Hail in Wisconsin, September 2, 2022

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
221 PM CDT Fri Sep 2 2022

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Fri Sep 2 2022

KEY MESSAGES:

- A few storms possible this evening across southern MN and WI.

- Dry and cooler this weekend, then trending warmer than normal next
  week.

At 2 PM this afternoon, the cold front was located from Duluth
southwest to New Ulm and Sioux City. Temperatures have risen into the
80s area wide, with dew points in the mid to upper 60s ahead of the
front. Cloud cover continues to decrease and there are yet no signs
of cu development, indicative of convective initiation. Low level
wind fields suggest the strongest frontal forcing is across northern
and parts of western WI, where the best chance for a storm or two
will be later today. CAMs are less and less optimistic for
development this far west, thus reduced PoPs to low chance at best.

Noticeably cooler and drier air will build in with high pressure
this weekend. Highs in the 70s are expected both days with lows in
the 40s, except low 50s in the metro. A couple readings in the 30s
are possible, particularly in central MN and northwest WI.

High pressure will settle from the Great Lakes to New England next
week. With the jet stream remaining well to the north, quiet
conditions will prevail (near zero PoP through Thursday) and
temperatures will trend warmer than normal in the 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Fri Sep 2 2022

VFR through the period. A cold front will shift winds from southwest
to north later today and this evening. A few storms may develop near
EAU this evening, but potential remains too low to introduce a
prevailing or tempo group at the moment.

KMSP...Any TS development should remain east later today, thus
maintained a dry forecast with just a wind shift.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
Sun...VFR. Wind E 5-10 kts.
Mon...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts.
Tue...VFR. Wind S 10 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...Borghoff
AVIATION...Borghoff

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
236 PM CDT Fri Sep 2 2022

MNZ063-070-077-078-084-085-092-093-WIZ014>016-023>028-031945-
Washington-Dakota-Rice-Goodhue-Waseca-Steele-Faribault-Freeborn-
Polk-Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Chippewa-Eau Claire-
236 PM CDT Fri Sep 2 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Minnesota...south central Minnesota...southeast Minnesota...
northwest Wisconsin and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A few thunderstorms may develop this evening. Large hail and
damaging winds are possible with any storm that develops.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed.

MNZ041>045-047>062-064>069-073>076-082-083-091-031945-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Yellow Medicine-
Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-
Le Sueur-Watonwan-Blue Earth-Martin-
236 PM CDT Fri Sep 2 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Minnesota...east central Minnesota...south central Minnesota...
southwest Minnesota and west central Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed.

Borghoff

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
539 PM CDT Fri Sep 2 2022

WIZ014>016-023-025-027-022345-
Chippewa WI-Polk WI-Barron WI-St. Croix WI-Dunn WI-Rusk WI-
539 PM CDT Fri Sep 2 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Rusk, northern Dunn,
central and eastern St. Croix, northwestern Chippewa, southern and
eastern Barron and southeastern Polk Counties through 645 PM CDT...

At 537 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles east of Birchwood to 7 miles east of
New Richmond. Movement was east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rice Lake, Ladysmith, Hudson, New Richmond, Barron, Chetek, Baldwin,
Hammond, Cameron, Roberts, Woodville and Glenwood City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

If on or near a lake, get out of the water and move indoors or
inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 10 miles
from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you are close
enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now! Do not
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 4533 9116 4506 9168 4494 9231 4494 9275
      4498 9277 4564 9149 4564 9078
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 262DEG 22KT 4565 9141 4511 9239

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TDK