Mid-level Pacific moisture wrapping around a strong area of high pressure over northern Mexico resulted in some virga showers and dry thunderstorms over central and eastern New Mexico. One of these dry thunderstorms produced a dry microburst at Cannon AFB.
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The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
Mid-level Pacific moisture wrapping around a strong area of high pressure over northern Mexico resulted in some virga showers and dry thunderstorms over central and eastern New Mexico. One of these dry thunderstorms produced a dry microburst at Cannon AFB.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 20, 2:25 PM MST, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 325 PM MDT Tue Jun 20 2023 ...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 244 PM MDT Tue Jun 20 2023 Virga showers and gusty winds remain possible over central and eastern New Mexico for the rest of the afternoon and for tomorrow afternoon. Very hot, breezy, and mainly dry weather is expected through the rest of the week with a chance of thunderstorms in far northeastern New Mexico on Thursday. Some of these storms may become strong to severe. Western and central parts of the state will experience elevated to critical fire weather conditions through the weekend. Critical fire weather conditions and winds are expected to peak on Friday. Temperatures will heat up even more this weekend with Roswell reaching 110 and Albuquerque potentially seeing it's first 100 degree day of the year early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 244 PM MDT Tue Jun 20 2023 A batch of mostly dry showers crossed central New Mexico this morning. While clearing has occurred from west to east, the atmosphere has been a little slow destabilizing this afternoon but there is a good crop of cumulus which has developed over the southeast half of the state. Therefore can't rule out additional dry showers with gusty winds over this area through the early evening. Wednesday afternoon may also see a few buildups with gusty variable winds over central New Mexico, and high temperatures will be a tad warmer compared to this afternoon's. Consequently, Roswell will see another day of near record heat on Wednesday, and the current Heat Advisory remains in effect. Overnight lows will be within a few degrees of normal for late June but cooler tonight with much less cloud cover. Low level moisture is now forecast to seep a bit farther westward into the eastern plains Wednesday night from the Texas border. It looks to make the most progress in the northeast part of the state where isolated showers and storms are possible through the overnight hours. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 244 PM MDT Tue Jun 20 2023 Increasing moisture across the eastern plains thanks to convective outflow from storm activity in Colorado could give rise to the development of thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening in northeastern New Mexico. Storms are capable to becoming strong to severe thanks to 0-6 km bulk shear values between 30 to 40 kts and SBCAPE in excess of 4000 J/kg. Large hail and damaging wind gusts look to be the main threats before these storms exit off to the east into Texas late Thursday. Meanwhile, western and central NM will see increasing southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph ahead of a shortwave over California. Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are possible. Dry weather returns areawide on Friday with windy conditions as the upper level pressure gradient tightens due to the aformentioned trough passing to the north. Winds at 500 mb increase to 40-50 kts in response. Deep layer mixing and near-record mixing heights will tap into these winds and given the setup went on the high end of guidence as a result. Very dry air in the form of PWATs less than 0.20 inches will influtrate the region from the northwest resulting in a extended period of RHs below 10%. All these ingredients together will result in critical to possibly extreme fire weather conditions during the second half of Friday across northern and central parts of the state (see the Fire Weather discussion). The very dry air, with PWATs less than 0.20 inches, remains over the region on Saturday with another day of RH values dipping into the single digits for an extended period of time over most areas. The strong ridge of high pressure over Mexico and Texas begins to build north on Saturday, and this will keep conditions dry with lighter winds at 500 mb of 30 to 40 kts. Deep daytime mixing will result in afternoon breezy to windy conditions, but at speeds of 15 to 25 mph, weaker compared to Friday. Some moisture could enter eastern NM late Sunday into Monday behind a backdoor front, cooling temperatures a touch. However, even with this, afternoon highs will rise to nearly 5 to 10 degrees above average come this weekend into early next week as the ridge over Mexico and Texas continues building north into the state. This could warrant Heat Advisories for the middle to lower RGV and east central plains. Albuquerque could achieve it's first 100 degree day early next week, with high temperatures well into 90s across the highlands of northern and western NM, as 500 mb heights build to 594 to 596 dm. An Excessive Heat Warning might be needed for Chaves County and the southeast plains this weekend into early next week as Roswell heats up to around 110 degrees. Winds will also be weaker early next week as the ridge moves overhead with lighter upper level winds. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1100 AM MDT Tue Jun 20 2023 Southwest to west flow aloft. Mostly clear over nw NM. Transient mid to high level moisture over NM producing isold-sct high based and mostly dry showers as well as isold tstms with gusty variable winds to around 45kt over central NM and into ern NM. Otherwise lcl southwesterly gusts to around 35kt are expected. Winds and convection to diminish after sunset. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 244 PM MDT Tue Jun 20 2023 ...ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH WIDESPREAD CRITICAL TO EXTREME CONDITIONS EXPECTED FRIDAY... Near to above average temperatures, breezy to windy, very dry and unstable conditions are expected through this week and into early next week. Fair to poor humidity recoveries continue across western and central New Mexico while some low level moisture sloshes into the east Wednesday night and moreso Thursday night but retreats Friday. Elevated to critical conditions are possible Wednesday and Thursday across much of the region. Widespread critical to extreme fire weather conditions forecast Friday into Saturday, when 8 to 15 hours of single digit relative humidity is widespread over western and central New Mexico. A few virga showers are possible for the rest of today and again Wednesday over central into eastern New Mexico with isolated wetter but potentially strong storms over northeast New Mexico Thursday. An upper ridge may become an even more dominant feature early to mid next week across New Mexico. Low level moisture may seep back into the northeast section of the state Sunday night and again Monday night but may only result in a few localized wetting storms. Poor overnight humidity recovery persist over western and central New Mexico, where single digit minimum humidity will be widespread Sunday through Tuesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 50 90 53 91 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 40 85 44 85 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 47 85 51 87 / 0 5 0 0 Gallup.......................... 44 87 46 87 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 44 84 47 85 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 44 89 48 90 / 0 5 0 0 Quemado......................... 49 86 51 87 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 57 89 57 90 / 5 5 0 5 Datil........................... 50 84 52 86 / 0 5 0 0 Reserve......................... 51 88 51 90 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 61 93 61 94 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 40 80 44 80 / 0 0 0 5 Los Alamos...................... 53 86 56 86 / 5 10 10 10 Pecos........................... 53 86 56 86 / 5 10 0 10 Cerro/Questa.................... 43 83 47 81 / 0 5 0 10 Red River....................... 38 77 42 76 / 0 5 5 20 Angel Fire...................... 35 77 39 77 / 0 10 5 20 Taos............................ 43 86 48 86 / 0 5 0 10 Mora............................ 47 84 50 83 / 5 10 0 20 Espanola........................ 47 90 51 93 / 0 5 5 5 Santa Fe........................ 53 86 56 87 / 5 10 0 5 Santa Fe Airport................ 52 89 55 90 / 5 10 0 5 Albuquerque Foothills........... 61 91 64 93 / 5 10 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 62 92 64 95 / 5 5 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 54 94 58 97 / 0 5 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 60 93 62 95 / 0 5 0 0 Belen........................... 61 97 62 98 / 0 5 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 57 93 60 96 / 0 10 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 57 95 59 97 / 0 5 0 0 Corrales........................ 59 93 61 96 / 0 10 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 59 96 61 97 / 0 5 0 0 Placitas........................ 59 90 61 92 / 0 10 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 60 92 62 94 / 0 10 0 0 Socorro......................... 64 99 64 100 / 0 5 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 55 85 57 86 / 5 10 0 5 Tijeras......................... 57 88 59 89 / 5 10 0 5 Edgewood........................ 54 88 57 89 / 5 10 0 5 Moriarty/Estancia............... 51 90 53 90 / 5 10 0 5 Clines Corners.................. 55 86 55 86 / 10 10 0 5 Mountainair..................... 57 89 58 90 / 5 10 0 5 Gran Quivira.................... 58 91 59 91 / 5 5 0 5 Carrizozo....................... 66 95 65 95 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 62 87 62 87 / 0 0 0 5 Capulin......................... 55 86 56 78 / 0 5 10 40 Raton........................... 52 89 55 83 / 0 0 10 30 Springer........................ 52 89 54 87 / 0 5 5 20 Las Vegas....................... 52 88 54 86 / 5 10 0 20 Clayton......................... 62 92 61 84 / 0 0 20 30 Roy............................. 57 91 57 85 / 5 5 5 20 Conchas......................... 62 96 61 95 / 5 5 0 10 Santa Rosa...................... 64 97 62 94 / 0 5 0 10 Tucumcari....................... 64 99 63 99 / 10 0 5 10 Clovis.......................... 65 99 63 95 / 5 0 10 10 Portales........................ 66 101 64 98 / 5 0 10 10 Fort Sumner..................... 66 101 64 99 / 5 0 0 5 Roswell......................... 72 108 70 107 / 0 0 0 5 Picacho......................... 67 98 67 98 / 0 5 0 10 Elk............................. 64 94 65 95 / 0 5 0 5 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning until 7 PM MDT this evening for NMZ123. Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ238. Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM MDT Wednesday for NMZ238. Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM MDT Thursday for NMZ238. && SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....17 AVIATION...99
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 41 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:42 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Dry microburst at the automated weather station at Cannon Air Force Base KCVS.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1095862.