Utah, 2022

Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Utah, September 28 to 29, 2022

September 28 to 29, 2022 · NWS SLC · 16 events in 6 counties and zones

A late September moisture surge yielded isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms from roughly September 28 through the 30, some of which resulted in strong wind gusts. Some isolated flash flooding was noted in some southern Utah locations as well.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
16

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SLC wrote it up.

A late September moisture surge yielded isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms from roughly September 28 through the 30, some of which resulted in strong wind gusts. Some isolated flash flooding was noted in some southern Utah locations as well.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Salt Lake City, UT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 28, 3:18 AM MST, 7 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 28, 3:18 AM MST, 7 hours 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
418 AM MDT Wed Sep 28 2022

.SYNOPSIS...Moisture will continue to spread across the area
through Thursday, bringing increased precipitation chances to the
region. A cold front will move into northern Utah on Friday,
supporting continued precipitation chances before a gradual drying
trend begins this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM (Through 12Z/6AM Friday)...Early morning analysis and
satellite products depict a decaying high pressure ridge near the
Four Corners region, with a northwestward extending ridge axis
located across Utah. Meanwhile, a shortwave is noted to our
southwest across southern California while an area of low pressure
lurks just west of the Washington state coastline. Utah and
southwest Wyoming are now placed in between the above-mentioned
large-scale features, and as a result, deep-layer west-southwest
flow has developed. Mid-level moisture advection is well underway
early this morning within this flow, and a mid-level cloud deck
with embedded virga/sprinkles has developed from SW Utah
northeastward into northern Utah, captured best by the high-res
FV3. Given antecedent dry low-levels, a couple of these showers
will be capable of producing gusty outflow winds this morning. As
we head through the day, the above-mentioned California shortwave
and its associated subtle vorticity advection will swing
northeast through the state, providing some larger-scale forcing
to support convective initiation. General theme for the day will
feature gradually increasing shower and thunderstorm coverage,
with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms common by
afternoon. An exception will be across southeast Utah and the
Swell, where moisture will be more limited. Due to the presence of
initially dry low-levels through much of the day, forecast
soundings are of the inverted-v variety, and flow through the
boundary layer is unidirectional out of the southwest-- with
steep low to mid level lapse rates present as well. Thus, showers
and storms will be capable of producing gusty and erratic outflow
winds/microbursts. 00Z HREF confirms this risk, with a 70%
probability of thunderstorm gusts of >30kt painted across Dugway
and the Great Salt Lake Desert late this afternoon. As low-levels
gradually moisten through the day, a few showers and storms will
be capable of producing locally heavy rain, and any training
storms will increase the flash-flood risk across susceptible
areas. With PWATs forecast to rise into the 0.6-0.8" range by late
today, the available quality of moisture pales in comparison to
what was observed last week, and instability is forecast to only
be of the modest variety, thus widespread heavy rainfall potential
is absent from this forecast period. However, training heavier
cells do still carry some risk for flash-flooding if they train
over sensitive areas.

As we head through tonight, a vort lobe is progged to slide
eastward across northern Utah as the earlier mentioned area of low
pressure moves into Washington state and Oregon. Increasing
dynamics by way of improving upper divergence will maintain
isolated showers across northern Utah and SW Wyoming overnight,
and modest elevated instability will support an isolated
thunderstorm risk. Forcing for ascent will continue to improve as
we head through the day Thursday with the approach of the low
(forecast to move into the Idaho Panhandle by this time), and
moisture quality improves at the same time across northern Utah as
evidenced by the emergence of a plume of IVT across northern Utah
and SW Wyoming by Thursday afternoon. Thus, periods of showers and
thunderstorms will develop across northern Utah (maximized
along/north of I-70) during the afternoon, with heavier cells
capable of producing over 0.10"/hr rainfall rates. Given the
continued presence of large-scale ascent, global models and
ensembles are in good agreement depicting continued showers across
northern Utah and SW Wyoming lingering through Thursday night.
Precipitation production will be further buoyed via increasing low
to mid-level frontogenesis courtesy of a cold front approaching
from the northwest. As we approach the end of the forecast period
late Thursday night, snow levels will undergo gradual descent,
becoming low enough by late Thursday night to provide increasing
potential for at least a light coating of slushy snow across the
high Uintas. At this time, accumulations are expected to remain
light given limited wet-bulb potential.

.LONG TERM (After 12Z/6AM Friday)...Minor impacts from
precipitation and wind are expected Friday through Saturday as the
trough centered over the forecast area slowly lifts, exiting to
the northeast through the weekend. Notably, this system will bring
some of the coldest H7 temps of the season to the Utah/Idaho
border. While the highest peaks will see temperatures fall to just
above/near freezing, it will be difficult to realize the full
extent of those cooler temps in valleys overnight given cloud
cover and gusty winds munitioning a well-mixed boundary layer in
most areas. That said, areas along the Wasatch Front may fall near
50F, with the Wasatch Back and central Utah valleys in the mid to
low 40s. Expect large temperature swings with daytime highs
rapidly warming on Saturday, Sunday, and beyond as cloud cover
recedes each day.

Gusty winds are expected for exposed terrain across the entire state
in the wake of the trough Friday and especially Saturday, but will
remain relatively tame thanks to the slackening gradient of the
weakening trough. Following Thursday's precipitation, the lower
levels moisten, and expecting lower LCLs and a better environment
for more widespread precipitation across south central and eastern
Utah on Friday, aided by lift generated with an incoming vort lobe
surging through the base of the trough. While lacking the
frontogenetical forcing of the day prior, reasonable precipitation
chances exist for much of the state east of I-15, and greater still
for the high terrain. As the parent trough lifts, the best dynamics
will shift north towards the eastern valleys, Uinta mountains, and
southwest Wyoming, with precipitation continuing through Saturday
morning and possibly into the afternoon before tapering off.
Increasing stability in the mid-levels is likely to transition
precipitation to more light and stratiform in nature with a greater
orographic component at the tail end of the event.

The aforementioned scenario is the one of greatest likelihood at
this time, but it is worth noting that 27% of the ensemble
membership produce a less progressive and weaker system that fails
to bring as much moisture through the base of the trough. Another
12% of the membership suggest faster progression enhancing the
impact of the dry slot and limiting the precipitation to eastern
Utah and western Colorado. For the upcoming workweek, uncertainty
grows among the ensembles, though some extent of ridging is present
in all. Generally expecting dry, cloudless, and gradually warming
conditions, though displacement of the ridge in some solutions would
allow for weak disturbances to slide into the region by mid next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...KSLC...Showers west of the terminal this morning are
producing weak (10-12kt) outflow wind gusts, which are expected to
periodically disrupt the southeast drainage flow. Winds are expected
to stay southerly through the valid TAF period outside of outflow
wind gusts produced by any showers that may form northwest of the
terminal, especially this afternoon. Dry air near the surface should
help keep high CIGs and good VSBYs maintaining VFR conditions
through the valid TAF period.

.REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected from late morning through the afternoon
across central and especially southern Utah, increasing in coverage
across the state into the afternoon. Generally south to southwest
winds will increase through the morning, with gusty southerly winds
expected at most terminals. Erratic outflow winds will be the main
impact from any nearby showers or thunderstorms. Showers may linger
through the evening and overnight into Thursday, especially in the
eastern half of the forecast area.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Moisture continues to increase from southwest to
northeast across the state early this morning, with some high
based, light showers observed. As moisture continues to increase
today in conjunction with a disturbance moving northeastward
across the area, expect shower and thunderstorm coverage to
increase as well. Showers will be initially dry, especially for
northern areas, before trending wetter as we head through the day.
Due to the initially dry low levels, showers and storms will be
capable of producing gusty and erratic outflow winds. As activity
gradually trends wetter, the main threat with this activity will
transition to a local heavy rainfall threat. Some showers and
thunderstorms will linger across northern Utah tonight before
increasing in coverage with daytime heating on Thursday,
especially across the mountains, eastern valleys, and northern
Utah generally along and east of the Great Salt Lake. A cold front
will then move through northern Utah on Friday, bringing cooler
temperatures along with widespread showers and isolated
thunderstorms, mainly along and east of I-15. Showers will linger
across many of these same areas on Saturday as an area of low
pressure meanders around southeast Idaho. Shower and thunderstorm
coverage will trend dryer and more isolated on Sunday as the low
moves away. Drier and warmer conditions then arrive for early
next week.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

ADeSmet/Wessler

For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php

The radar

The Salt Lake City radar (KMTX), 78 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:49 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

14 thunderstorm wind, 2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tooele

When
September 28, 10:50 AM MST
Where
Tooele County, 2.81 mi S of Grantsville
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.560, -112.480

The Grantsville South weather station recorded a wind gust of 69 mph as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tooele

When
September 28, 4:55 PM MST
Where
Tooele County, 6.13 mi SSW of (Dpg)michael Aaf Dug
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.100, -112.980

The Tower Grid weather station recorded a wind gust of 59 mph as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Salt Lake

When
September 28, 6:50 PM MST to 7:00 PM MST
Where
Salt Lake County, 1.43 mi WNW of Garfield
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.736, -112.196

The Beach weather station recorded an initial wind gust of 66 mph at 6:50 pm MST, with a peak gust of 75 mph at 7:00 pm MST. These gusts were associated with outflow from clusters of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Salt Lake

When
September 28, 6:50 PM MST to 7:20 PM MST
Where
Salt Lake County, 2.13 mi W of Garfield
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.734, -112.210

The Marina weather station recorded an initial wind gust of 60 mph at 6:50 pm MST, with a peak wind gust of 61 mph at 7:20 pm MST. These gusts were associated with outflow from clusters of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tooele

When
September 28, 6:50 PM MST
Where
Tooele County, 1.96 mi S of Ellerbeck
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
40.722, -112.564

The I-80 at MP 81 Dolomite weather station recorded a wind gust of 66 mph as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tooele

When
September 28, 7:00 PM MST to 7:20 PM MST
Where
Tooele County, 4.31 mi NNE of Lake Pt
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
40.723, -112.226

The SR-201 at I-80, weather station recorded an initial peak wind gust of 70 mph at 7:00 pm MST, and a lesser wind gust of 64 mph at 7:20 pm MST. These gusts were associated with outflow from clusters of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Salt Lake

When
September 28, 7:00 PM MST to 7:10 PM MST
Where
Salt Lake County, 2.66 mi W of Saltair
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
40.770, -112.151

The I-80 at MP 107 weather station recorded an initial wind gust of 59 mph at 7:00 pm MST, and a second wind gust of 59 mph at 7:10 pm MST. These gusts were associated with outflow from clusters of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tooele

When
September 28, 7:15 PM MST
Where
Tooele County, 1.96 mi WNW of Pehrson Station
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.130, -112.385

The Vernon Hill weather station recorded a wind gust of 58 mph as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Weber

When
September 28, 8:00 PM MST to 8:10 PM MST
Where
Weber County, 7.79 mi SSW of Little Mtn
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
41.155, -112.330

The Fremont Island - Miller Hill weather station recorded an initial peak wind gust of 61 mph at 8:00 pm MST, and a lesser wind gust of 59 mph at 8:10 pm MST. These gusts were associated with outflow from clusters of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Weber

When
September 28, 8:30 PM MST to 9:15 PM MST
Where
Weber County, 2.9 mi NE of Uintah
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
41.200, -111.881

The Snowbasin - Mount Ogden weather station recorded wind gusts of 61 mph at 8:30 pm MST and 8:45 pm MST, and subsequent peak wind gusts of 62 mph at 9:00 pm MST and 9:15 pm MST. These gusts were associated with outflow from clusters of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Cache

When
September 28, 8:50 PM MST
Where
Cache County, 2.66 mi S of Wellsville
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
41.612, -111.952

The Murray's Hill weather station recorded a wind gust of 58 mph as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tooele

When
September 29, 1:00 PM MST
Where
Tooele County, 16.1 mi ESE of Gold Hill
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.117, -113.533

The Causeway weather station recorded a wind gust of 58 mph as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Flash Flood, Wayne

When
September 29, 1:45 PM MST to 2:45 PM MST
Where
Wayne County, 2.07 mi SE of Fruita to 3.11 mi SE of Fruita
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
38.257, -111.226

Officials from Capitol Reef National Park reported 1 to 2 feet of water flowing through a wash that feeds into the Grand Wash, as well as 1 to 2 feet of water flowing through Grand Wash itself.

Flash Flood, Washington

When
September 29, 3:00 PM MST to 4:00 PM MST
Where
Washington County, 2.43 mi SSW of Zion Lodge to 2.57 mi S of Zion Lodge
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
37.218, -112.968

Zion National Park officials reported that normally dry washes near Canyon Junction were seeing flash flooding, that there were waterfalls on both sides of Zion Canyon, and that the campground had minor flooding. A thunderstorm which moved through produced an estimated 0.25 to 0.75 inches of rainfall per Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor 1-hour analysis.

Thunderstorm Wind, Salt Lake

When
September 29, 4:40 PM MST
Where
Salt Lake County, 7.35 mi NE of Sugar House
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.828, -111.654

The SR-65 at Big Mountain Pass weather station recorded a wind gust of 58 mph as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tooele

When
September 29, 8:30 PM MST
Where
Tooele County, 1.96 mi WNW of Pehrson Station
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.130, -112.385

The Vernon Hill weather station recorded a wind gust of 58 mph as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through the area.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Utah in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Utah, September 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1056214, 1056215, 1056216, 1056217, 1056221, 1056219, 1056223, 1056220, 1056222, 1056224, 1056225, 1056235, 1056238, 1056239, 1056236, 1056237.