Alabama, 2023Drought in Alabama, November 9 to 30, 2023
November 9 to 30, 2023 · NWS HUN · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
S. Drought Monitor designated Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions for Jackson and Dekalb Counties as of November 9th.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The U.S. Drought Monitor designated Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions for Jackson and Dekalb Counties as of November 9th.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Huntsville, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 8, 11:50 PM CST, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 11:50 PM CST, 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1150 PM CST Wed Nov 8 2023
...New AVIATION...
.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 850 PM CST Wed Nov 8 2023
No major adjustments were made to the forecast other than a slight
decrease to the winds based on current observations/trends. High
pressure to our southeast is allowing moisture influx from
southwesterly winds to the Tennessee Valley ahead of a cold front
moving into the area tomorrow (more on that in the short term
discussion below). As this front approaches and high pressure is
forced eastward, pre-frontal cloud cover is forecast to increase
overnight. In response to cloud cover, temperatures are forecast
to remain in the mid 50s to mid 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Saturday)
Issued at 203 PM CST Wed Nov 8 2023
By Thursday morning the cold front will be on our door steps just
off to our west in Mississippi and western Tennessee. This will
promote overcast morning conditions, however, rain chances don't
start to build until closer to 12 PM. Rain chances ramp up
throughout the afternoon building from around 20% to the whole
area above 50% by 6 PM. With the initial frontal passage, rain
chances will be highest in NW AL with PoP's above 70% from
Thursday evening through Friday morning. Elsewhere rain chances,
while not quite as high, remain above 50% overnight as well. By
Friday morning the cold front will be just south of our area
however elevated rain chances will remain throughout the day,
this time with highest chances in NE AL. With the front having
passed overnight, highs on Friday will be much cooler, from the
mid 50s to low 60s. Likewise, overnight lows Friday night will be
10-15 degrees cooler in the low to mid 40s.
Saturday presents a welcomed forecast challenge with the
potential for lingering post frontal rain chances through the
weekend. The ECMWF wants to hold onto rain through the weekend
connecting post frontal rain chances to rain chances from a short
wave on Sunday while the GFS favors a drier day on Saturday. For
this forecast package, PoP's of 20-40% were continued during the
day on Saturday with the highest chances (near 40%) along our SE
CWA border as the front will be just to the SE. With the continued
rain chances, daytime highs on Saturday are again reduced to near
and just below 60.
The good news with rain chances remaining through Saturday, storm
total QPF looks to be between a quarter to half an inch, with
highest values in NW AL. While this will by no means be a drought
buster, it will aid in providing some much need relief to our
incredibly dry fuels across the CWA.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 157 AM CST Wed Nov 8 2023
Afternoon update: discussion on rain chances for Saturday has been
updated within the short term discussion. With guidance
reinforcing overnight trends, the remainder of the long term
discussion remains accurate.
A shortwave will dig across the Midwest region on Sunday, and
will help slowly shift the sfc front farther south by Monday. Will
keep similar PoPs (20-40%) in place through Sunday with highs in
the lower 60s. High pressure will settle in behind the passage of
this shortwave, and will begin the next work week with dry
conditions and seasonably mild temperatures with highs in the low
to mid 60s and lows in the lower 40s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1149 PM CST Wed Nov 8 2023
Southwesterly wind shear up to 35 kts at 2000 ft may be present
over the next few hours at both MSL and HSV. Amendments may be
needed if this wind shear decreases sooner than the TAF package
suggests. Scattered cloud cover will increase overnight, becoming
more broken and lowering in height by the late morning hours as a
front approaches the area. MVFR conditions are forecast to impact
both MSL and HSV by 13Z and 15Z, respectively, due to low
ceilings. As rain moves into the area from the west, visibilities
may be lowered to 4SM, continuing MVFR conditions Thursday night
into Friday.
&&
.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&
NEAR TERM...HC
SHORT TERM....RAD
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...HC
Drought, Jackson
- When
- November 9, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 7:00 AM CST
- Where
- Jackson forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.779, -85.999 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The U.S. Drought Monitor designated Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions for Jackson and Dekalb Counties as of November 9th.
Drought, Dekalb
- When
- November 9, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 7:00 AM CST
- Where
- Dekalb forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.460, -85.804 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The U.S. Drought Monitor designated Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions for Jackson and Dekalb Counties as of November 9th.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1146638, 1146639.