Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms occurred within a favorable environment for downbursts. Several reports of damaging winds were received.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms occurred within a favorable environment for downbursts. Several reports of damaging winds were received.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 21, 7:29 PM EST, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 829 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 825 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023 The surface analysis reveals typical weak surface flow over the area for this time of year with the sea breeze boundary pushing slowly northward into portions of far southern Georgia and southeast Alabama. At the same time, isolated to scattered strong to severe convection continues across portions of central Alabama extending eastward into northern and central Georgia. The 00z KTAE sounding reveals a strongly unstable airmass with SBCAPE around 2800 j/kg and DCAPE quite high around 1170 j/kg. However, a cap is in place from about 830-800 mb, which suppressed convection across our area today. For later this evening, the hi-res guidance does still show the potential for some of that activity to our north to move southeastward and clip the northern section of our forecast area before eventually weakening. Forecast soundings across our northern counties show less of a cap while maintaining high instability and about 20 knots of deep layer shear, which is actually decent for summer standards. Thus, we would still not rule out a few strong to severe storms across our northern counties this evening with gusty winds. && .NEAR TERM... (Through Saturday) Issued at 316 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023 Upper ridge will break down tonight into Saturday as a series of short waves helps to deep a trough over the eastern U.S. The first shortwave will support increased chances for thunderstorms this evening into the overnight hours, especially across the northern and eastern portions of the forecast area. With modest deep layer shear (25-30kt) and mid-level lapse rates (6.5-7/km), a few strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out with this activity. For Saturday, another shortwave will move into the base of the developing trough, supporting additional showers and thunderstorms across the entire forecast area. With plenty of instability and still around 25kt of keep layer shear, a few strong to severe storms will still be possible. Thus, SPC continues to highlight the region with a marginal risk for severe storms. Heat-wise, temperatures should be a bit cooler than today, both due to the lower 500mb heights as the ridge breaks down, and the increased convective coverage by mid to late afternoon. && .SHORT TERM... (Saturday night through Sunday night) Issued at 316 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023 Upper troughing continues establishing itself across the Eastern US late this weekend as its base cascades down further into the region. This pattern will keep cyclonic flow aloft in place while prompting a corresponding frontal boundary to sag/linger towards the coast. The environment should remain seasonably unstable and very moist with above-normal lift to support additional rounds of scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of strong to damaging wind gusts, small hail, and heavy rainfall. Axis of highest precipitation is expected to be along the front. Its slow-moving, zonally oriented nature could spell flooding trouble via training convection that is likely to be ongoing into Saturday evening. By Sunday, elevated rain chances shift across/south of the I-10 corridor as relatively drier air attempts to filter in from the north Sunday night into Monday morning. The SPC has a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather over the Deep South for Day 2 - valid 12Z Saturday to 12Z Sunday. Modeled soundings showing plentiful instability, rich moisture, steep low/mid-level lapse rates, and unseasonably strong deep-layer shear with afternoon Inverted-V profiles justify this outlook. A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Excessive Rainfall also remains in place and spills over into Monday. One silver lining to the short-term period is a reprieve from dangerous heat thanks to considerable cloud cover from increased convective coverage. Forecast highs are in the upper 80s with heat indices around the low 100s while overnight lows drop into the 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Thursday) Issued at 316 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023 At the beginning of the period, high temperatures will remain in the upper 80s to low 90s on Monday with prevailing westerly winds from 5-10 kts throughout Monday and Tuesday. Scattered thunderstorms are also likely as moisture lingers along a nearby front while upper troughing is slow to lift. Heavy rainfall appears to still be a concern, so cannot rule out some flooding problems. Best rain chances are along and south of I-10 into the Gulf on Monday with diminishing chances throughout Tuesday as relatively drier air continues advecting from the north. Otherwise, partly cloudy conditions are expected. Upper ridging then begins to build back in, which should revert us to more of a typical summertime pattern. Low temperatures will be in the mid to low 70s throughout the period, preceded by very warm to hot daytime temperatures for the following days. High temperatures for next week likely reach the mid to upper 90s with widespread peak heat indices returning to the low 100s near the end of the long term. Winds will be variable throughout the rest of the period thanks mainly to prevailing surface high pressure. Scattered thunderstorms are possible from Wednesday, onward mainly along the seabreeze, with convection shifting over the Gulf during the overnight/early-morning hours. A mix of late-July sun and clouds are forecast inland away from thunderstorms. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 742 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023 A few showers may be possible this evening at DHN and ABY as storms to the northwest across SE Alabama continue moving southeast. Storm intensity is expected to decrease into the overnight hours, turning into mostly shower activity as instability decreases post-sunset. Mostly VFR conditions are expected tomorrow as convection fires off along a stationary boundary to the north late in the TAF period with widespread thunderstorms possible, impacting all terminals. However, confidence is currently low on timing and coverage. && .MARINE... Issued at 316 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023 Generally favorable boating conditions prevail outside of thunderstorms, for which chances return to the forecast this weekend into next week. The main concern with maritime convection would be strong to gusty, erratic winds, frequent lightning, and the potential for waterspouts. A west to southwest wind around 15 knots or less persist with wave heights around 2 feet the next few days. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 316 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023 Wetter and slightly less hot conditions are on tap for the weekend as the coverage of showers and thunderstorms increases for Saturday and Sunday. Therefore, fire weather concerns are relatively low outside of the potential for lightning and winds from thunderstorms. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 316 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023 Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected this weekend into early next week. The presence of a sagging frontal boundary within a moist/unstable airmass supports a marginal threat for isolated instances of flash flooding from training convection through at least Monday. Saturday and Sunday are shaping up to be the wettest days of the period. Seven-day forecast amounts are widespread 1-2" (isolated higher). However, local CAMs paint high probabilities for 3" this weekend nearly areawide and lower-end potential for 6" over the same time span. The latter is currently the reasonable "worst case" that is focused over parts of SE AL, FL Panhandle, and lower I-75 corridor. Meanwhile, all area rivers remain in good shape, but could see some rises depending on the precipitation pans out. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 77 95 75 88 / 20 70 50 70 Panama City 80 91 77 86 / 20 60 60 80 Dothan 76 92 73 88 / 30 70 70 50 Albany 76 92 73 88 / 50 70 60 50 Valdosta 76 95 74 88 / 30 70 50 60 Cross City 78 94 78 87 / 20 60 30 80 Apalachicola 80 91 79 86 / 20 60 40 80 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && UPDATE...DVD NEAR TERM...Camp SHORT TERM...IG3 LONG TERM....SHB AVIATION...Oliver MARINE...SHB FIRE WEATHER...Camp HYDROLOGY...IG3
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1000 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023
GAZ126>128-130-131-220230-
Worth GA-Lee GA-Irwin GA-Turner GA-Ben Hill GA-
1000 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Irwin,
Turner, southern Lee, Ben Hill and northern Worth Counties through
1030 PM EDT...
At 1000 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near McRae to Leesburg. Movement was southeast
at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Leesburg, Ashburn, Fitzgerald, Albany, Worth, Terrell, Sycamore,
Warwick, Rebecca, Stocks, Forrester, Amboy, Palmyra, Red Rock, Hobby,
Turner Co Airport, Bowens Mill, Abba, Lulaville and Century.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3154 8400 3156 8398 3163 8401 3165 8399
3165 8403 3162 8405 3162 8423 3177 8428
3185 8394 3180 8380 3180 8361 3185 8361
3185 8318 3181 8313 3178 8299
TIME...MOT...LOC 0200Z 329DEG 12KT 3203 8294 3175 8417
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
HanerSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1012 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023
ALZ065>067-GAZ120>122-220245-
Dale AL-Henry AL-Coffee AL-Quitman GA-Randolph GA-Clay GA-
1012 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northern Dale,
northern Henry, northern Coffee, northwestern Clay, northern Randolph
and Quitman Counties through 1045 PM EDT/945 PM CDT/...
At 1011 PM EDT/911 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Lumpkin to near Osco
to Goshen. Movement was south at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Elba, Abbeville, Fort Gaines, Georgetown, Cuthbert, Fort Novosel,
Ariton, Lee, Mixons Crossroads, Wire Bridge, Curtis, Watson
Crossroads, Scottsboro Crossroads, Ricks Place, Roeton, Thomas Mill
Creek, Phillips Crossroads, Arcus, Hatcher and Morris.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3197 8495 3195 8496 3192 8491 3192 8461
3182 8460 3157 8516 3147 8600 3137 8620
3153 8619 3154 8614 3162 8615 3162 8542
3171 8542 3170 8524 3177 8516 3177 8512
3189 8513 3199 8507
TIME...MOT...LOC 0211Z 343DEG 23KT 3199 8486 3182 8525 3172 8613
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
HanerSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1029 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023
ALZ067-GAZ120>123-142-220300-
Henry AL-Quitman GA-Randolph GA-Calhoun GA-Clay GA-Early GA-
1029 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Henry
County in southeastern Alabama, Clay, southwestern Randolph, western
Calhoun, northern Early and southeastern Quitman Counties in
southwestern Georgia through 1100 PM EDT/1000 PM CDT/...
At 1029 PM EDT/929 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 8 miles southeast of Fort Gaines, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Fort Gaines, Cuthbert, Edison, Arlington, Bellville, Bluffton,
Shorterville, Walter F. George Lock And Dam, Parksville, Carnegie,
Hayes, Watson Crossroads, Crossroads, Pecan, Randolph Co A/p, Aycock
Mill, Morris, Jones Crossing, Bethel and Suttons Corner.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3182 8482 3165 8461 3141 8467 3144 8517
3161 8515 3167 8503 3187 8500
TIME...MOT...LOC 0229Z 279DEG 19KT 3156 8493
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
HanerThe Ft Rucker radar (KEOX), 131 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:32 UTC.
36 thunderstorm wind, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees were blown down across the county, especially the southern portion of the county.
Tree limbs were blown down on roads.
Several trees were blown down across the eastern and northeastern portions of the county.
Several power outages from gusty winds occurred across Irwin county.
Large tree limbs were blown down across Highway 200 at Mile Marker 12 and blocked both lanes.
Several power outages occurred as gusty winds moved through the area in associations with thunderstorms.
Several power outages occurred as gusty winds from thunderstorms moved through the area.
Trees were blown down along New York Road.
Multiple trees were blown down near the intersection of Randolph Ave and Newton Road.
Trees were blown down along Pearce Ave.
A tree was blown down onto Shady Lane.
Trees were blown down along Antioch Road.
A tree was blown down on Bussey Road.
Large tree limbs fell across Highway 112 and blocked one lane Pleasant Grove Church Road.
Trees were blown down along Highway 37.
A tree was blown down on Poulan Shingler Road.
Trees were blown down along Zion Hope Road.
A tree was blown down onto Taylor Road.
Numerous trees were blown down across Mitchell county.
Large tree limbs fell across Highway 93 past Blackwell Lane and blocked all lanes.
A couple of trees were blown down in the Holt community.
A tree was blown down onto J.E. McMillan Road.
Trees were blown down along Pine Level Road.
A tree was blown down along Brindon and Cofty Road.
A tree was blown down on Cool Springs Road near Norman Park Road.
A tree was blown down across Stubbs Road.
Multiple power lines were blown down in Boston, GA.
A tree was blown down just north of Valdosta.
A tree was blown down in the Hahira area.
Lightning struck a vehicle in the middle of I-75 southbound around Mile Marker 10.
Lines were blown down in the Valdosta area.
Lowndes county dispatch reported a tree down just north of Valdosta.
Poles and power lines were blown down south of Valdosta.
A power line fell on a semi-truck.
A tree fell and took down a power line.
A tree was blown down onto a power line on Johnson Street.
A tree was blown down on Leslie Highway near 3rd Street.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, July 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1124619, 1124620, 1124621, 1124622, 1124623, 1124624, 1124625, 1124626, 1124627, 1124628, 1124629, 1124630, 1124632, 1124679, 1124680, 1124681, 1124682, 1124683, 1124684, 1124685, 1124686, 1124687, 1124688, 1124689, 1124691, 1124692, 1124693, 1124694, 1124696, 1122709, 1124697, 1124698, 1124699, 1124700, 1124701, 1124702, 1124703.