Drought conditions worsened to severe drought across portions of Central Texas by the second week of March.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Drought conditions worsened to severe drought across portions of Central Texas by the second week of March.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 7, 6:16 PM CST, 5 hours 44 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 616 PM CST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Tuesday/ Temperatures across North and Central Texas are much cooler this evening compared to 24 hours ago. 21Z surface analysis showed the surface cold front across the western Gulf of Mexico with a sprawling surface high in place across the middle third of the CONUS. In the upper levels, objective analysis and GOES-16 water vapor channel imagery show a deep trough across the western CONUS with a vorticity maximum embedded within this trough across the Four Corners region. The upper-level trough will continue eastward through the short- term forecast period with the aforementioned vorticity maximum reaching eastern New Mexico by 12Z and central Oklahoma by 00Z Wed. While GFS forecast Q-vector fields show the stronger synoptic-scale ascent passing to the north across Oklahoma, isentropic ascent will increase substantially along the Texas Gulf Coast and eventually into North and East Texas after 12Z. Given the rich moisture that should be coincident with this layer of isentropic ascent, widespread precipitation is forecast to develop from Coastal Texas to North Texas. Forecast soundings show a deep above freezing layer from 900-700 mb. Temperatures below this warm layer may fall below freezing, but the below freezing layer is expected to be very shallow, and surface temperatures will likely be above or just barely below freezing. Because of this, rain should be the primary precipitation type, but a few sleet pellets may become mixed in with rain, especially where some evaporative cooling and microphysical processes are able to deepen the near-surface below freezing layer slightly. Despite this potential for some sleet, no accumulations are anticipated as again, surface temperatures will be above (or perhaps just barely below) freezing. Temperatures should warm to above freezing across the region after 15Z, which means the window for any sleet will be small anyway. Across East Texas on Tuesday, while overall instability is expected to be quite limited given the cool surface temperatures, a look at forecast soundings show some rather steep mid-level lapse rates. This may allow for a few convective elements to develop within the broader stratiform rain area on Tuesday afternoon. For this reason, have opted to include a mention of thunder across East Texas. Precipitation should come to an end across the region by evening as isentropic ascent diminishes and drier air aloft overspreads the region. Godwin && .LONG TERM... /Issued 322 PM CST Mon Mar 7 2022/ /Wednesday Through Early Next Week/ A rather rapid warm-up is expected Wednesday and Thursday, as sunshine and southerly winds return to the area. However, this warmth will be short-lived, as another strong cold front is expected to arrive late Thursday afternoon through Thursday night. This front will bring another blast of cold, arctic air to North and Central Texas, sending temperatures plummeting into the 20s and 30s across much of the area by Friday morning. Meanwhile, a potent upper-level trough will be approaching from the west early Friday morning. Ascent will increase ahead of this feature, resulting in the development of rain and potentially wintry weather. The most likely areas to see wintry weather continue to be near and north of a Goldthwaite-DFW-Paris line through Friday morning; however, given the proximity of the upper- level trough to North and Central Texas, have advertised a rain/sleet mix across most of the area Friday afternoon as the system departs to our east. Regarding precipitation types, latest forecast soundings suggest mostly snow across our northwestern counties, with sub-freezing temperature profiles and saturation within the dendritic growth zone. A transition to a sleet/snow mix and eventually a rain/sleet mix is expected further south and east as forecast soundings indicate the presence of a warm layer aloft. However, there is still significant uncertainty in the temperature forecast on Friday, and any changes in temperatures could have a significant impact on the forecast precipitation types. Latest guidance has continued to trend colder with this update, so continue to closely monitor the forecast over the next few days as additional changes are likely. It's still rather early to determine specific accumulations, but a lack of column moisture should hopefully keep precipitation rates on the lighter side. Expected impacts will be assessed as we get a better handle on potential accumulations and temperature trends. One thing is certain, however... Friday will be a blustery and dreary day across North and Central Texas, so don't put up your winter gear just yet! Widespread freezing temperatures are expected Friday night, with another light freeze possible Saturday night. Be sure to protect any sensitive vegetation before the cold arrives. Otherwise, we should quickly warm up over the weekend, with temperatures returning to the 60s and 70s by Sunday. Warmer weather will continue into early next week. Barnes && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ Mid-level clouds continue to stream overhead across North/Central TX this evening around 150. Cloud cover will increase through the night and Tuesday morning with MVFR CIGs likely across Central TX after 15Z. Widespread SHRA are also expected across mainly East and Central TX after 15Z, ending by 00Z Wed. A few isolated TS will be possible across East TX as well with tops to FL250. For the D10 terminals, precipitation chances are a bit more uncertain so for now will indicate VCSH in the TAF. Very brief and very light PL may be possible in the D10 12Z-16Z, but surface temperatures are expected to remain above freezing which would keep any operational impacts to a minimum. Godwin && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 36 49 34 61 41 / 0 40 0 0 0 Waco 36 47 33 60 38 / 5 60 5 0 0 Paris 32 48 33 59 36 / 0 50 20 0 0 Denton 32 48 26 60 36 / 0 30 0 0 0 McKinney 33 49 31 61 39 / 0 40 5 0 0 Dallas 36 48 34 60 41 / 0 40 0 0 0 Terrell 34 48 32 60 39 / 0 60 5 0 0 Corsicana 36 49 35 60 40 / 5 70 5 0 0 Temple 37 48 33 62 37 / 5 70 5 5 0 Mineral Wells 30 49 28 62 38 / 0 20 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 619 PM CST Mon Mar 7 2022 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-081230- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 619 PM CST Mon Mar 7 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. A light mix of rain and sleet may occur across parts of North Texas early Tuesday morning, but no accumulations are expected as temperatures will be above freezing. Across East Texas, a few thunderstorms will be possible through the day Tuesday, but severe thunderstorms are not expected. There is a low chance for a wintry mix late Thursday night into Friday across parts of North Texas. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions affected portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected portions of the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions affected portions of the county through the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1014682, 1014683, 1014684, 1014685.