Strong winds, low relative humidity, and receptive fuels contributed to critical fire weather conditions across the Texas Panhandle on September 26th.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AMA wrote it up.
Strong winds, low relative humidity, and receptive fuels contributed to critical fire weather conditions across the Texas Panhandle on September 26th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 26, 11:36 AM CST, 1 hour earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1236 PM CDT Mon Sep 26 2022 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM ... (Today through Tuesday night) Issued at 339 AM CDT Mon Sep 26 2022 Little change to the weather pattern is expected through Tuesday night compared to what was seen 24 hours ago. For today, surface high pressure will move off to the east of the area, allowing weak return southerly flow to commence. At upper levels, an amplified ridge of high pressure over the Intermountain West coupled with a deepening trof across the eastern states will result in dry northwest flow today through Tuesday, transitioning to west northwesterly flow Tuesday night. Short range models are in agreement with the overall upper level and surface patterns and were accepted. NBM pops and temperatures fit the above scenario and were incorporated into the grids today through Tuesday night. 02 && .LONG TERM ... (Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 339 AM CDT Mon Sep 26 2022 Overall, forecast still looks uneventful for the most part. We are looking at temperatures on the warmer side for this time of year with most days having highs in the 80s and lows in the 50s across most of the forecast area. The forecast is also dry with not much on the horizon for precipitation chances. In fact, most days our skies may end up being partly to mostly clear. Lastly, it does appear we could see a few breezy days to end the work week, especially Thursday and Friday when sustained winds could be 20-25 mph for much of north and northwestern parts of the combined Panhandles. By Wednesday, an H5 high will be nearly centered over the Panhandles. Forecast soundings indicate the airmass over us will be dry and warm aloft, so cloud coverage should be limited for the most part. This obviously doesn't bode well for our precipitation chances having little cloud coverage. That said, can't completely rule out a stray thunderstorm or two if we can get some upper support from energy riding around the H5 high and moisture advection. That scenario is a very low end change through the weekend. However, there is some indication the high over the Panhandles will break down once Tropical Storm Ian makes landfall and gets engulfed into the mean flow. This will also coincide with a shortwave making its way over the Pacific Northwest later in the week. Some models are suggesting the low gets cutoff from the mean flow and may linger around the northern Plains through the weekend. This may provide some energy/support for showers and thunderstorms later in the week/weekend, but its too early to say with much confidence whether or not we will see any precipitation from this outcome. Guerrero && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 PM CDT Mon Sep 26 2022 VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours at all TAF sites. winds will generally be out of the southwest 10-15kts, gusting to 25kts through 00z. Winds will then relax to around 10kts and be more southerly through about 10z. Winds start to turn around the clock out of the west through 15z and then look to finish off northerly at the tail end of the TAF period. Weber && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 83 57 90 57 / 0 0 0 0 Beaver OK 86 55 89 54 / 0 0 0 0 Boise City OK 84 51 86 51 / 0 0 0 10 Borger TX 87 61 92 59 / 0 0 0 0 Boys Ranch TX 85 56 90 55 / 0 0 0 0 Canyon TX 84 56 90 57 / 0 0 0 0 Clarendon TX 83 58 90 59 / 0 0 0 0 Dalhart TX 84 50 87 52 / 0 0 0 10 Guymon OK 85 52 89 53 / 0 0 0 0 Hereford TX 85 56 90 56 / 0 0 0 0 Lipscomb TX 85 58 90 55 / 0 0 0 0 Pampa TX 83 59 90 56 / 0 0 0 0 Shamrock TX 84 58 92 56 / 0 0 0 0 Wellington TX 85 57 92 57 / 0 0 0 0 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && SHORT TERM...02 LONG TERM....24 AVIATION...89
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Amarillo TX 312 AM CDT Mon Sep 26 2022 OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-262015- Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb- Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson- Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth- Palo Duro Canyon- 312 AM CDT Mon Sep 26 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
A 300 acre fire with unknown cause occurred on the east side of FM280 across from Watkins Camp. Both the Borger Fire Dept and the Crutch Ranch VFD were on scene. No structures or injuries/fatalities were reported.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1057833.