Hawaii, 2023

Wildfire in Hawaii, August 20, 2023

August 20, 2023 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A wildfire broke out on the west side of Oahu near Kaena Point.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HFO wrote it up.

A wildfire broke out on the west side of Oahu near Kaena Point.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 20, 3:25 AM HST, 5 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 3:25 AM HST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
325 AM HST Sun Aug 20 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Moderate trade winds deliver a few clouds and showers to windward
areas today, while leeward areas remain mostly dry. Tropical
moisture associated the remnants of Fernanda will move over the
state on Monday, bringing locally heavy rainfall to windward areas
of the Big Island, and potentially Maui County. Windward areas of
Oahu and Kauai will also receive some showers. Little significant
rainfall is expected over most leeward areas, including leeward
Maui. A trend toward breezy and increasingly dry trade wind weather
is expected to begin on Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Satellite imagery shows an overnight increase in low cloud coverage
over both windward and leeward waters, with radar indicating a
modest increase in shower coverage. A few showers are moving into
windward areas, some with small cores of heavier rain, moving too
quickly to provide much relief from the recent dry conditions. Model
analyses indicate the local increase in low cloud cover is related
to the passage of a low-level trough to the N of the islands. Water
vapor imagery shows a broad low aloft centered just S of the Big
Island, with this feature drifting N toward the islands. The center
of the remnant circulation of Tropical Cyclone Fernanda is about 500
miles ESE of Hilo, tracking toward the W near at 15 to 20 mph. The
associated field of increased moisture (PWAT > 2") extends outwards
up to 200 miles N of the center, about 300 miles to the E.

The short-term forecast anticipates moderate trade winds that will
likely allow localized leeward sea breezes to develop this
afternoon. A few showers will move into windward areas, especially
this morning, with fewer showers by the afternoon as the effects of
the passing surface trough wane. While generally benign weather will
prevail today, it looks to be a little cloudier and wetter than the
past couple of days, especially windward. Most leeward areas will
remain dry, including leeward Maui.

Model guidance continues to indicate that the bulk of the moisture
associated with Fernanda's remnant will pass S of the islands from
tonight through Tuesday. However, a significant moisture surge is
expected over the Big Island and Maui late tonight through Monday,
bringing the potential for heavy showers, primarily over windward
areas. In addition to the surge in PWAT, the low aloft (and its mid-
level reflection) will be located over the islands, providing
increased instability due to cooling mid-level temperatures, and
divergence aloft as a negatively-trough develops. Simulated
satellite imagery depicts a period of deeper convection near and
over the Big Island on Monday, thus a slight chance of thunderstorms
has been added to the forecast. In addition, the arrival (and
temporal extent) of heavy showers over windward Maui has been time
shifted to be a bit later as indicated by latest guidance.

Although the potential for heavy rain is fairly high, it should be
fairly short-lived, and is not expected to lead to flash flooding.
There's a good chance of nuisance-level flooding, but the threat of
flash flooding is not great enough to warrant the issuance of a
Flood Watch at this time. Anticipated rainfall amounts are lower
over Kauai and Oahu as the increase in PWAT is not expected to be as
great as that seen farther S. However, dew points rising into the
lower 70's will make it feel muggy statewide.

By Tuesday the mid-level low will lift N of the area, and the trough
aloft will weaken, allowing stability to increase. This will lead to
drier trade wind weather, with building high pressure far NNE of the
islands supporting breezy trade winds. Pronounced drying is expected
by mid-week as a mid-level ridge develops over the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
Moderate easterly trade winds will continue, with clouds and showers
favoring windward and mountain areas. Rainfall chances will trend up
over the far eastern end of the state tonight through Monday as an
area of deep tropical moisture approaching begins to fill in. This
will translate to periods of MVFR CIGS/VSBYS for windward portions
of the Big Island and Maui County.

There are currently no AIRMETs, and none are expected through this
afternoon. AIRMET Sierra for mountain obscuration will become a
possibility tonight into Monday for windward sections of the Big
Island and Maui County.

&&

.MARINE...
Surface high pressure far north of the state will maintain moderate
to locally fresh trade winds through tonight. As the high builds on
Monday, trade winds will strengthen to locally strong speeds with a
Small Craft Advisory likely for the windier waters around Maui
County and the Big Island. At the same time, the remnants of
Fernanda will pass south of the islands, bringing an increase in
showers, especially over the windward waters Monday through Tuesday
and a slight chance of thunderstorms over the Big Island waters on
Monday. High pressure will remain far north of the state through the
second half of next week with fresh to locally strong winds
persisting.

Surf along east facing shores will remain small through the rest of
the weekend due to lighter than normal trades over and upstream of
the state. A long-period east swell generated by Hurricane Hilary
could bring an increase in surf Monday through the middle of next
week. The latest forecast guidance continues to indicate a long-
period swell peaking around 3 to 4 feet Tuesday and holding through
Wednesday, before quickly lowering through Thursday. Forecast
confidence for this swell's details remains low due to its distant
source and the compact nature of tropical cyclones. South shore surf
will remain small through the weekend. A small, medium-period south
to south-southeast swell arriving early next week should produce a
modest increase along south facing shores.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Birchard
AVIATION...Gibbs
MARINE...TS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Waianae Coast

When
August 20, 9:00 AM HST to 11:00 PM HST
Where
Waianae Coast forecast zone
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
21.455, -157.961 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A brush fire ignited on the Keawaula side of Kaena Point State Park. The Beach parked remained closed that day as the firefighters worked to put out the blaze.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Hawaii in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Hawaii, August 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1122239.