Widespread severe thunderstorms developed on the afternoon of the tenth as a weak upper level disturbance ejected overhead northward out of Mexico. The initial activity rapidly developed near the dryline, which was located near the Texas/New Mexico line, late Tuesday afternoon.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
Widespread severe thunderstorms developed on the afternoon of the tenth as a weak upper level disturbance ejected overhead northward out of Mexico. The initial activity rapidly developed near the dryline, which was located near the Texas/New Mexico line, late Tuesday afternoon. Aided by strong instability, several of the storms quickly became severe mostly producing severe thunderstorm winds. The thunderstorms gradually evolved into a solid line and tracked eastward across much of the South Plains, Rolling Plains and southern Texas Panhandle through the mid-late evening hours continually producing severe winds. Lastly, a wake low developed in the departing convection which generated a high wind gust of 62 mph near McAdoo measured by the Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 10, 1:49 PM CST, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 249 PM CDT Tue May 10 2022 .SHORT TERM... Not much has changed since the late morning update. Moisture advection has generally decreased across the CWA as the dryline generally follows a line from Plains to west of Lubbock, to near Plainview to Memphis. This dryline may mix a little more west, but it will be very little, if any. An upper-level low remains to our south and continues to move to the north-northeast. As this feature nears the region, it will result in some cooling aloft and lift. A weak CU field noted over the Permian Basin early this afternoon indicates increased lift moving north ahead of this disturbance. The latest ACAR sounding out of KLBB shows dry air just above the surface with steep lapse rates, resulting in SBCAPE ~ 2200 J/kg, DCAPE ~550 j/kg, and minimal shear aloft. As the disturbance moves near the area and convergence increases along the dryline, the chances for storm initiation will increase. Initially, storm motion will be parallel with the dryline over the South Plains, so storms are expected to congeal, resulting in an MCS forming. Storm motions should become more east- northeasterly later this afternoon, allowing storms to move off of the boundary. Note that if the northern portion of the dryline does not move farther west, storms that form near Lubbock will move behind the dryline and will most like die. Storms that move east of the dryline will move into an environment with very little shear, MLCAPE ~ 4000 J/kg, DCAPE >1500 J/kg, and PWATs ~1.3". With these environmental ingredients, storms will have the potential for winds up to 80 mph and hail up to 2". With slow storm motions and PWAT values over the daily max, localized flooding will not be out of the question. Storm intensity should start to decrease shortly after sunset as surface warming begins to decrease. Additional storms may move into the area after midnight from the south, though these will move into an area of little instability and increasing CIN, so they will struggle as they moves north. Multiple hi-res models are trying to simulate an MCV forming over the Texas Panhandle as the MCS dies to our northeast. This hints at a wake low/ heat burst situation overnight. Therefore, damaging winds will be possible outside of thunderstorms during the nighttime hours. The dryline will push back west tomorrow as dew points in the 60s and low 70s push across the region. The main upper-low will still be centered over the western CONUS tomorrow afternoon and evening. This will keep most shear well to our west. An upper disturbance will rotate around the south side of the main trough to our west and move near the region. As low-level convergence increases near the dryline and the disturbance moves over the region, storms are expected to initiate. Initial storm motion will be more perpendicular to the dryline, so storms will initially be isolated. Though, storms will struggle to make it far into the South Plains tomorrow, as they will move into a region of high inhibition. Storms that do make it into the area should bring hail up to 1" and wind up to 60 mph. GKendrick .LONG TERM... Convection should still be ongoing tomorrow evening along the dryline, though exactly how far east convection will push before dissipating is still somewhat uncertain. Some models keep convection confined near the Texas/New Mexico state line while others push it into the central/eastern South Plains. Either outcome is not out of the realm of possibility. If storms can sustain themselves long enough they could make it as far east as the I27/US87 corridor as steering flow will be out of the southwest. Given the lack of great upper level support they will probably dissipate not too long after sunset before reaching I27/US87. All is not fully lost on rain chances past tomorrow evening. A sharp upper trough is progged to push northeastward into the Northern Plains from the Desert Southwest Thursday into Friday and push a cold front southward into the FA by Friday. If surface moisture remains available this front could provide a brief chance for rainfall late Friday as a weakness moves across an upper ridge just to our south. The aforementioned upper ridge will build northward going into the weekend and will keep things dry with temps warming into the mid/upper 90s to near 100 by Sunday. Models begin to differ with the upper pattern by early next week. The ECMWF keeps the upper ridge in place over the central CONUS while the GFS has an upper trough kick the upper ridge eastward Monday. Though both are different scenarios, both models do keep low end precip chances across the region. The GFS relies more on the dryline while the ECMWF has more of a summer type pattern with terrain induced convection across New Mexico pushing eastward into the FA. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 10/99
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Lubbock TX 331 PM CDT Tue May 10 2022 TXZ021>044-112045- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd- Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum- Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 331 PM CDT Tue May 10 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 11 PM tonight for the southern Texas Panhandle, South Plains and Rolling Plains. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon into the evening for much of the South Plains, southern Texas Panhandle, and Rolling Plains. These storms will be capable of becoming severe, with wind gusts to 80 mph and hail up to two inches in diameter. Slow-moving storms will also be capable of producing heavy rainfall and localized flooding. Warm temperatures, dry conditions, and breezy winds will contribute to elevated fire weather conditions in the extreme southwestern Texas Panhandle and northwestern South Plains today. A Rangeland Fire Danger Statement is in effect for these areas. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail will be possible once again on Wednesday, mainly west of the Caprock Escarpment. Severe thunderstorms will also be possible across much of the area on Thursday and Friday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
402 PM CDT Tue May 10 2022
TXZ034-102130-
Hockley TX-
402 PM CDT Tue May 10 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Hockley
County through 430 PM CDT...
At 402 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles east of Sundown, or 6 miles south of Levelland, moving north at
20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Levelland, Sundown, Whitharral and Opdyke West.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
northwestern Texas.
&&
LAT...LON 3343 10230 3345 10251 3377 10246 3373 10214
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 193DEG 19KT 3349 10240
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MCZ/GLKThe Lubbock radar (KLBB), 51 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:46 UTC.
30 thunderstorm wind, 3 hail, 1 flood, 1 heavy rain, 1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Broadcast media relayed a report of a power line down on US 385 just north of the Hockley/Lamb County line. The same thunderstorm produced a wind gust to 66 mph at Amherst a short while later.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Morton measured severe wind gusts from 1549 CST through 1550 CST. A peak wind gust of 62 mph was measured at 1550 CST.
Two separate severe thunderstorms affected Amherst in close proximity in time. The first storm produced severe wind gusts from 1645 CST through 1650 CST. A peak wind gust of 66 mph was measured at 1650 CST from a Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Dimmitt measured severe wind gusts from 1654 CST through 1705 CST. A peak wind gust of 70 mph was measured at 1656 CST.
Two separate severe thunderstorms affected Amherst in close proximity in time. The second storm produced severe wind gusts from 1700 CST through 1706 CST. A peak wind gust of 87 mph was measured at 1702 CST from a Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Friona measured a wind gust to 58 mph.
Law enforcement in Amherst reported quarter size hail.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Hart measured severe wind gusts from 1712 CST through 1745 CST. A peak wind gust of 85 mph was measured at 1728 CST.
A report was received of a center irrigation pivot overturned near the community of Sunnyside. The same thunderstorm produced a wind gust to 85 mph a few minutes later near Hart.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site in Happy measured severe wind gusts from 1735 CST through 1739 CST. A peak wind gust of 59 mph was measured at 1739 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Olton measured severe wind gusts from 1751 CST through 1754 CST. A peak wind gust of 60 mph was measured at 1752 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Tulia measured severe wind gusts from 1753 CST through 1829 CST. A peak wind gust of 79 mph was measured at 1758 CST and again at 1806 to 1807 CST. Additionally, a large tree was blown over on the south side of Tulia.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site in Happy measured severe wind gusts from 1802 CST through 1823 CST. A peak wind gust of 67 mph was measured at 1804 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site in Vigo Park measured severe wind gusts from 1819 CST through 1831 CST. A peak wind gust of 67 mph was measured at 1822 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Sundown measured severe wind gusts from 1857 CST through 1937 CST. A peak wind gust of 66 mph was measured at 1857 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Denver City measured wind gusts of 62 mph from 1859 CST through 1900 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Levelland measured a wind gust of 61 mph at 1917 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet in Smyer measured severe wind gusts from 1940 CST through 1942 CST. A peak wind gust of 61 mph was measured at 1940 CST. Additionally, visibility was briefly near zero due to blowing dust in Smyer.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site at Reese Center measured a wind gust of 59 mph at 1943 CST.
Several storms had repeatedly trained over the Denver City region causing multiple periods of heavy rainfall over a short period of time. Law enforcement in Denver City reported flooded roads in town from this heavy rainfall.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Olton measured a wind gust of 58 mph at 2002 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Graham measured a wind gust of 64 mph at 2009 CST.
A swath of severe thunderstorm winds were observed from southeastern Lubbock to Slaton. A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site in southeast Lubbock measured a wind gust of 63 mph at 2030 CST. At 2041 CST, a mesonet site near Slaton measured a wind gust to 59 mph.
The fire department in Turkey reported hail up to quarter size.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near White River Lake measured severe wind gusts from 2044 CST through 2111 CST. A peak wind gust of 71 mph was measured at 2045 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Wolfforth measured severe wind gusts from 2047 CST through 2050 CST. A peak wind gust of 73 mph was measured at 2048 CST.
A trained weather spotter reported that siding was blown off of a barn in southern Floyd County.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near McAdoo measured severe wind gusts from 2103 CST through 2109 CST. A peak wind gust of 73 mph was measured at 2104 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Roaring Springs measured severe wind gusts from 2118 CST through 2125 CST. A peak wind gust of 77 mph was measured at 2118 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Turkey measured severe wind gusts from 2140 CST through 2141 CST. A peak wind gust of 62 mph was measured at 2140 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Northfield measured severe wind gusts from 2141 CST through 2144 CST. A peak wind gust of 72 mph was measured at 2143 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Paducah measured a wind gust of 58 mph at 2146 CST.
Emergency management for the city of Lubbock reported that the left lane of southbound Interstate-27 was closed due to standing water on the roadway.
A report was received of quarter size hail in Childress.
A storm chaser measured a wind gust of 65 mph with a handheld anemometer west of Paducah.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1016266, 1016238, 1016239, 1016242, 1016240, 1016263, 1016241, 1016268, 1016270, 1016290, 1016295, 1016334, 1016339, 1016343, 1016353, 1016359, 1016360, 1016371, 1016373, 1016720, 1016374, 1016375, 1016380, 1016384, 1016383, 1016385, 1016719, 1016387, 1016388, 1016389, 1016390, 1016391, 1016721, 1016394, 1016392, 1016396.