Puerto Rico, 2022

Rip Current in Puerto Rico, March 8, 2022

March 8, 2022 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Strong winds resulted in hazardous seas across the Atlantic waters. Therefore, the risk of rip currents was high for many beaches across Puerto Rico.

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
1
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

Strong winds resulted in hazardous seas across the Atlantic waters. Therefore, the risk of rip currents was high for many beaches across Puerto Rico.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 8, 10:39 AM AST, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 10:39 AM AST, 3 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1039 AM AST Tue Mar 8 2022

.UPDATE...Forecast on track. Less moisture and instability than
yesterday, but breezy conditions and the trade winds showers
continue affecting portions of eastern and northern Puerto Rico
and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Diurnally induced afternoon showers
will develop over western Puerto Rico and downwind from the Virgin
Islands. Urban and small stream flooding is possible with this
activity.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions will prevail through the fcst period.
However, brief periods of MVFR conds due to SHRA/+SHRA should not
be ruled out at times. Expect maximum winds btwn 15 and 20 kt
with higher gusts and sea breeze variations, dropping at 10 kt or
less overnight.

&&

.MARINE...Fresh to locally strong easterly winds and a small
northerly swell will promote rough and hazardous seas through at
least midweek. SCAs remain in effect through at least midweek.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 453 AM AST Tue Mar 8 2022/

SYNOPSIS...More stable weather conditions are expected for today
and the next several days. Trade wind showers are expected in the
morning hours for eastern Puerto Rico and the USVI, and then
afternoon convection over the central interior and western
sections of Puerto Rico. Hazardous marine conditions continue
across the local waters. Small Craft Advisories are in effect for
mos of the local waters and passages.

SHORT TERM...Today through Thursday...

Trade wind showers moved at times across portions of the islands
during the overnight hours. Rainfall accumulations were in general
between a tenth and three tenths of an inch. Gusty winds up to 30
mph were reported across the northeastern coast of PR. Minimum
temperatures ranged from the low 60s across the mountains to the low
70s across the lower elevations. Moderate to fresh northeasterly
trades will continue to bring showers across the USVI and northeast
sections of PR during the morning hours.

Colder than normal 500 mb temperatures will continue today. However,
a warming trend is expected to start this afternoon as the upper
level trough to our northeast moves further east and away of the
region. Therefore, more stable conditions aloft are expected through
the rest of the short term period. In terms of moisture content, the
precipitable water content is expected to peak today and on Thursday
near 1.40 inches, and around 1.60 inches on Wednesday. This influx
of higher moisture content is due to an induced surface trough, and
the areal coverage and intensity of showers are expected to increase
once again from early Wednesday morning through the evening hours.

Northeasterly steering winds today will favor the development of
diurnally induced showers over the southwestern sections of PR, and
from streamers with lesser rainfall amounts over eastern PR. Winds
will gradually turn more easterly on Wednesday, and southeasterly by
Thursday as the surface high relocates over the central Atlantic.
Therefore, a northward shift in afternoon convection can be expected
each day.

LONG TERM...Friday through Tuesday...

In the low levels, a surface ridge is expected to take place north
of the local area, bringing easterly trade winds that will persist
through most of the period. Strong trades will prevail generating
morning showers over eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin
Islands. Daytime heating and local effects will help for the
development of afternoon convection over the central interior and
western Puerto Rico.

The GFS latest model guidance suggest a seasonal pattern, but
much drier weather conditions. A drier air mass pattern is
expected to prevail across the islands through the end of the long
term. However, patches of moisture pulled from the Caribbean will
place over the islands, enhancing unstable conditions aloft and
shower formation. Expect warmer temperatures and rainy afternoons.

AVIATION...Mainly VFR conditions are expected to prevail across
all terminals during the next 24 hours. However, trade winds
showers could move at times across TJSJ/TJBQ and the USVI
terminals through the period. This may cause brief MVFR cigs. ENE
winds will continue at 12-17 kts with higher gusts and sea breeze
variations aft 14z.

MARINE...Hazardous marine conditions continue across the local
waters. Wind-driven seas with the combination of a weak northeasterly
swell will generate seas up to 10 feet with higher breaking
waves. Small Craft Advisories continue in effect for most of the
local waters and passage. For beachgoers, a high risk of rip
currents remains in effect for most of the beaches in the local
islands.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  83  73  84  74 /  50  50  50  60
STT  84  73  84  74 /  40  50  50  50

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through late Wednesday night for Culebra-
     Mayaguez and Vicinity-North Central-Northeast-Northwest-San
     Juan and Vicinity-Southeast.

     High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM AST this evening for Vieques.

VI...High Rip Current Risk through late Wednesday night for St Croix-
     St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST this afternoon for Caribbean
     Waters of Puerto Rico from 10 NM to 17N-Coastal Waters of
     Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM-Mona Passage Southward
     to 17N.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Wednesday for Anegada
     Passage Southward to 17N-Coastal Waters of Northern Puerto
     Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and
     Eastern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Thursday for Atlantic Waters
     of Puerto Rico and USVI from 10 NM to 19.5N.

&&

SHORT TERM...CAM
LONG TERM....99
PUBLIC DESK...ICP
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 5:13 AM AST, 8 hours 47 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan PR
503 AM AST martes 8 de marzo de 2022

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-090915-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-
Este Interior-Norte Central-I anterior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-
Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-
Las aguas costeras cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y
Caribe-
503 AM AST martes 8 de marzo de 2022

Esta Perspectiva sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo es para
Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Inundaciones...Lluvia fuerte pudieran resultar en inundaciones
urbanas y de pequenos riachuelos a traves del oeste suroeste de
Puerto Rico.

.Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17
nudos) mayormente a traves de las aguas regionales.

.Oleaje...Se espera fuerte oleaje hasta los 8 pies a traves de las
aguas y pasajes del Atlantico, con el oleaje mas alto a traves de
las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico.

.Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas
para las playas del noroeste al sureste de Puerto Rico, Culebra y
Vieques.

.Dias dos hasta el siete...miercoles a lunes

Los aguaceros podran dejar inundaciones urbanas y de pequenos
riachuelos a traves del oeste de Puerto Rico el miercoles. El riesgo
alto de corrientes marinas continuara durante todo el periodo de
pronostico. Condiciones con brisa y picadas a traves de las aguas
locales continuaran hasta mediados de semana.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Sin embargo, le
agradeceriamos reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos,
corrientes marinas y oleaje al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en
San Juan.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-090915-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-
Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes
del Caribe-
503 AM AST martes 8 de marzo de 2022

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para
Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17
nudos) mayormente a traves de las aguas regionales.

.Oleaje...Se espera fuerte oleaje hasta los 8 pies a traves de las
aguas y pasajes del Atlantico, con el oleaje mas alto a traves de
las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico.

.Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas
para todas las playas de las Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses.

.Dias dos hasta el siete...miercoles a lunes

El riesgo alto de corrientes marinas continuara durante todo el
periodo de pronostico. Condiciones con brisa y picadas a traves
de las aguas locales continuaran hasta mediados de semana.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Sin embargo, le
agradeceriamos reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos,
corrientes marinas y oleaje al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en
San Juan.

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, Northeast

When
March 8, 2:00 PM AST to 3:00 PM AST
Where
Northeast forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Injuries
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper

A 66-year-old female tourist was swept away by a rip current and drown in Beach Palmas in Humacao.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, Northeast2022-03-0866FemaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, March 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1012646.