There was little improvement during the month of September for Central, South Central and Southeastern Kansas. There remain large areas of extreme drought (D3) and some areas of exceptional drought (D4).
Every event with a place to put it; 24 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ICT wrote it up.
There was little improvement during the month of September for Central, South Central and Southeastern Kansas. There remain large areas of extreme drought (D3) and some areas of exceptional drought (D4).
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 10:32 PM CST, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 1132 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 314 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK: * Mostly above normal temperatures. * Mostly dry weather, although slight chances for periodic showers/storms may arrive by Monday evening, and possibly better chances by mid-late week. * Elevated grassland fire danger possibly Friday-Tuesday. * Worsening drought conditions possible over the coming 7 days. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 314 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 Quiet and dry weather should continue the next several days. Anomalous heights/thickness building in from the west will support temperatures warming through the 90s for most Friday-Sunday, with low triple digits possible over central KS Saturday-Sunday. Normal high temperatures this time of year are generally in the upper 80s. Persistent lee troughing will support breezy south winds through the weekend. Also, surface high pressure anchored over the southeast US will keep dewpoints in check, so afternoon through early evening heat indices will likely stay in the 90s to near 100 degrees. Weekend record highs are likely safe, with daily records well into the 100s. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 314 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 Deterministic and ensemble consensus attempts to break the ridge down some next week, which may allow for temperatures not quite as hot by mid-week, although above normal temperatures still look probable. Additionally, could be looking at periodic slight chances for showers/storms late Monday through early Tuesday, as a stalled upper low near the Gulf Coast finally ejects north-northeast over Mid-America. Thinking these hit-or-miss chances will be greatest over southeast KS. Could also be looking at increased shower/storm chances by late Tuesday or Wednesday over mainly eastern and southeast KS, as the trailing end of a cold front grazes the region. The GFS attempts to break the ridge down more than the ECMWF, and thus is a bit more bullish on rainfall chances mid-late next week. Would like to see more ECMWF support before raising PoPs too much, so will only continue periodic slight chance PoPs for now. From a drought perspective...the above normal temperatures in concert with below normal precipitation and breezy south winds could support some drought degradation across Kansas by next Thursday morning's drought monitor issuance. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night) Issued at 1131 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. Breezy conditions are possible for KRSL and KGBD Friday afternoon with southerly winds around 15 to 20 knots at times. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 314 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 Breezy south winds in concert with above normal temperatures and relative humidity in the upper 10s to 30s percent could support low- end VERY HIGH grassland fire danger Friday through Tuesday, especially Sunday-Monday generally northwest of the KS Turnpike. Critical/Red Flag conditions are unlikely. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Wichita-KICT 64 94 64 97 / 0 0 0 0 Hutchinson 62 95 63 98 / 0 0 0 0 Newton 63 95 63 98 / 0 0 0 0 ElDorado 63 93 62 96 / 0 0 0 0 Winfield-KWLD 64 94 62 96 / 0 0 0 0 Russell 66 98 66 102 / 0 0 0 0 Great Bend 64 96 64 100 / 0 0 0 0 Salina 65 98 66 102 / 0 0 0 0 McPherson 62 95 63 98 / 0 0 0 0 Coffeyville 60 92 59 94 / 0 0 0 0 Chanute 59 90 59 92 / 0 0 0 0 Iola 59 90 58 92 / 0 0 0 0 Parsons-KPPF 59 92 59 94 / 0 0 0 0 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...ADK SHORT TERM...ADK LONG TERM...ADK AVIATION...JC FIRE WEATHER...ADK
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wichita KS 424 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-012130- Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase- Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper- Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette- 424 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas, South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Above average temperatures are expected to return Friday, and persist through at least mid to late next week. Afternoon through early evening heat indices in the upper 90s to low 100s are forecast. Persistent dry conditions combined with low humidity and breezy south winds may support lower-end very high grassland fire danger Friday through Tuesday, with the best chances Sunday and Monday. Periodic slight chances for thunderstorms are possible by Tuesday evening, and persisting through late week. At this time, the risk for organized severe storms is low, and widespread meaningful rainfall appears unlikely. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight. && For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at: https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
24 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. Severe drought (D2) covered the county with only the far northwestern section of the county in extreme drought (D3).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county All areas remained in severe drought (D2).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. All areas remained in extreme drought (D3).
There was a slight improvement in the northwestern areas of the county to severe drought (D2). The remainder of the county remained in extreme drought (D3) and the central portions of the county remaining in exceptional drought (D4).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. Most of the county remained in exceptional drought (D4) and the far southwestern areas of the county remained in extreme drought (D3).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. All areas remained in extreme drought (D3).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. Most areas remained in exceptional drought (D4) with far northwestern and far northeastern areas remaining extreme drought (D3).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. The northwestern and southeastern areas of the county remained in extreme drought (D3) and the central areas remained in severe drought (D2).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. Portion of the northeastern parts of the county remained in exceptional drought (D4) with the remainder of the county remaining in extreme drought (D3).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. The county remained in extreme drought (D3).
There was improvement in the far western areas of the county where severe drought shrunk to only a small areas of western Labette county. The remainder of the county remained in either moderate drought (D1) or abnormally dry (D0).
The western areas of the county remained in extreme drought (D3) with the eastern areas worsening to severe drought (D2).
There was improvement in the northeast parts of the county which improved to severe drought (D2) with the remainder of the county staying in extreme drought (D3).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. The central parts of the county remained in severe drought (D2) with the remainder of the county remaining in extreme drought (D3).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. with the far northwestern areas remaining in exceptional drought (D4) with the southwestern areas and western areas in extreme drought (D3). The remainder of the county remained in severe drought (D2).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. The far northern areas of the county remained in severe drought (D2).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. The northern portions of the county remained in extreme drought (D3) with the central areas of the county in severe drought (D2).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. The county remained in extreme drought(D3) for September.
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. All areas remained in extreme drought (D3) with the north and central portions of the county remaining in severe drought (D2).
The southern areas of the county remained in extreme drought (D3) and the northern areas worsened to severe drought (D2).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. The eastern areas of the county remained in extreme drought (D3) and the central areas remained in severe drought (D2).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. The central areas of the county remained in severe drought (D2) with the eastern areas of the county remaining in extreme drought (D3).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. the Southwestern areas of the county remained in exceptional drought (D4) or extreme drought (D3) with the central and northwestern areas remaining in severe drought (D2).
There was no improvement in drought conditions in the county. Central and southwestern areas of the county remained in severe drought (D2) with the northern areas of the county remaining in extreme drought (D3).
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, September 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1139973, 1139974, 1139975, 1139976, 1139977, 1139978, 1139979, 1139980, 1139981, 1139982, 1139983, 1139984, 1139985, 1139986, 1139987, 1139989, 1139990, 1139991, 1139992, 1139993, 1139994, 1139995, 1139996, 1139997.