A young man drowned in a rip current while swimming in Jensen Beach.
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The episode as NWS MLB wrote it up.
A young man drowned in a rip current while swimming in Jensen Beach.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 6, 3:54 AM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 354 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2023 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, AVIATION, HYDROLOGY... .DISCUSSION... Currently-Tonight... Not a lot going on early this morning across east central Florida as a pattern change continues to take shape across the region. A mid/upper level ridge centered over the Gulf of Mexico has began to build poleward across the Deep Southeast. Flow remains out of the north with dry air advecting southward across central Florida. Likely due to very dry air and a departing trough across the western Atlantic, temperatures have dropped quite a bit farther than anticipated (especially compared to the NBM and along the coast) this morning. Current temperatures are generally down into the upper 40s to mid 50s with the exception of portions of coastal Brevard and Martin counties where they're closer to the low 60s. Additionally, the pressure gradient has finally loosed across the area as a low pressure system tracks farther downstream from the state of Florida across the western Atlantic. Mostly dry conditions are anticipated today as high pressure continues to build over the Gulf of Mexico and the Deep South. However, hi-res guidance shows an influx of moisture this afternoon and into the overnight hours. Just enough moisture (PWATs around 1-1.2") is forecast to generate mostly light showers and/or sprinkles over the local Atlantic waters, as well as along the Treasure Coast this afternoon and into the overnight hours. Otherwise, expect mostly sunny skies today with north- northeasterly winds around 5-10mph. Also, expect much better conditions at the local beaches as seas and surf continue to improve. However, a moderate risk for life-threatening rip currents continues. Afternoon highs are forecast to reach the upper 70s to low 80s. Have trended overnight lows lower than deterministic/blended guidance and more towards GFS/ECMWF MOS given the performance from this morning. Patchy fog is forecast to develop into Tuesday morning, mainly a few hours leading up to sunrise to the north of I-4 which will potentially reduce visibilities to 3 miles or less. Tuesday-Wednesday... Surface high pressure that's meandered around the southeast U.S. and northeast Gulf a bit shifts east across north Florida and into the adjacent Atlantic waters, while mid level ridging builds from the southwestern Gulf towards Florida. Clear and dry conditions prevail, with the only rain chances limited to a coastal shower or two, and a light or gentle northeasterly breeze. Daytime temperatures a tad on the warm side in the low to mid 80s. Cool again Tuesday night for most of ECFL with lows in the upper 50s to low 60s, except the coastal counties from southern Brevard south where lows will be a little above normal in the mid to upper 60s. Lows in the 60s Wednesday night around normal for most, except again the southern coastal counties in the upper 60s to around 70. Thursday-Monday... Mostly quiet conditions through the rest of the work week, then rain chances return this weekend and early next week as moisture increases and a front drops in. High pressure over the nearby Atlantic waters Thursday continues to shift east, as a weakening cold front from a strung-out low pressure system well to the north reaches Florida Saturday. Troughing over the CONUS shunts the mid-level ridge eastward, but remaining in the neighborhood until around Monday when an reinforcing shortwave swings through. Left behind by its upper level support, the front looks to stall across the Florida peninsula through the weekend and into Monday. Rain chances 20-30 pct for most of ECFL on Sunday and Monday, and a slight chance for some thunderstorms limited to the southern coastal counties for now. Continued warming through the later part of the week, with afternoon highs in the mid 80s Thursday, and then mid to upper 80s Friday and Saturday. A bit of cooling Sunday with highs back in the mid 80s, then more cooling possible Monday as high pressure drops in from the CONUS. Overnight lows generally in the 60s, maybe around 70 in the southern counties. Light winds through Saturday, then picking up again the second half of the weekend into early next week. && .MARINE... Issued at 246 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2023 Currently-Tonight... Boating conditions will continue to gradually improve as high pressure builds over the Southeastern U.S. North-northeasterly winds around 15-20kts offshore (20-60nm) and 10-15kts nearshore will diminish into the overnight hours to about 6-12kts. Seas will build up to 3-5ft with up to 6ft in the offshore waters. Small Craft Should Exercise Caution in the offshore waters today. Isolated showers and/or sprinkles are forecast this afternoon and into the overnight hours, mainly across the Gulf Stream. Tuesday-Friday... Generally favorable boating conditions as high pressure shifts east across the local Atlantic waters. Winds NE-E 5- 10 kts Tuesday and Wednesday veer to E-SE 10-15 kts (laying down to 5-10 kts during the overnight) Thursday and Friday. Seas 3-4 ft Tuesday subside to 2-3 ft Wednesday. Mostly dry conditions, but a few marine showers can't be ruled out. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 246 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2023 Dry air continues to filter in from the north today as high pressure builds over north Florida, but humidity values start to recover with the only critical Min RHs (30-40 pct) forecast along and north of the I-4 corridor to around DeLand. Min RHs forecast 40 pct or higher across the rest of east central Florida today. By Tuesday, Min RHs 40 pct or across all of ECFL as moisture increases. Winds N-NE around 10 mph today, and light Tuesday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 246 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2023 VFR conditions are forecast. Dry air will continue to filter in as high pressure builds over the Gulf of Mexico and Deep Southeast today. Expect northerly winds around 5-10kts. The potential for low stratus and patchy fog exists overnight into Tuesday morning but is towards the end of the TAF period, but considerations may be needed later, mainly along and to the north of I-4. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 246 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2023 Natural flow on the Saint Johns River near Astor remains hindered due to northerly winds and tides. Water levels were observed at 2.9 feet this morning which is slightly below Moderate Flood Stage. Slow improvements in the river level is forecast, with the river expected to fall through Minor Flood Stage this week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 78 60 79 60 / 0 0 10 10 MCO 82 60 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 81 64 81 66 / 10 10 10 10 VRB 82 65 83 67 / 10 20 10 10 LEE 81 56 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 82 60 83 61 / 0 0 10 10 ORL 83 62 83 63 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 82 65 82 67 / 10 20 10 10 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && Fehling/Haley
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Melbourne FL 407 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2023 AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159- 164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-070300- Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia- Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia- Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia- Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie- Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard- Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- 407 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2023 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. .RIP CURRENT IMPACT... There is a Moderate Risk of dangerous rip currents at all central Florida Atlantic beaches today. Swim only within sight of a lifeguard, and use caution if entering the surf. .WIND AND SEA IMPACT... Boating conditions remain poor across the offshore Atlantic waters. Small craft should use caution if entering these waters for north-northeast winds around 15 to 20kts and seas of 4 to 6 ft. .RIVER FLOOD IMPACT... Natural flow on the Saint Johns River near Astor remains hindered due to northerly winds and tides. Water levels were observed at 2.9 feet this morning which is slightly below Moderate Flood Stage. Slow improvements in the river level is forecast, with the river expected to fall through Minor Flood Stage this week. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Boating conditions remain poor, especially in the Gulf Stream, but will improve into midweek. There will be a moderate risk of dangerous rip currents through much of the week. Drier conditions through at least Tuesday will lead to sensitive fire weather conditions across the northwest interior, especially north of I-4. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight. Fehling
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A 17 year-old boy from St Lucie County died when he drowned in a rip current swimming at Sea Turtle Beach in Jensen Beach.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Coastal Martin | 2023-11-06 | 17 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, November 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1145725.