Hawaii, 2023High Surf in Hawaii, May 3 to 4, 2023
May 3 to 4, 2023 · NWS HFO · 17 events in 17 counties and zones
Large breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet impacted the south facing shores of all the Hawaiian islands. This allowed for strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.
Every event with a place to put it; 17 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 17
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Large breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet impacted the south facing shores of all the Hawaiian islands. This allowed for strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 3, 3:36 AM HST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 3, 3:36 AM HST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
336 AM HST Wed May 3 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Trade winds return today as the low pressure system west-northwest
of the Hawaiian Islands continues to drift westward away from the
state. Periods of showers are possible today, mainly over the
western half of the state through the morning hours. Isolated
thunderstorms remain in the forecast today for Kauai County and
over interior sections of the Big Island in the afternoon hours. A
high pressure ridge builds back in north of the region today and
tomorrow, strengthening trade winds into the breezy to locally
windy range into the weekend. Passing showers will trend back to
the typical windward and mountain areas from Wednesday afternoon
onward.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
An upper level cut off low roughly 600 miles west-northwest of
Kauai continues to drift westward this morning. A convergence band
of thunderstorms associated with this upper low lingers roughly
200 miles west of the state. Enough instability remains near Kauai
for continued periods of showers and a few thunderstorms remain
possible this morning. Upper air balloon soundings from Hilo and
Lihue show subsidence temperature inversion heights around 7,500
feet and 8,500 feet respectively. These temperature inversion
heights should drop through the day today as stabilizing
subsidence increases across the region. The Flood Watch for Kauai
County was cancelled this morning as the threat for flash flooding
has decreased below our watch thresholds.
The weather pattern will transition today from an east to
southeast wind pattern into a moderate to breezy easterly trade
winds. More stable conditions will return as the low exits to the
west and the subtropical high builds in to the north of the
island chain. Trade wind inversion heights will range from 6,000
to 8,000 feet over the next few days which will allow typical
passing windward and mountain showers, favoring the overnight to
early morning hours, with drier conditions expected over leeward
areas. Wind speeds will increase on Thursday into the breezy to
locally windy trade wind range as high pressure continues to build
north of the state. These stronger trade winds will likely last
into the weekend.
More stable conditions are in the forecast from Monday through
next Wednesday with moderate to breezy trade winds and brief
windward and mountain showers. Scattered high level cirrus clouds
will enhance sunrise and sunset colors.
&&
.AVIATION...
An upper-level low slightly more than 550 miles west-northwest of
Kauai is drifting slowly westward. The proximity of this feature
will likely maintain an unstable east-southeast flow over far the
western end of the island chain this morning. Clouds with embedded
scattered showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms will
likely remain in the vicinity of Kauai today. This may result in
periods of MVFR conditions, with isolated IFR conditions, over
Kauai.
Elsewhere, a surface high pressure system far northeast of the
state is moving slowly westward. This is causing the pressure
gradient to begin to tighten over the eastern end of the island
chain. As a result, expect strengthening trade winds to spread
from east to west across the state through this afternoon. The
return of the trade winds will also usher in more stable
atmospheric conditions later today. In the meantime, low clouds
and brief showers may continue to move over east facing sections
of the island chain from Oahu to the Big Island. Note that there
is a slight chance of thunderstorms over upslope sections of the
Big Island during the time of maximum heating this afternoon.
Brief MVFR conditions may occur along east facing sections of the
islands east of Kauai. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to prevail
across most of the eastern two-thirds of the island chain.
By this evening, the increasingly stable easterly trade winds
will likely cover most of the state, including Kauai. Therefore,
a return to a more typical trade wind weather pattern is expected
from this evening through Thursday morning.
No AIRMETs are currently in effect, and none are anticipated this
morning. There is a slight possibility that AIRMET Sierra may be
needed if mountain obscuration develops on Kauai later today.
&&
.MARINE...
A surface trough is nearing the state from the northwest. This
approaching trough has recently assisted in initiating scattered
thunderstorms within a more unstable environment over the offshore
waters west of Kauai. High pressure will move in north of the
state the next couple of days. This will begin a period of more
typical trade winds the next several days. Moderate easterlies
will become locally strong through the notoriously windier marine
zones surrounding Maui County and Big Island. A Small Craft
Advisory (SCA) for these typically windier waters will be in
effect today. This SCA will likely need to be expanded in areal
coverage and extended in time as fresh to strong trade winds
persist into the weekend.
The moderate size, medium to long period northwest swell (310 degree)
that filled in around the islands yesterday will gradually be
declining through Thursday. This has allowed the High Surf
Advisory (HSA) for those shores to expire this morning. Surf along
south-facing shores will be elevated the next several days with
the arrival of a couple of near 4 to 5 foot, longer period south
southwest swells (180-200 degree). The first south southwest swell
coming in today will increase south-facing surf heights to HSA
levels through at least early Thursday. The next south swell (180
degree) is timed to arrive later in the week. East-facing shore
wind wave chop will remain small through the day but will rise
later this week as east trades return and restrengthen over and
upstream of the island chain.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Surf Advisory until 6 AM HST Thursday for south facing shores
of all Hawaiian Islands.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Thursday for Maalaea Bay-
Pailolo Channel-Alenuihaha Channel-Big Island Leeward Waters-Big
Island Southeast Waters.
&&
DISCUSSION...Bohlin
AVIATION...Houston
MARINE...Blood
High Surf, East Honolulu
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- East Honolulu forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.455, -157.961 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Kauai South
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Kauai South forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 22.011, -159.705 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Maui Leeward West
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Maui Leeward West forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Molokai Leeward South
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Molokai Leeward South forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Kona
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Kona forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Honolulu Metro
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Honolulu Metro forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.455, -157.961 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Big Island South
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Big Island South forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Ewa Plain
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Ewa Plain forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.455, -157.961 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Kauai Southwest
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Kauai Southwest forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 22.011, -159.705 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, South Haleakala
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- South Haleakala forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, South Maui/Upcountry
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- South Maui/Upcountry forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Maui Central Valley South
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Maui Central Valley South forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Big Island Southeast
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Big Island Southeast forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Molokai Southeast
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Molokai Southeast forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Lanai South
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Lanai South forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Kahoolawe
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Kahoolawe forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
High Surf, Lanai Leeward
- When
- May 3, 6:00 AM HST to May 4, 3:33 PM HST
- Where
- Lanai Leeward forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large south swell made for hazardous ocean conditions with breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet and strong currents making swimming and other ocean activities dangerous.
- High Surf
- Large waves breaking on the shore that caused damage, erosion or casualties.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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- Debris Flows and Flooding in Washington, May 3 to 5, 2023$6,000 · 54 kt wind · 9 events
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- Frost and Freeze in Alaska, May 3 to 4, 20235 events
- Hail in Texas, May 3, 20231.75 in hail · 3 events
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- Debris Flow and Flood in Colorado, May 3, 2023$1,000 · 2 events
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1094083, 1094084, 1094085, 1094086, 1094087, 1094807, 1094808, 1094809, 1094810, 1094811, 1094812, 1094813, 1094814, 1094815, 1094816, 1094817, 1094818.