California, 2023Flood and Heavy Snow in California, September 29 to 30, 2023
September 29 to 30, 2023 · NWS STO · 6 events in 5 counties and zones
The month of September concluded with thunderstorms that brought heavy rain, rockslides, high elevation mountain snow, and a funnel cloud report.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 6
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The month of September concluded with thunderstorms that brought heavy rain, rockslides, high elevation mountain snow, and a funnel cloud report.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 29, 1:21 AM PST, 4 hours 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 29, 1:21 AM PST, 4 hours 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
221 AM PDT Fri Sep 29 2023
.Synopsis...
Breezy onshore flow briefly returns today before a system drops
southward from the Pacific Northwest and begins to impact interior
NorCal. Precipitation and isolated thunderstorm chances increase
late today through Saturday for much of the region, with some
precipitation potential lingering into Sunday across portions of the
Sierra. Accumulating snowfall will also be possible for portions of
southeastern Tuolumne County, generally above 8000 ft. Quieter and
milder weather is then expected next week.
&&
.Discussion...
As of early this morning, aside from a few pockets of isolated high
clouds, mostly clear skies prevail. This is resulting in another cool
overnight period, with temperatures throughout the Valley in the 50s
to low 60s, and 40s to 50s over the mountains and foothills. An
upper trough currently centered over the Pacific Northwest is
progged to deepen and progress south-southwestward late today into
the weekend. Prior to this, however, onshore flow looks to increase
over the region. Breezy to, at times, gusty south-southwesterly
winds are anticipated as a result, with strongest winds across the
Delta and into adjacent portions of the Sacramento Valley. This flow
pattern and increasing cloud cover from northwest to southeast
throughout the day will work to keep temperatures a few degrees
cooler than yesterday.
As the aforementioned trough does begin to dig down over interior
NorCal late today into Saturday, precipitation chances will begin to
increase as well. Highest probabilities for seeing appreciable
accumulating precipitation remain across the mountains and adjacent
foothills, with lower, but still nonzero chances throughout the
Valley. Latest NBM probabilities favor a 30-60% chance of exceeding
0.5" of precipitation over the mountains and a 20-40% chance of
exceeding 0.25" of precipitation across the Foothills and into
adjacent portions of the Valley. Furthermore, while the bulk of
accumulating snowfall looks to remain south of the STO forecast
area, a chance for accumulating snowfall is still possible over
portions of southeastern Tuolumne County, generally above 8000 ft,
with this system as well. Otherwise, isolated thunderstorm activity
is also expected with this system, as some modest instability will
be present. Highest thunderstorm probabilities initially will be
across the northern forecast area, including the southern Cascades,
northern Sierra, and portions of the northern Valley. Although, this
activity may drop southward with the system as well. Any
thunderstorms that do develop will have the potential for gusty
erratic winds, brief heavy rainfall, occasional lightning, and small
hail.
Moving into Sunday, ensemble guidance begins to show the upper
trough pushing eastward across the Great Basin and toward the Four
Corners region. Resultant precipitation chances will linger over the
southern Sierra on Sunday, while the remainder of interior NorCal
looks to remain dry. Given the orientation of the progressing
trough, some gusty northerly winds are expected on Sunday as well,
particularly across the northern Sacramento Valley. Cool
temperatures and quieter weather then prevail moving into early
next week.
&&
.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Tuesday THROUGH Friday)...
Latest cluster analysis is in good agreement that upper level
ridging will fall into place following the weekend system. This will
lead to a period of quiet, dry, and warming weather across the week
ahead. Temperatures generally look to rebound to near normal values
by Tuesday, and above normal through the middle and latter portions
of the week. Current NBM guidance indicates a 30-50% chance of high
temperatures throughout the Valley exceeding 90F from mid to late
week.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected through 00Z Saturday. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms with local MVFR conditions develop near
KRDD after 00Z and spread southeast overnight. Widespread IFR
conditions likely in the northern Sierra by 06Z Saturday. Areas of
south to west surface wind gusts 20-30 kts develop after 18Z.
&&
.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
Event by event
2 heavy snow, 2 heavy rain, 1 flood, 1 funnel cloud. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy Snow, West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada
- When
- September 29, 6:00 AM PST to September 30, 11:00 PM PST
- Where
- West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
The National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center reported 1 to 6 inches of snow, mainly above 8000 feet in the West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada.
Heavy Snow, Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County
- When
- September 29, 6:00 AM PST to September 30, 11:00 PM PST
- Where
- Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
The National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center reported 1-6 inches mainly in the Lassen National Park area.
Flood, Butte
- When
- September 29, 12:00 PM PST to 11:00 PM PST
- Where
- Butte County, 1.74 mi NW of Magalia to 1.63 mi NW of Magalia
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 39.840, -121.600
California Highway Patrol reported flooding in the roadway on September 29th, 2023.
Heavy Rain, Plumas
- When
- September 29, 12:00 PM PST to September 30, 11:59 PM PST
- Where
- Plumas County, 2.61 mi SW of Merlin
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 39.870, -121.380
Caltrans reported a large rockslide on Highway 70, leading to closure of the road.
Heavy Rain, Butte
- When
- September 29, 6:00 PM PST to 11:00 PM PST
- Where
- Butte County, 0.53 mi W of Magalia
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 39.820, -121.590
California Highway Patrol reported mud and debris across both lanes on September 29th, 2023.
Funnel Cloud, Yolo
- When
- September 30, 1:00 PM PST to 1:45 PM PST
- Where
- Yolo County, 3.24 mi E of Hebron
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 38.680, -121.670
Multiple people on social media shared photos of a cold air funnel near Sacramento International Airport on September 30th, 2023.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
- Heavy Rain
- Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
- Funnel Cloud
- A rotating column of cloud extending from a thunderstorm that did not reach the ground.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heat in Arizona, September 29, 20231 death · 1 event
- Wildfire in Colorado, September 29 to 30, 2023$250,000 · 1 event
- Hail in Minnesota, September 29, 2023$166,000 · 1.5 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flooding in New York, September 29, 202357 events
- Tornado and Hail in Minnesota, September 29, 2023EF0 · 11 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Nebraska, September 29, 20231 in hail · 7 events
- Flash Flooding in Connecticut, September 29, 20234 events
- Flooding in Connecticut, September 29, 20233 events
- Damaging Wind and High Wind in Texas, September 29 to 30, 202354 kt wind · 3 events
- Hail in South Dakota, September 29, 20231.5 in hail · 2 events
- Hail in Minnesota, September 29, 20231.75 in hail · 2 events
- Flash Flood in New Jersey, September 29, 20231 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1141947, 1141948, 1141940, 1141943, 1141942, 1141944.