Florida, 2023

Wildfire in Florida, May 9, 2023

May 9, 2023 · NWS JAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A wildfire in the Ocala National Forest had grown to 708 acres and was near zero containment.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.

A wildfire in the Ocala National Forest had grown to 708 acres and was near zero containment.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 9, 3:57 PM EST, 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 9, 3:57 PM EST, 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
457 PM EDT Tue May 9 2023

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.NEAR TERM...
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 9 2023

Scattered showers will continue to develop over inland areas this
afternoon, initially developing over inland southeast Georgia and
then progress to be more over northeast Florida in the evening
hours and then pushing its way towards the shoreline. Westerly
winds will become more mild overnight and then shift about to
become more northerly by Wednesday morning as the frontal
boundary to the north continues to push southward. High
temperatures for today will be in the upper 80s and lower 90.
Overnight low temperatures will drop down into the lower to mid
60s over inland areas and in the mid to upper 60s for areas closer
to the shore.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 9 2023

More widespread convection expected for Wednesday as instability
and moisture ahead of the advancing frontal boundary makes for
more conducive conditions for the development of showers and
storms in the afternoon. Strongest developments are expected to
occur along areas with sea breeze collision, expected to be
situated in the vicinity of I-75 as the east coast sea breeze is
boosted by the strengthening north-easterly winds onshore winds.
The pattern for diurnal shower and storm developments will
continue on into Thursday. Initially above average high
temperatures on Wednesday will cool to be closer to the seasonal
average by Thursday as cooler temperatures associated with the air
mass behind the front filter in over the area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 9 2023

The frontal boundary is expected to push through the forecast
area by the end of the week with high pressure conditions and
drier air settling in over the region resulting in inhibited
convective developments over the weekend however potential diurnal
showers with isolated thunderstorms forming over northeast
Florida and adjacent southeast Georgia counties. Daily high
temperatures will experience a warming trend through this period
with high temperatures rising to levels well above the seasonal
average by the end of the weekend and into the beginning of next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 PM EDT Tue May 9 2023

Main update for 18Z fcst was timing of convection expected to
initiate within the 20-22Z time frame, mainly over northeast FL.
Have left out VCTS at SSI, but confidence is high enough for some TS
to affect all other sites through around sunset. Coverage is
too low for any TEMPO groups at this time, though these may be
added to some sites this evening once convection takes shape.
Mostly VFR expected overnight, with patchy fog expected further
inland in a moistening airmass (included MVFR conds at VQQ and GNV
only at this time). Winds shift around midday Wednesday with a
frontal boundary crossing the northern portion of the area. Most
noticeable shift and wind magnitude will be at SSI. More numerous
convection is also expected tomorrow afternoon/evening with the
front, though this is expected to occur after 18Z, and therefore
VFR expected mid morning until the end of the fcst period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 9 2023

High pressure ridge across central Florida today will move
southward as a backdoor cold front moves south along the
southeastern seaboard. The front will move through the coastal
waters on Wednesday, resulting in a shift to elevated onshore
winds and building seas, and a chance of showers and storms
Wednesday through Thursday. A high pressure ridge will build
offshore the southeast states Friday and to the east of the
waters this weekend.

Rip Currents: Low Risk for SE GA and Moderate Risk for NE FL
today. Moderate risk for all beaches on Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  68  89  64  84 /  10  60  10  40
SSI  70  83  69  80 /  10  20  20  30
JAX  66  88  67  83 /  20  50  30  50
SGJ  68  84  69  81 /  20  40  30  40
GNV  65  92  67  86 /  10  70  20  60
OCF  65  94  69  88 /  10  70  20  60

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Eastern Marion

When
May 9, 4:30 PM EST
Where
Eastern Marion forecast zone
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
29.210, -82.057 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wildfire in the Ocala National Forest had grown to 708 acres and was near zero containment.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1097922.