New Mexico, 2023Drought in New Mexico, May 1 to 31, 2023
May 1 to 31, 2023 · NWS ABQ · 8 events in 8 counties and zones
There were several significant heavy rain events that occurred over parts of eastern NM during the month of May. These events, while causing flooding impacts, also improved drought conditions across a wide swath of eastern NM.
Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 8
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
There were several significant heavy rain events that occurred over parts of eastern NM during the month of May. These events, while causing flooding impacts, also improved drought conditions across a wide swath of eastern NM. This resulted in the complete removal of extreme and exceptional drought conditions with the overall coverage of severe drought conditions also lowering some.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 10:19 PM MST, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 10:19 PM MST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1119 PM MDT Sun Apr 30 2023
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 202 PM MDT Sun Apr 30 2023
Gulf moisture will be on the uptrend tonight and Monday in eastern
New Mexico with a few showers or a thunderstorm or two possible
during the afternoon and evening. As moisture continues to move
in to eastern NM Tuesday and Wednesday, chances for afternoon
showers and thunderstorms, some strong to severe, increase.
Elsewhere, breezy and warm weather will be the rule for much of
the week. Windy weather is forecast for Thursday and Friday along
with chances for morning showers or thunderstorms Thursday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 202 PM MDT Sun Apr 30 2023
A warming trend continues this afternoon in what will end up being
the warmest day so far this year for a number of norther and central
NM locales. Isolated virga showers and potentially a dry
thunderstorm or two will move east across the northern mountains and
adjacent northeast highlands through the early evening hours. A
backdoor cold front, currently moving slowly southwest through the
northeast plains, will accelerate this evening and create gusty east
canyon/gap winds into the RGV and upper Tularosa valley from Santa
Fe southward overnight. Wind speeds are forecast to remain below
advisory threshold. An upper level ridge will continue moving slowly
eastward over NM Monday through Monday night, allowing for moisture
advection to pick up steam as it continues moving east. The result
will be an increase in afternoon/evening clouds Monday, with
improved coverage of daytime heating triggered convection across
north central and northeast NM. Showers and storms near the CO
border Monday afternoon/evening will be capable of producing wetting
rain, but much of the convection will produce very little measurable
rain instead favoring strong/erratic wind gusts. Abundant cloud
cover Monday night will limit radiational cooling and help to keep
low temperatures above normal areawide.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 202 PM MDT Sun Apr 30 2023
No major forecast changes during the extended forecast period from
this morning's model suite. Dryline convection remains on track
to develop in eastern NM Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons with
mainly strong storms (hail) now looking likely both days. Severe
potential looks very limited Tuesday given the lack of winds aloft
and the resulting low-end bulk shear. Wednesday is looking the
like the better day for a severe storm or two in eastern NM when
bulk shear increases, slightly. Elsewhere, closed low over
southern CA is still expected to send a wind speed maximum up into
central and western NM Thursday morning, resulting in a area of
light to moderate showers. A dry slot then pushes up from the
southwest during the afternoon, ending shower chances central and
south Thursday afternoon. Latest models now take the closed low
over southern CA, filling/weakening it as it lifts northward
through the western Great Basin Friday. This weakening means less
in the way of strong winds on Friday as the main wind field
associated with the low stays in southeast AZ. Both days, however,
look like they will be on the lower end of the windy spectrum.
Strongest winds aloft associated with the closed low move over NM
Friday night into Saturday, increasing wind speeds areawide for
Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1112 PM MDT Sun Apr 30 2023
East canyon winds have punched through the gaps of the central mtn
chain at KSAF and KABQ. Peak gusts to and just above 35kts have
occurred at KABQ and an Airport Weather Warning has been issued.
Gusts look to subside below 35kts by 08Z at KABQ, steadily
tapering off further through the early morning period. VFR
prevails through the morning and midday as overall sct-bkn cigs
200-250 fill in across the state. Iso-sct afternoon tstm activity
is progged to initiate over the northern Sangre de Cristo Mts near
20Z and then be steered eastward over the adjacent highlands to
the TX/OK borders in the evening. KRTN-KCAO likely to see VCTS,
potentially spreading as far south as KLVS. Areas along and west
of the Rio Grande Valley will see sct virga shras with little to
no rainfall and gusty erratic winds. Inclusion of this in TAFs
will occur when confidence increases for which terminals have the
greatest potential for a stray outflow wind tomorrow afternoon.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 202 PM MDT Sun Apr 30 2023
Hot, dry and unstable conditions will persist into Monday most areas
as an upper level ridge shifts slowly east over the area , with the
potential for dry lightning across north central and northeast NM.
Chances for wetting showers and storms will trend up along/east of
the central mountain chain as moisture trends up Tue/Wed, with any
convection west of the central mountain chain likely being dry with
the potential for dry lightning. Hot, dry and unstable conditions
will persist Tue/Wed across western NM, but winds will fall just shy
of critical threshold. The best potential for critical fire weather
conditions this period will be Thu/Fri/Sat as southwest flow aloft
trends up in advance of an upper level trough/low, forecast to move
through Saturday. This development comes after a few days with
lightning activity, bringing the potential for the spread of fire
from lightning ignitions. At this time, Friday is being modeled to
be the most widespread critical fire weather day, with Saturday
limited to areas along east of the central mountain chain due to the
timing of the trough passage.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 42 82 49 79 / 0 0 0 10
Dulce........................... 35 75 39 75 / 0 0 5 30
Cuba............................ 38 75 45 74 / 0 5 5 30
Gallup.......................... 36 79 40 74 / 0 0 0 10
El Morro........................ 41 75 42 72 / 0 10 5 20
Grants.......................... 34 80 38 77 / 0 5 5 20
Quemado......................... 41 76 42 74 / 0 10 5 10
Magdalena....................... 49 78 49 75 / 5 10 5 10
Datil........................... 43 74 43 72 / 5 10 5 10
Reserve......................... 35 79 35 76 / 10 5 0 5
Glenwood........................ 47 83 47 79 / 0 5 0 0
Chama........................... 33 70 35 67 / 5 10 10 40
Los Alamos...................... 48 74 49 72 / 0 5 5 40
Pecos........................... 41 74 46 72 / 5 20 20 60
Cerro/Questa.................... 39 71 43 68 / 10 20 10 60
Red River....................... 33 64 36 61 / 10 30 20 80
Angel Fire...................... 28 67 33 62 / 20 30 30 70
Taos............................ 34 75 37 73 / 5 10 10 50
Mora............................ 37 72 42 68 / 10 20 20 60
Espanola........................ 42 81 46 80 / 0 5 5 40
Santa Fe........................ 47 75 50 74 / 0 10 10 60
Santa Fe Airport................ 43 78 46 76 / 0 5 5 40
Albuquerque Foothills........... 54 80 59 80 / 0 5 5 30
Albuquerque Heights............. 55 82 56 81 / 0 5 5 30
Albuquerque Valley.............. 48 84 53 83 / 0 0 0 30
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 50 82 54 82 / 0 5 5 30
Belen........................... 45 85 49 83 / 0 5 0 20
Bernalillo...................... 51 83 53 83 / 0 5 0 30
Bosque Farms.................... 42 84 48 83 / 0 5 0 20
Corrales........................ 49 83 53 83 / 0 5 0 30
Los Lunas....................... 43 84 48 83 / 0 5 0 20
Placitas........................ 51 80 55 79 / 0 5 5 40
Rio Rancho...................... 50 82 54 81 / 0 5 5 30
Socorro......................... 50 87 52 84 / 0 5 0 10
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 47 74 51 73 / 0 5 5 40
Tijeras......................... 46 78 52 76 / 0 5 5 40
Edgewood........................ 43 78 49 76 / 0 5 5 40
Moriarty/Estancia............... 35 79 42 76 / 0 10 5 40
Clines Corners.................. 41 75 46 71 / 0 10 10 40
Mountainair..................... 42 77 49 75 / 0 5 5 30
Gran Quivira.................... 42 78 49 75 / 0 10 5 30
Carrizozo....................... 49 81 55 79 / 0 5 5 40
Ruidoso......................... 46 73 49 71 / 0 5 10 40
Capulin......................... 37 70 42 68 / 10 20 20 50
Raton........................... 36 75 40 72 / 20 20 20 50
Springer........................ 37 76 43 73 / 20 20 20 50
Las Vegas....................... 39 75 44 71 / 10 20 20 50
Clayton......................... 41 75 46 72 / 0 10 20 30
Roy............................. 40 74 48 72 / 10 10 20 50
Conchas......................... 43 82 52 81 / 0 5 10 40
Santa Rosa...................... 43 80 49 78 / 0 5 5 40
Tucumcari....................... 42 81 50 79 / 0 0 10 40
Clovis.......................... 44 79 48 79 / 0 0 5 40
Portales........................ 44 80 49 81 / 0 0 5 40
Fort Sumner..................... 45 80 50 81 / 0 0 5 50
Roswell......................... 49 82 55 87 / 0 0 0 50
Picacho......................... 47 78 54 80 / 0 5 0 40
Elk............................. 46 77 52 79 / 0 5 10 40
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....33
AVIATION...24
Drought, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.544, -104.059 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions from October 2022 persisted through May 2023.
Drought, Far Northeast Highlands
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Far Northeast Highlands forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.308, -104.796 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions persisted through May 2023.
Drought, Union County
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Union County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.482, -103.471 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Drought conditions improved with the removal of extreme and exceptional drought conditions across the county. There remained a portion of severe drought in the southeastern and western sections of the county.
Drought, Harding County
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Harding County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.858, -103.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A small area of severe drought conditions persisted in the northwestern section of Harding County.
Drought, Quay County
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Quay County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.104, -103.550 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Drought conditions improved in Quay County during the month of May with the removal of extreme drought conditions. A small area of severe drought conditions persisted in the northeastern section of the county.
Drought, Roosevelt County
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Roosevelt County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.021, -103.480 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Drought conditions improved in Roosevelt County during the month of May with the removal of extreme drought conditions. A small area of severe drought conditions persisted in the northern section of the county.
Drought, Curry County
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Curry County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.574, -103.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Drought conditions improved in Curry County during the month of May with the removal of extreme drought conditions. A small area of severe drought conditions persisted in the southern section of the county.
Drought, Chaves County Plains
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Chaves County Plains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Drought conditions improved in Chaves County during the month of May with the removal of extreme drought conditions. A small area of severe drought conditions persisted in the southern and southeastern sections of the county.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Dust Storm in Illinois, May 1, 20238 deaths · 37 injured · 1 event
- Flooding in California, May 1 to 30, 20232 deaths · 3 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Maine, May 1 to 6, 2023$6.7 million · 65 events
- Flood in Utah, May 1 to 2, 20231 death · 1 event
- Drought in Iowa, May 1 to 31, 2023$3.8 million · 10 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Michigan, May 1 to 2, 2023$2.1 million · 11 events
- Drought in Kansas, May 1 to 31, 2023$2.6 million · 3 events
- Debris Flows and Flood in Colorado, May 1 to 3, 2023$2.1 million · 4 events
- Flooding in South Dakota, May 1 to 31, 2023$1.0 million · 9 events
- Dust Storm in Illinois, May 1, 2023$100,000 · 1 event
- Flooding in Arizona, May 1 to 31, 2023$50,000 · 2 events
- Drought in Oklahoma, May 1 to 15, 202327 events