Thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall produces street flooding in Kingsville during the morning hours.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.
Thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall produces street flooding in Kingsville during the morning hours.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 1, 5:16 AM CST, 4 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
616 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022
Key Messages:
- Showers and thunderstorms continue today.
- Cooler today
Water vapor imagery this morning reveals an upper level shortwave
pushing across the Rio Grande and will continue to lift across the
state. At the surface, MSAS analysis depicts a coastal trough along
the Middle Texas coast. Showers and thunderstorms have been ongoing
for much of the morning as favorable upper dynamics combined with a
low level convergence axis that has established itself along the
coast. Forecast soundings continue to hint at the possibility of
locally heavy rainfall with a warm cloud depth up to ~15kft and a
tall skinny CAPE profile. The latest HREF probabilities for heavy
rainfall hint at the heaviest activity across the immediate coast
and over the nearshore water. FFGs remain in the 2-4" range so not
overly concerned with flooding. However, if the axis of heaviest
rainfall sets up over the Coastal Bend, we could see some nuance
flooding this morning. Convection will wane from west to east
through the day as upper level support departs the region.
Cloud cover will linger across the region today as low level
moisture remains in place. Residual moisture across the region
may lead to some isolated showers this evening and through the day
Wednesday as a H85 shortwave rotates through the region. Weak
upper level ridging will attempt to build in by mid week ahead of
our next system.
Temperatures today will be a handful of degrees cooler with highs
topping out in the upper 60s to mid 70s under cloudy skies. Lows
tonight will fall into the low to mid 60s. Temperatures warm back
up on Wednesday with highs settling into the upper 70s to near 80
degrees.
Lastly, there will be a moderate risk of rip currents today and
tomorrow. We will need to monitor the trend through the day as an
upgrade to a high risk may be warranted if winds increase a bit
more than expected along the coast.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022
Key Messages:
- Cold front early next weekend
The long term opens up with upper level ridging in
place across the region as an upper level trough digs south
towards the Desert Southwest. This trough will lift across the
Southern Plains early this weekend while sending a cold front our
way. Ahead of this front, a strengthening LLJ will usher deeper
moisture across the Coastal Plains. It's possible we see some
streamer shower activity embedded within the LLJ late in the work
week. There is pretty good model agreement on the timing of this
front with it on our doorstep Friday evening and offshore by mid
morning. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will be
possible Friday evening through mid-day Saturday as the boundary
moves through. Drier conditions look to quickly filter into the
region behind this system.
Temperatures look to warm back up through the remainder of the
work week with highs reaching the low 90s across the Brush Country
on Friday. Cooler conditions are in store over the weekend in the
wake of our next cold front but that doesn't last long as a warm
trend take over early next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 559 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022
Poor flying conditions are expected through the majority of this
TAF cycle as MVFR ceilings remain in place. Showers and
thunderstorms will continue to spread across the region with
activity gradually tapering off during the late morning and early
afternoon hours. Brief IFR vis/cigs and gusty winds are possible
with any passing shower or storm. Low level clouds will remain in
place across the region in the wake of this morning's convection
with MVFR and IFR ceilings expected through the night.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 303 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible over the waters for
much of the day as an upper level disturbance moves through.
Rainfall may be heavy at times leading to reduced visibilities.
East-northeasterly flow will strengthen this morning as a coastal
trough pushes inland. A Small Craft Advisory will go into effect
at 7 AM and remain in effect through 7 PM for the bays and 1 AM
Wednesday for the coastal waters. Winds will weaken by the middle
of the week and shift back around to the east-southeast. A weak to
moderate onshore flow will continue as we head through the work
week. Onshore flow may kick up to moderate to strong levels at
times Thursday and Friday with brief Small Craft Advisory
conditions possible. Our next cold front looks to push offshore
next week leading to strong offshore flow and elevated seas.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 73 65 80 69 / 90 20 20 0
Victoria 70 61 78 67 / 80 20 20 0
Laredo 72 65 79 70 / 60 20 20 0
Alice 73 62 79 66 / 90 20 20 0
Rockport 76 67 81 71 / 90 30 30 0
Cotulla 75 62 80 69 / 50 10 20 10
Kingsville 74 63 80 68 / 90 20 20 0
Navy Corpus 75 70 80 73 / 90 30 30 0
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ231-232-
236-237.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Wednesday for GMZ250-255-270-
275.
&&
SHORT TERM...TC
LONG TERM....TC
AVIATION...TC/95Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 348 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022 TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447-020900- La Salle-McMullen-Live Oak-Bee-Goliad-Victoria-Webb-Duval-Jim Wells- Inland Kleberg-Inland Nueces-Inland San Patricio-Coastal Aransas- Inland Refugio-Inland Calhoun-Coastal Kleberg-Coastal Nueces- Coastal San Patricio-Aransas Islands-Coastal Refugio-Coastal Calhoun- Kleberg Islands-Nueces Islands-Calhoun Islands- 348 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Isolated thunderstorms are possible through this afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible at times. There is a moderate risk of rip currents along Gulf-facing beaches today and tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. There is a moderate risk of rip currents on Wednesday. Isolated thunderstorms are expected Friday and Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-270-275-020900- Baffin Bay and Upper Laguna Madre-Corpus Christi and Nueces Bays- Copano, Aransas, and Redfish Bays- San Antonio, Mesquite, and Espiritu Santo Bays- Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM- Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM- 348 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Isolated thunderstorms are possible through this afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible at times. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from 7 AM through 7 PM for the bays and waterways and through 1 AM for the coastal waters. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Small Craft Advisory conditions are likely at times Thursday through Saturday. Isolated thunderstorms are expected Friday and Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. TC
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1008 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022
TXZ242-243-343-344-443-011600-
Inland Nueces TX-Coastal Nueces TX-Coastal San Patricio TX-
Nueces Islands TX-Inland Kleberg TX-
1008 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Nueces,
southeastern San Patricio and north central Kleberg Counties through
1100 AM CDT...
At 1008 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Clarkwood, or 9 miles east of Driscoll, moving
northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Corpus Christi, Portland, Driscoll, Corpus Christi International
Airport, Gregory, Del Mar College Windward Campus, Flour Bluff,
Corpus Christi Country Club, South Texas Botanical Gardens, Corpus
Christi North Beach, Cabaniss Field, Kings Crossing Subdivision, Bay
Area Medical Center, Cole Park, Spohn Hospital South, Driscoll
Childrens Hospital, Del Mar College Heritage Campus, Texas A&M
University Corpus Christi, Clarkwood and Downtown Corpus Christi.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 37 between mile markers 1 and 6.
US Highway 181 between mile markers 640 and 648.
US Highway 77 near mile marker 678.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2767 9776 2793 9731 2769 9716 2756 9755
2755 9755 2751 9765
TIME...MOT...LOC 1508Z 240DEG 25KT 2765 9759
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
JCPThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Trained spotter posted a picture of street flooding at an intersection on West Alice Avenue in Kingsville.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1063888.