no models suggesting this scenario at this time. Assuming scenario 3 doesn't occur given the previously noted very low likelihood, at least some strong to severe thunderstorms will be a good bet Friday. Significant severe weather (hail up to or exceeding 2" diameter, wind gusts up to or exceeding 75 mph) will be possible, but a tornado can't be ruled out. A higher tornado threat may occur if an outflow boundary can set up in the CWA... especially if it's oriented parallel with the mean storm motion. Thunderstorms should move out of the Panhandles Friday evening. Vanden Bosch && .LONG TERM ... (Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 159 PM CDT Thu Jul 6 2023 Model agreement continues to hold zonal flow over the Panhandle with the 500mb high pressure center settled over the Arizona/New Mexico border. This flow will allow for the stationary boundary currently present to stay put through the weekend and give us a starting point for new storms each day. Starting Saturday, models are a bit muddy on the potential impacts from the expected storms development that afternoon. Currently NAM is giving the highest amounts with a band of MLCAPE greater than 2000 J/kg with a small cap that can be broken around the boundary, which would indicate the potential for larger hail and damaging winds. However, the GFS is leaning to a much more capped scenario with CAPE values staying around the 1000 mark and productivity low for the day. Unfortunately, which scenario is more likely will come down to the activity present on Friday and if storms hold over through the overnight. Sunday and Monday will see a similar scenario as the boundary slightly shift north for both days and moisture holds. By Tuesday, model agreement sees the high build further north with the 500mb center closer to the Four Corners area. This will cut off the zonal flow for Tuesday and place us more in a stagnate pattern. Direr weather should follow for Tuesday as well as Wednesday, but there are some hints at short-wave that could change that directive for Tuesday and bring more activity. For now guidance prefers the drier option with POPs sitting under 10% for the day. As for temperatures, slightly cool conditions should hold through the weekend with afternoon highs in the 80s to low 90s. However, look for temperature to warm-up next week with a chance for triple digit temperatures by the mid-week. Scoleri && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 AM CDT Fri Jul 7 2023 TAF sites are VFR for this period with the possible exception being GUY. Thunderstorms from the north are being monitored tonight, and if they can make it far enough south an amendment will be needed for GUY. Low level wind shear is also expected for DHT and GUY in the morning hours. MVFR conditions are possible yet again for GUY during that time, but that will rely on increased cloud cover. For now, GUY is only expected to have a SCT cloud deck. Finally, there is a chance for thunderstorms Friday evening at all TAF sites. However, they are being left out for now as we continue to assess the timing and coverage of the next system. Mentions for storms later this evening may be inserted for future TAF periods. Rangel/Ferguson && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 97 66 88 65 / 20 40 10 40 Beaver OK 90 63 78 62 / 20 60 10 70 Boise City OK 88 60 77 61 / 20 50 10 50 Borger TX 100 66 87 65 / 20 40 10 50 Boys Ranch TX 100 66 89 66 / 20 40 10 40 Canyon TX 98 66 90 65 / 20 30 10 30 Clarendon TX 96 68 88 67 / 20 30 10 40 Dalhart TX 93 61 82 62 / 20 40 10 40 Guymon OK 90 62 78 62 / 20 50 10 60 Hereford TX 98 66 92 66 / 20 30 10 20 Lipscomb TX 92 63 80 62 / 20 50 10 70 Pampa TX 95 65 83 65 / 20 40 10 50 Shamrock TX 95 67 87 65 / 20 40 10 50 Wellington TX 97 70 90 68 / 20 30 10 40 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && SHORT TERM...52 LONG TERM....11 AVIATION...55
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1219 AM CDT Fri Jul 7 2023 OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-071730- Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb- Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson- Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth- Palo Duro Canyon- 1219 AM CDT Fri Jul 7 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Thunderstorms are possible overnight Thursday night in the northeastern combined Panhandles with the main threat being large hail and damaging winds. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 6 AM CDT for the Oklahoma Panhandle and the far north central and northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Thunderstorms potential continues through the weekend and into Monday. Main threat for any developing storm continues to be large hail and damaging winds, but a tornado or two can't be fully ruled out. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 107 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:55 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm wind gusts estimated to be 70 to 80 mph. Tree limbs were blown downed in Forgan. Hail up to the size of dimes also reported.
A metal outbuilding had been destroyed in Beaver. Multiple power lines were downed between Forgan and Beaver.
Emergency management had reported around 6 of rapidly flowing water across Highway 270 between Forgan and Beaver.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, July 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1118008, 1118009, 1118006, 1118007, 1118010, 1118005.