Arkansas, 2023

Drought in Arkansas, December 21 to 31, 2023

December 21 to 31, 2023 · NWS MEG · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Severe (D2) drought conditions worsened to Extreme (D3) drought conditions across east-central Arkansas, along and south of Interstate 40, during December as below-normal rainfall and warmer-than-normal temperatures persisted. Lake and river levels continued to be at low levels as a result of the drought.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.

Severe (D2) drought conditions worsened to Extreme (D3) drought conditions across east-central Arkansas, along and south of Interstate 40, during December as below-normal rainfall and warmer-than-normal temperatures persisted. Lake and river levels continued to be at low levels as a result of the drought. Low levels on the Mississippi River were impacting barge and river traffic along with hydropower production at Osceola, Arkansas. Pastures were negatively impacted resulting in supplemental feeding and watering of livestock.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 21, 5:05 AM CST, 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 5:05 AM CST, 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
505 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 236 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2023

Dry weather with seasonally cool temperatures will continue
through Friday morning. A wet and unsettled weather pattern will
take shape by the end of the week. Multiple cold fronts and an
upper level low pressure system are expected to bring a prolonged
period of rain showers through the holiday weekend into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 236 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2023

Skies are partly cloudy across the Mid-South early this morning
with temperatures ranging from upper 30s to upper 40s. High
pressure remains in place across the central and southern
Appalachians.

The surface high will remain nearly stationary today. As a result,
south winds will continue to be somewhat milder air into the
region. Temperatures will be a couple of degrees warmer today with
highs in the mid 50s to around 60 degrees. Dry weather will
continue tonight with slightly milder temperatures. Lows Friday
morning will be in the lower 30s to around 40 degrees.

A weak frontal boundary will move across the central and southern
Plains on Friday. This front is forecast to be farther west than
in previous forecasts. It appears that any showers that develop
ahead of this will only reach portions of the Mid-South west of
the Mississippi River on Friday. With the threat of rain confined
to western sections of the region, temperatures will be a little
warmer on Friday with highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s. The frontal
boundary will fall apart as it moves toward the region Friday
night and Saturday with most of the scattered showers remaining
over the northwest half of the Mid-South.

A second cold front will move across the southern Plains on
Sunday, into western Arkansas by Christmas morning and through the
Mid-South Monday night. Showers and a few thunderstorms will
develop ahead of this front and spread across the region starting
Sunday morning and continuing through Christmas evening.

As the cold front moves into Middle Tennessee on Tuesday, rain
will gradually exit the region from west to east. An upper level
low will move into the region on Wednesday with scattered showers
possible over eastern sections of the Mid-South. Colder air will
move into the region behind the upper low with temperatures
returning to more seasonal levels.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 504 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2023

VFR with increasing middle and high clouds through the period. Surface winds
will be a little lighter today thanks to a slightly weaker pressure
gradient.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS
AVIATION...SJM

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Crittenden

When
December 21, 6:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Crittenden forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.208, -90.309 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe (D2) drought conditions developed by the end of the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, December 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1151630.