A lone thunderstorm collapsed in Elkhart County and downed trees in Middlebury.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS IWX wrote it up.
A lone thunderstorm collapsed in Elkhart County and downed trees in Middlebury.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 5:55 PM EST, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 655 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023 .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 321 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023 Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible through the weekend, with the best chances looking to come late Saturday into Sunday. A strong to severe storm with gusty winds is possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening along with locally heavy rain. && .SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday) Issued at 321 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023 An overall low confidence forecast remains for the short term period as the struggle continues for advection of much higher theta-e air into the region due to the limiting factors of past and anticipated MCS impacts. Stratus and fog helped slow the heating today across much of the area with some recovery just taking place over the past several hours in a limited fashion. With dewpoints around 70, MUCAPES are easily in the 1500 to 2000 J/KG range, but shear, low to mid level lapse rates and DCAPE are lacking. A decaying MCS was approaching our western counties with widely scattered new cell development ahead of this feature that will likely take over as the main feature the rest of the afternoon. The above listed parameters will likely limit overall coverage and organization with more of a pulse or loosely organized multi- cell setup expected. Locally heavy rain is the most likely impact into early evening. 1 or more complex may take shape across eastern NE/KS into MO and IA, eventually tracking east and then likely SE along the composite outflow across MO into KY. Can't rule out some showers and storms extending further north from it overnight into early Saturday, but just not enough confidence given the signals to warrant more than chc pops. Again, heavy rain would be the main threat from anything that makes it here. As has been the case the past several days, final outcome of tonight's convection will be key in coverage and intensity of showers and storms Saturday afternoon and evening as better upper level trough arrives. SWODY2 nudged the slight risk into our southern counties mainly for damaging winds. Confidence in this is quite low as there will likely be little overall change in the location of the best instability and location of mesoscale boundaries to steer the storms further north. That's not to say we won't see any rainfall, just that the severe threat is questionable. High PWATs and weaker flow suggest very heavy rainfall could occur, resulting in some minor hydro issues. Something to be monitored but not overly worried about at this stage. && .LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Friday) Issued at 321 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023 Weak upper level ridging will commence at the start of the long term, leading to an overall drier trend into mid week. Chances for showers and storms may increase for Wednesday and beyond as a stronger trough digs into the Plains with the potential for a much better return flow of moisture across the area and subsequent chances for precipitation. Model blends hint at likely pops in these later periods, but far too early to go that high so no more than 50 pops are reflected in the later periods. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening) Issued at 655 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023 Decaying MCV overhead retains just enough forcing to spark isold thunder over far ern zones yet well east of the terminals to start. Largely subsident regime aloft post MVC passage overnight/Sat morning as extensive mid cloud plume lingers. However brief enhanced wrly mid lvl flow could yield a rogue elevated storm yet this evening in the US30 corridor. Primary/sharp theta-e boundary will remain stationary through cntrl MO/IL and a non-factor here for storms although favorable sfc based destabilization is expected by Sat aftn which may yield sct storms invof both terminals late day in proximity as slightly better low level moisture pooling occurs. VFR cigs w/MVFR vis restrictions in haze or br toward daybreak Sat to persist this period. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...NONE. MI...NONE. OH...NONE. LM...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LMZ043-046. && SYNOPSIS...Fisher SHORT TERM...Fisher LONG TERM...Fisher AVIATION...T Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana www.twitter.com/nwsiwx www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Northern Indiana 403 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023 INZ005>009-012>015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-103-104-116-203-204- 216-MIZ078>081-177-277-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-012015- Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall- Fulton IN-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington- Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Northern La Porte- Eastern St. Joseph IN-Northern Kosciusko-Southern La Porte- Western St. Joseph IN-Southern Kosciusko-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI- Branch-Hillsdale-Northern Berrien-Southern Berrien-Williams- Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH- 403 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023 /303 PM CDT Fri Jun 30 2023/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest Michigan and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Thunderstorms will be possible tonight, with locally heavy rain posing the greatest threat. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible this weekend. The confidence in severe weather remains low at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LMZ043-012015- New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI- 403 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of southeastern Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Dense Fog Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible this weekend, but severe storms are not expected. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LMZ046-012015- Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI- 403 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of southeastern Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible this weekend, but severe storms are not expected.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
532 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023
INZ006-008-302215-
Lagrange IN-Noble IN-
532 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Noble
and southeastern Lagrange Counties through 615 PM EDT...
At 532 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Rome City, or near Lagrange, moving east at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Noble
and southeastern Lagrange Counties, including the following
locations... Wolcottville, Elmira, Big Long Lake, Stroh, Eddy, Adams
Lake, Indianola, Oliver Lake and Woodruff.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 4158 8519 4147 8523 4153 8547 4162 8543
4163 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 279DEG 14KT 4156 8540
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
JBALLSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
908 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023
INZ005-006-MIZ078-079-010145-
Lagrange IN-Elkhart IN-St. Joseph MI-Cass MI-
908 PM EDT Fri Jun 30 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Elkhart, northwestern Lagrange, southeastern Cass and southwestern
St. Joseph Counties through 945 PM EDT...
At 907 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bristol, or near Simonton Lake, moving southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Bristol around 915 PM EDT.
Middlebury around 930 PM EDT.
Millersburg around 945 PM EDT.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Shipshewana,
Mottville, Union and Scott.
This includes Interstate 80 in Indiana between mile markers 90 and
111.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 4173 8602 4185 8589 4172 8549 4151 8571
TIME...MOT...LOC 0107Z 302DEG 22KT 4174 8588
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
JBALLThe Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 35 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:34 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A few trees downed or uprooted, with several large tree limbs down in downtown Middlebury.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, June 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1099237.