Severe to exceptional drought conditions affected portions of North and Central Texas. Only slight improvements were seen by the end of the month after beneficial rainfall was received.
Every event with a place to put it; 16 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Severe to exceptional drought conditions affected portions of North and Central Texas. Only slight improvements were seen by the end of the month after beneficial rainfall was received.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 11:46 PM CST, 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1246 AM CDT Tue Nov 1 2022 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Wednesday/ A progressive upper trough is responsible for the mid/high cloud deck which presently overspreads the region, as well as the shield of high-based rain and embedded thunderstorms ongoing in Central Texas. Moisture content remains highest south of the forecast area, and much of the current precipitation to our southwest will begin to erode as it progresses northward and encounters a very dry column within the lowest 3 km. However, sufficient top-down moistening beneath the cloud deck should allow for observable rain at the surface across some of our Central Texas counties through the morning, with perhaps even a rumble of thunder or two due to the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates as high as 7.5 C/km. The highest rain chances will be during the morning hours with all precipitation exiting the area during the afternoon. Since most of this precip will be too light to measure, PoPs will be held on the low side, and only sprinkles will be shown farther north towards the I-20 corridor. A very dry column should prevent any rain from I-20 northward, although some virga may be observed as precipitation evaporates on its journey to the surface. As other upper trough axis shifts east, so will any precipitation and cloud cover, leaving clearing skies this afternoon while highs climb into the 70s. Mid-level ridging will follow the shortwave's departure heading into tomorrow. A more favorable southerly fetch of moisture should allow for a morning stratus intrusion and perhaps some fog mainly across Central Texas early Wednesday. Fairly quick clearing should occur after sunrise with some fair weather cumulus present through the afternoon while highs top out in the mid 70s to near 80. -Stalley && .LONG TERM... /Issued 149 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022/ /Tuesday night through Monday/ Warm, dry weather will dominate North Central Texas through the bulk of the week, before another substantial rainfall event impacts the region at week's end. Strong to severe thunderstorms may be a significant feature of our late week system. In the wake of Tuesday's fast-moving shortwave trough, ridge building will commence across the region Wednesday into Thursday. The combination of subsidence and southerly low level flow will yield daytime and overnight temperatures several degrees above normal. Dewpoints will gradually increase as well, leading to slightly more humid conditions than we've previously experienced. Apart from some morning stratus across the southern zones, mostly clear skies should ensue. A significant evolution in the upper level pattern will begin late Thursday into Friday, as a very amplified trough deepens and eventually closes off across the Southern Rockies. Increased isentropic ascent ahead of this trough should facilitate scattered showers and thunderstorms across our area during the day Friday, particularly in areas west of the I-35 corridor. Friday won't be a total washout, however, as any showers/storms that affect a given location will be fast-moving and transient. The main rain event should occur in the overnight period from Friday evening through daybreak Saturday, as the closed upper low ejects into the Southern High Plains in conjunction with a strong Pacific cold front moving eastward through West Texas. One or more lines of thunderstorms should develop to our west Friday evening and transit our entire forecast area overnight Friday night into Saturday morning. Scattered discrete storms, some potentially strong to severe, may form over North Central Texas after dark, ahead of the main line(s) of storms. The regime over our area will be characterized by moderate amounts of mixed layer CAPE, coupled with increasingly strong low to mid-level shear. This environment should facilitate strong to severe thunderstorms overnight Friday/Saturday, any of which could feature a wind, hail and perhaps even an isolated tornado threat. In addition to any severe thunderstorm threats, this system will yield widespread rainfall, thanks to the combination of healthy synoptic scale lift and high precipitable water values. Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches, with isolated 3 inch totals, appear possible later Friday through Saturday. We are still 4-5 days out from this event, so it remains difficult to pinpoint the precise timing, locations and nature of any storm-related impacts. This system certainly looks vigorous, however, and bears close watching as the week progresses. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should end from west to east across the area during the day Saturday, with gradual clearing from the west. A broad southwesterly flow regime will ensue across the region Sunday and Monday, yielding seasonably mild temperatures and dry conditions as we enter the upcoming work week. Bradshaw && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /06z TAFs/ An approaching disturbance is resulting in a broad mid/high cloud deck across the region with high-based showers and storms overspreading Central Texas. Drier air over North Texas TAF sites should prevent precipitation at the D10 airports, but Waco could experience a couple hours of light rain through the morning hours. Virga is possible beneath this 10 kft cloud deck as well which may locally enhance turbulence. In the wake of the upper disturbance, skies will gradually clear through the afternoon and evening with VFR and a light southeast wind prevailing. The return of stronger southerly flow by tomorrow morning should allow for low stratus to make a return, with reductions to both cigs and vis possible heading into Wednesday. -Stalley && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 56 76 56 75 61 / 0 5 0 5 0 Waco 56 77 55 78 61 / 20 10 5 5 0 Paris 51 74 51 73 57 / 0 5 5 5 0 Denton 51 77 51 74 58 / 0 5 0 5 0 McKinney 51 75 51 73 58 / 0 5 0 5 0 Dallas 57 76 56 75 61 / 0 5 0 5 0 Terrell 54 75 53 75 60 / 5 5 5 5 0 Corsicana 57 75 56 76 61 / 5 10 5 5 0 Temple 56 75 55 77 61 / 30 20 5 5 5 Mineral Wells 53 77 53 76 58 / 0 5 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1148 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-020015- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 1148 PM CDT Mon Oct 31 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Thunderstorm chances return to the forecast Thursday night and continue through Saturday. A few strong to severe storms are possible along with locally heavy rain. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
16 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions affected northern portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected northern portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Extreme to exceptional drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to exceptional drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions affected the county through the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1067229, 1067230, 1067231, 1067232, 1067233, 1067234, 1067235, 1067236, 1067237, 1067238, 1067239, 1067240, 1067242, 1067243, 1067244, 1067245.