Thunderstorms developed along a cold front that moved through South Central Texas. Some of these storms produced large hail.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
Thunderstorms developed along a cold front that moved through South Central Texas. Some of these storms produced large hail.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 11, 5:10 AM CST, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 510 AM CST Fri Nov 11 2022 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday) Issued at 259 AM CST Fri Nov 11 2022 A warm and muggy night is ongoing across South-Central Texas with temperatures well above normal. Seeing current readings in the middle 60s to lower 70s with dewpoints not much lower. This is leading to another night of widespread stratus and patchy fog closer to the Coastal Plains. The good news for you cold weather and rain fans is that changes are finally coming today as a cold front tracks south overnight across West Texas. A strong upper low is moving across the Southern Plains and this upper support along with the surface focus of the cold front and abundant moisture will allow for numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop along and behind the boundary as it moves south through the region. The front is expected to initially move into the northern Edwards Plateau and northern Hill Country around 7 AM and continue into the I35 corridor between 11am-2pm and through the Coastal Plains by 4 PM. Instability amounts ahead of the front and steeper elevated lapse rates behind the front will support a continued low chance for some marginally severe hail today from the stronger cells. The latest Day 1 Outlook from SPC has most of our CWA in a marginal risk while a slight risk is in place to our south where slightly better instability is expected ahead of the boundary. Overall rainfall amounts today will average between 3/4 to an inch in the northern CWA with amounts generally less than a half of an for the remainder of the area, with little to no rain expected closer to the Rio Grande. Northerly winds behind the front will be around 20-25 mph with higher gusts. This should be just below Wind Advisory criteria, but future shifts may need to watch speeds closely and issue an advisory if winds are a bit stronger. Highs today will be dependent on when the front passes you as temperatures behind the front will quickly drop into the 40s and 50s by the late afternoon hours for much of the area. Temperatures will continue to drop with lows Saturday morning in the 30s and lower 40s for most of the area. Some locations in the northern Hill Country around northern Edwards and western Kerr/Gillespie/LLano will flirt with the 32 degree mark for the season's first freeze for those locations. Winds will remain elevated which may keep things just above freezing and will hold off on a Freeze Warning issuance as the overall probability of a widespread freezing temperatures in the listed counties above is low. Plenty of sunshine and highs in the 50s and 60s is expected for Saturday. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 259 AM CST Fri Nov 11 2022 High pressure will continue to build down into the area Saturday night and guidance is pointing to some freezing temps mainly in the Hill Country by early Sunday morning. The center of the high will be centered well to the NE but winds will become light enough that good radiational cooling could bring the first freeze to parts of the CWA and a first freeze warning. E/NE winds are not ideal in getting our coldest temps so will see how that plays out. Some typical low/cold spots like AUS could also reach the freezing mark. Sunday's highs will be similar to Saturday but clouds will be on the increase Sunday afternoon into Sunday night as another upper trof digs through the SW U.S. and overrunning conditions set up Sunday night into Monday. Will see a steep gradient of POP on Monday from West to East across the CWA with high chance to likely pops from roughly SAT area extending to the NE. Showers with some embedded elevated storms are possible as surface based instability looks to be limited. Overall QPF looks to be 0.25 to 0.50 inches...best totals to the E/NE. A dry slot and cold front looks to come through by Monday afternoon/evening...ending precip chances. Winds will be gusty behind the front into Tuesday as cooler surface high pressure once again builds into the region. Tried to bump up winds a bit on Tue. A Zonal upper flow on Wed may keep some clouds around before yet another upper trough moves in from the west on Thursday with another surge of high pressure. Not sure how much moisture will be around for this next system on Thu so pop will remain below 20 percent. Should get some clearing behind this system with more high pressure likely to surge into Texas by late in the week. So cool temps, both max and min, for the majority of next week...lows in the 40s, highs in the 50s/60s. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 507 AM CST Fri Nov 11 2022 MVFR/IFR ceilings will remain in place for much of the day as moisture pools ahead of a cold front. This front will bring a chance of rain to all sites, but the bulk of the rain will occur at the I35 sites. Some thunder will also be possible from this activity with the best timing from about 17z-22z. Breezy northerly winds will also move in behind the front with speeds around 15-21 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Otherwise, VFR should return tonight with mostly clear skies expected tomorrow. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 70 39 57 37 / 90 20 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 70 38 57 32 / 80 30 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 74 41 61 37 / 80 30 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 64 36 56 32 / 90 10 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 71 42 61 42 / 40 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 68 36 56 34 / 90 20 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 75 39 63 36 / 80 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 71 39 59 35 / 90 30 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 73 42 59 36 / 70 40 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 73 40 60 39 / 80 20 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 74 43 62 41 / 80 20 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && Short-Term...29 Long-Term...09 Aviation...29
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 347 AM CST Fri Nov 11 2022 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-121200- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 347 AM CST Fri Nov 11 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. A strong cold front will move through the area Friday bringing numerous showers and embedded storms, much colder temperatures, and windy conditions. There is a Marginal Risk (1 of 5) that some isolated storms could become severe. In addition to a cloud to ground lightning risk with any storms, large hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary threats with any severe storms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. The first freeze of the season is becoming more likely Saturday and Sunday mornings across portions of the northern and western Hill Country. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
822 AM CST Fri Nov 11 2022
TXZ171-172-111500-
Llano TX-Burnet TX-
822 AM CST Fri Nov 11 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Llano
and northern Burnet Counties through 900 AM CST...
At 821 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chappel, or 17 miles southeast of San Saba, moving northeast at 55
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Llano, Buchanan Lake Village, Lake Victor, Baby Head, Lone Grove,
Sunnylane, Watson, Bluffton, Tow and Briggs.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3091 9783 3075 9874 3092 9871 3092 9842
3094 9841 3096 9845 3098 9844 3101 9846
3103 9844 3103 9791
TIME...MOT...LOC 1421Z 240DEG 49KT 3100 9855
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
GALEThe Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 59 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:55 UTC.
2 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm produced dime to quarter size hail in Oakalla near the intersection of FM 963 and FM 2657.
A thunderstorm produced hail ranging from pea to nickel size in Lakeway. Most of the hail was pea size.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1059842, 1059843.