Florida, 2023

Rip Current in Florida, May 20, 2023

May 20, 2023 · NWS JAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Onshore NNE winds and elevated high astronomical tides created an elevated rip current risk at local beaches. A moderate rip current risk of rip currents was advertised.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.

Onshore NNE winds and elevated high astronomical tides created an elevated rip current risk at local beaches. A moderate rip current risk of rip currents was advertised.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 20, 7:54 AM EST, 4 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 20, 7:54 AM EST, 4 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
854 AM EDT Sat May 20 2023

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 841 AM EDT Sat May 20 2023

A light West to Northwest steering flow and drier airmass aloft
will keep rainfall chances below normal once again this afternoon.
Precipitable Water amounts have fallen to around 1.25" across SE
GA, but remain closer to 1.5" across NE FL where the Gulf/Atlantic
sea breeze fronts will push inland to kick off some widely
scattered showers/storms this afternoon across inland NE FL,
mainly south of the I-10 corridor, and severe storms are not
expected, but one or two strong storms with gusty winds possible
along with locally heavy rainfall threat due to the slow storm
motion in Putnam/Alachua/Marion county vicinity late in the day as
the sea breeze fronts merge. Max temps generally in the middle 80s
across SE GA and upper 80s/near 90 across inland NE FL, with
slightly cooler temps along the Atlantic Coast. A few evening
storms over inland NE FL until sunset, then partly to mostly
cloudy skies overnight with mid/high clouds pushing in ahead of
approaching frontal boundary, and even some widely scattered pre
frontal showers/isolated storms possible across inland SE GA
towards morning. Otherwise the usual patchy late night low
stratus/fog over inland areas with lows in the mid/upper 60s
inland and lower 70s along the Atlantic Coast.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Tonight)
Issued at 241 AM EDT Sat May 20 2023

Weak upper ridge will move over the forecast area through Tonight,
leading to a drier short term period with only isolated to widely
scattered afternoon showers/t-storms mainly over our southern
counties in n-ctrl FL. High temperatures will be in the 85-90 range
inland...lower 80s coast. Partly cloudy skies Tonight will lead to
low temperatures in the 65-70 range.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 241 AM EDT Sat May 20 2023

Frontal boundary will press down from out of the northwest on
Sunday leading to scattered to numerous thunderstorms building
throughout the day as the frontal boundary interacts with the
local diurnal sea breeze pattern. Frontal boundary will stall to
the north for this period with widespread showers with
thunderstorms building throughout the forecast area on Monday.
Daily high temperatures will drop from out of the lower 90s on
Sunday down to below average levels on Monday with max temps in
the upper 70s and lower 80s through much of the forecast area.
Overnight low temperatures will similarly drop from out of the
upper 60s and lower 70s down into the mid 60s for inland areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 241 AM EDT Sat May 20 2023

Low pressure center is anticipated to develop along the stalled
frontal boundary by Tuesday resulting in breezy northerly-
northeasterly winds over the forecast area through the rest of the
week with initially more widespread convective developments
expected for the beginning of the forecast period. The frontal
boundary may push across the forecast area by the latter portion
of the week as the area of low pressure moves off to the northeast
leading to less active convection on Thursday. Daily high
temperatures will trend below average through the end of the week.
Increased risks for rip currents are likely during this period
along with a possibility for further coastal impacts.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 738 AM EDT Sat May 20 2023

Low LIFR CIGS/IFR VSBYS at GNV early this morning, otherwise
diurnal heating will develop some MVFR CIGS at TAF sites through
the mid morning hours (15Z or so). Not quite enough moisture for
any significant rainfall today, except for some possible VCSH at
VQQ and VCTS at GNV in the 20-24Z time frame, otherwise mainly SCT
diurnal Cumulus clouds with Easterly winds from the Atlantic sea
breeze in the 8-12 knot range. Mainly VFR conds after sunset with
light and variable winds and some SCT/BKN mid to high clouds. Low
level moisture and near calm winds late in the period will allow
for fog/low stratus to develop at LIFR levels at GNV/VQQ after
09Z, with some MVFR VSBYS possible closer to the Coast at JAX.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 241 AM EDT Sat May 20 2023

Weak High pressure will build north of the region Today.  The next
front will approach from the north Tonight into Sunday, then
shift southward over the waters Sunday night through Monday, while
high pressure strengthens north of the region. This will lead to
stronger onshore flow through the middle of next week. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms during the weekend will become more
numerous during the early part of next week.

Rip Currents: High end Moderate this afternoon and Sunday for NE
FL and SE GA. Stronger onshore flow pattern early next week will
yield high risk then.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  86  67  87  68 /  10  20  70  40
SSI  81  71  83  71 /  10  10  60  50
JAX  87  68  89  69 /  20  10  60  50
SGJ  84  70  86  70 /  20  10  50  50
GNV  91  68  91  69 /  30  30  50  30
OCF  91  68  91  69 /  30  30  40  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, Coastal Flagler

When
May 20, 12:15 PM EST
Where
Coastal Flagler forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
29.471, -81.293 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Five people were rescued at North 11th Street and A1A along in Flagler Beach. A separate rescue of 1 person occurred near the Flagler Beach pier. There were no sustained injuries reported.

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1098188.