A round of afternoon convection developed over the northern mountains of NM. S.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
A round of afternoon convection developed over the northern mountains of NM. One cell produced a funnel cloud while strengthening over U.S. Highway 84 near Cebolla, NM. No damage or touchdown was reported.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 7, 1:16 PM MST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 216 PM MDT Wed Jun 7 2023 ...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 131 PM MDT Wed Jun 7 2023 Showers and thunderstorms will linger mainly over eastern areas this evening. Drier air will filter over the forecast area from the southwest Thursday through early next week, but daily rounds of scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms look to continue along and east of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, and potentially over the east central plains on Sunday and Monday. Breezy southwest winds will develop Monday and Tuesday with fire weather concerns mainly south of I-40. Otherwise, high temperatures will continue to be well below normal across northern and central New Mexico for the remainder of this week and early next week, except for the Roswell area where readings may warm near normal by the end of this week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 131 PM MDT Wed Jun 7 2023 The overall weather pattern is featuring a steady change to drier southwesterly winds over the state. With a well defined 568dm H5 upper level low centered over the southern Central Valley of CA, dry southwest flow has punched into the southwestern third of the state this morning and shows up well on water vapor imagery. Moisture is is already beginning to mix out, evidenced by dewpoints through western NM lowering into the 20s. This drying will be later and harder to come by in the middle Rio Grande Valley zone but hi-res CAMs like the HRRR show dewpoints falling into the 20s in Albuquerque late afternoon. Forty to fifty degree dewpoint depressions in these areas will allow for strong erratic virga- induced gusty winds from the isolated to scattered convection already developing the Continental Divide into the Rio Grande Valley today. Meanwhile, higher low-level moisture across eastern NM will remain in place allowing for higher rainfall efficiency for these storms developing along the central mountain chain. Burn scar flash flooding remains a threat as a result, and a Flood Watch remains in effect for the Hermit's Peak and McBride burn areas until 9pm MDT. Cells look to track east to east-northeast across the eastern plains of NM, reaching the TX line this evening. With hi-res CAMs advertising 1500-2500 J/kg and modest shear, a few storms could become strong to severe with locally heavy rainfall, cloud-to-ground lightning, large hail, and strong downburst winds being the main threats. Conditions clear out steadily through the evening to midnight tonight. By Thursday, the upper low will be centered over NV with dry southwest flow advancing further into central and eastern NM. This will shift the dryline further east toward TX pushing chances for afternoon convection to northeastern NM. Dry, warm, and breezy conditions will be true through southern, central, and western areas. Model PWs reflect this at ABQ dropping nearly in half from the 0.67" on this morning's sounding to 0.30" to 0.40". The risk for burn scar flash flooding looks to come to an end as a result tomorrow as much of the convection looks to stay over far northeastern NM including Colfax and Union counties. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 131 PM MDT Wed Jun 7 2023 Much drier air will continue to advect over the forecast area Friday through Tuesday as a broad upper level low pressure system digs over southern CA then weakens as it lifts northeastward toward the central Rockies. The drier air will enable high temperatures to trend warmer most places through Sunday, and it will suppress convection most places. One area that should continue to see scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms daily Friday through Monday will be the Sangre de Cristo Mountains eastward due to favorable upper level diffluence and a moist backdoor front sloshing into the northeast corner of NM nightly, then mixing out of the northeast corner of NM daily. Along with the front will probably come nightly rounds of low clouds and potentially some patchy fog across portions of the eastern plains. Models generally agree on the backdoor front advancing further westward Saturday night and Sunday night with the potential for a gusty east wind below canyons opening into the central valley. The advancing low level moisture may cause afternoon showers and thunderstorms to increase in coverage over east central areas early in the afternoons Sunday and Monday. However, southwest winds will strengthen Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon as a speed maximum aloft crosses southern and eastern areas with a risk of critical fire weather conditions during the late afternoons mainly south of I-40. Dry air may become so entrenched by Tuesday to inhibit convection areawide. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1107 AM MDT Wed Jun 7 2023 Drier swly winds will punch into the southwestern half of the state today, shutting down most afternoon convection there. Scattered to numerous afternoon ts activity will thus look to initially focus over the Sangre de Cristo and Sacramento Mts near 18Z to 19Z before moving E to NE over the adjacent high plains. These storms will steadily progress east to the TX border near 00Z to 02Z. Given the expected nely to ely storm tracks, KLVS was left with a vcsh for this TAF period. Amds may be needed to add back in ts if cells initiate further south along the Sangre de Cristo Mts than what is currently expected. Also added in vcsh mention at KFMN-KABQ-KAEG-KSAF given latest guidance showing potential for hi-based virga shras producing erratic gusty winds near these terminals during the late afternoon period. Conditions clear out with mostly light and terrain driven winds overnight into Thursday morning. There is a low forecast confidence change for IFR/MVFR cigs to develop over parts of the eastern plains Thursday morning. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 131 PM MDT Wed Jun 7 2023 As dry southwesterly flow pushes into western NM to the Rio Grande Valley today, one more round of afternoon storms capable of producing cloud-to-ground lightning, locally heavy rainfall, hail, and erratic gusty winds will favor areas along and east of the central mountain chain. Isolated to scattered coverage through the Rio Grande Valley to the Continental Divide will be on the dry side, still capable of producing strong erratic gusty winds this afternoon. Dry southwesterly flow pushes further into central and eastern NM Thursday through Saturday. Elevated to short-lived locally critical fire weather conditions will result in western and southern zones with wind speeds being the limiting factor. Winds pick up in speeds a bit more Sunday through Tuesday allowing for higher potential of critical fire weather through western and southern zones. Winds look to lessen by next Wednesday with quasi- zonal flow kicking in. All the while, higher moisture will be hung- up in northeaster NM, repeatedly battered back by the prevailing southwesterly flow. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 47 82 47 83 / 5 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 38 78 37 79 / 20 0 0 5 Cuba............................ 44 77 45 77 / 5 0 0 5 Gallup.......................... 38 78 41 79 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 40 76 41 76 / 0 0 0 5 Grants.......................... 40 81 42 79 / 5 0 0 5 Quemado......................... 43 78 44 77 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 48 80 50 79 / 5 0 0 5 Datil........................... 44 77 46 75 / 0 0 0 5 Reserve......................... 41 83 44 80 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 48 86 51 83 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 37 72 37 72 / 20 0 0 10 Los Alamos...................... 49 76 51 77 / 5 0 0 10 Pecos........................... 46 76 48 77 / 5 5 0 10 Cerro/Questa.................... 40 72 40 72 / 10 10 0 20 Red River....................... 35 68 35 65 / 20 20 5 30 Angel Fire...................... 34 70 33 68 / 10 10 0 20 Taos............................ 39 78 41 77 / 20 5 0 10 Mora............................ 42 74 43 73 / 5 10 0 20 Espanola........................ 48 84 50 84 / 10 0 0 5 Santa Fe........................ 48 77 49 78 / 5 0 0 10 Santa Fe Airport................ 47 81 48 81 / 5 0 0 5 Albuquerque Foothills........... 55 85 55 81 / 5 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 56 86 56 83 / 5 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 52 88 53 85 / 5 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 54 87 55 84 / 5 0 0 0 Belen........................... 50 88 51 86 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 54 88 54 85 / 5 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 50 88 51 86 / 5 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 54 88 55 84 / 5 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 50 88 51 86 / 5 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 52 84 53 82 / 5 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 54 87 55 83 / 5 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 55 90 57 87 / 5 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 48 76 49 76 / 5 0 0 5 Tijeras......................... 49 79 50 79 / 5 0 0 5 Edgewood........................ 45 79 47 78 / 5 0 0 5 Moriarty/Estancia............... 44 80 45 80 / 5 0 0 5 Clines Corners.................. 46 77 47 78 / 5 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 47 78 48 78 / 5 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 48 79 49 79 / 5 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 55 84 56 82 / 5 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 47 77 49 75 / 10 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 47 73 47 75 / 50 30 5 30 Raton........................... 46 79 47 78 / 30 20 5 20 Springer........................ 46 81 47 81 / 20 10 0 20 Las Vegas....................... 45 78 45 77 / 10 5 0 10 Clayton......................... 54 79 54 80 / 50 30 5 10 Roy............................. 49 78 50 79 / 30 10 0 10 Conchas......................... 55 86 55 87 / 30 10 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 52 84 54 86 / 20 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 55 84 55 87 / 30 10 0 0 Clovis.......................... 56 86 57 88 / 40 10 0 0 Portales........................ 57 89 57 90 / 40 10 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 55 87 56 89 / 30 5 0 0 Roswell......................... 58 96 59 95 / 30 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 53 88 58 86 / 10 0 0 0 Elk............................. 52 86 55 81 / 5 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for NMZ214-215-226. && SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...24
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
155 PM MDT Wed Jun 7 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM Rain 1 SE San Geronimo 35.57N 105.38W
06/07/2023 M4.68 inch San Miguel NM Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NM-SM-17 San Geronimo 1 SE.
Severe storm between 6 and 7 PM with at
least 2 of hail mostly 1 or less although
nearby neighbors had 2 or larger with damage
to glass. Extensive flooding. Morning
measurement.
&&
MAASpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
221 PM MDT Wed Jun 7 2023
NMZ238-239-072045-
Eastern Lincoln County-Chaves County Plains-
221 PM MDT Wed Jun 7 2023
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL LINCOLN
AND NORTH CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM MDT...
At 219 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles north of Arabela, or 42 miles northwest of Roswell, moving east
at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central
Lincoln and north central Chaves Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If threatening weather approaches your area, take shelter in a sturdy
building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor your preferred
media outlets and NOAA Weather Radio for additional information and
possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3361 10519 3364 10524 3386 10520 3409 10482
3355 10459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 258DEG 8KT 3379 10507
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MA/ShoemakeThe Albuquerque radar (KABX), 160 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:18 UTC.
1 funnel cloud. Local standard time, as filed.
A trained spotter shared a photo of a funnel cloud that formed along U.S. Highway 84 near Cebolla.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1096856.