Winter Weather, Shelby
- When
- February 3, 5:37 PM CST to 9:32 PM CST
- Where
- Shelby forecast zone
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 31.792, -94.145 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A slow moving cold front moved through extreme Southeast Oklahoma shortly after daybreak on February 2nd, and into Northeast Texas and Southwest Arkansas through the afternoon. However, the deeper colder air was dammed up in the Ouachita Mountains of Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas, with temperatures slowly falling to and below freezing across much of Deep East Texas during the late…
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SHV wrote it up.
A slow moving cold front moved through extreme Southeast Oklahoma shortly after daybreak on February 2nd, and into Northeast Texas and Southwest Arkansas through the afternoon. However, the deeper colder air was dammed up in the Ouachita Mountains of Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas, with temperatures slowly falling to and below freezing across much of Deep East Texas during the late afternoon through the evening hours on the 3rd. Meanwhile, a longwave trough moved into West Texas and Western Oklahoma during the daytime hours on the 2nd, with areas of sleet and snow developing ahead of the trough over much of Oklahoma and Texas. While the precipitation started off as rain across East Texas early on the 3rd, it eventually transitioned over to a mixture of freezing rain and sleet across Shelby County, with ice accumulations of up to a glaze reported, mainly on bridges throughout the county.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 3, 2:30 PM CST, 3 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
230 PM CST Thu Feb 3 2022
.SHORT TERM.../Tonight/
For Tonight, planning on keeping the Winter Storm Warning for our
far western and northern counties as is with the warning set to
expire at 6 pm. The warning may need to be extended or downgraded to
a Winter Weather Advisory for our Southwest Arkansas Counties
depending on just where the back edge of precipitation is by 6 pm
this evening. Reports suggest we have seen at least one quarter of
an inch of freezing rain mixing with sleet across our far western
counties including McCurtain County where large limbs have fallen
resulting in power outages, across our Southwest Arkansas Counties,
temperatures are still above freezing across most major cities with
the exception of far northern Howard, Hempstead and Nevada Counties
where ice accumulation has been reported. Potential impacts across
our Southwest Arkansas counties support the continuation of the
Winter Storm Warning attm. Additional Freezing rain and/or sleet
accumulation will be near or less than one tenth of an inch and we
could also see some light snow accumulations well north and west of
the I-30 Corridor this evening with some additional light snow
possible across far Southeast Oklahoma in association with the
trough itself late tonight.
Further south and east where the Winter Weather Advisory is still in
effect across portions of Northeast Texas and North and Northeast
Louisiana near the I-20 Corridor, the Advisory is still in effect
until 9 pm this evening. We will most likely be able to cancel the
Advisory early across all our NE TX counties as well as some of our
Southwest Arkansas Counties but latest progs suggest that the
precipitation will not completely be done across our northeast
third until closer to 9pm so will not be making any changes to our
Winter Weather Advisory with this package. Additional freezing
rain, mixing with sleet at times will be mainly near or less than
one tenth of an inch.
Concerning temperatures, coldest temperatures tonight will obviously
be across our far west, northwest and northern zones where we have
seen ice accumulation. Elsewhere, middle and upper 20s are a pretty
good bet and that means any liquid water on bridges and overpasses
will quickly become ice. Not sure just how much drying we will see,
if any, between the time the precipitation ends late this afternoon
into the evening hours across our region and when the temperature
falls below freezing this evening for those areas still above
freezing but obviously hazards will exist on those bridges and
overpasses.
Brisk north and northwest winds will continue overnight and while
wind chill values will not quite meet Wind Chill Advisory criteria
across our region, values will fall into the teens across our
western third and northern third overnight tonight.
13
.LONG TERM.../Friday through Thursday Night/
Our four state area will be under the influence of a large Arctic
surface high with the 1042mb air mass edging across N TX during
Friday. And with that position we will continue with breezy N/NW
winds around 10 mph adding a chill to the air. Any residual ice,
especially in shaded areas, may even linger into Saturday as skies
will only briefly clear for our I-30 corridor mid afternoon and
elsewhere late in the day or early in the evening. As a result, with
the colder start, our highs will struggle into the mid to upper 30s
and some lower 40s south of I-20.
Clear skies will amp up the radiational cooling to make for a very
cold start to our weekend with teens and lower 20s for a broad
average. There might even be a single digit or two in northern
McCurtain and about 25 degrees in Natchitoches for the warmest
forecast low. Our highs on Saturday will do better with less winds
and range in the 40s expected areawide. The weekend continues chilly
with lows on Sunday back in the upper teens to mid 20s range across
the area. The winds will become lighter and somewhat variable to end
the weekend with highs still below average, but at least in the low
to mid 50s.
The long range models have more high pressure of of 1033mb back down
over north Texas to start the work week. And once again more
northerly winds which will keep temps pat one more day with warmer
readings back to afternoon averages anyway. Our morning lows will be
warming at a slower pace, and still keep below freezing for many
into midweek. Later in the week, more of the same with another
1030mb high over north Texas on GFS for midday Thursday, while the
ECMWF is milder with 1024mb. So a dry week to be sure with a real
slow warming trend with no return flow, just cold to cool high
pressure.
/24/
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1112 AM CST Thu Feb 3 2022/
AVIATION...
Difficult terminal forecast through the first 12 hours or so as we
transition through mixed precipitation. Light -FZRA will be
possible at all terminal as the precipitation ends from west to
east across our airspace late this afternoon into the evening
hours. Look for IFR and occasional LIFR ceilings to continue even
in the wake of the precipitation tonight through the tail end of
the TAF period. Did show some improvement at the tail end of the
close to 04/18z at the TYR/TXK and GGG terminals with ceilings
coming up to MVFR categories. Should see clearing from NW to SE
across our airspace just beyond this 24hr TAF window.
13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 28 40 24 49 / 40 0 0 0
MLU 28 38 24 46 / 40 10 0 0
DEQ 21 37 11 45 / 20 0 0 0
TXK 26 39 20 44 / 30 0 0 0
ELD 23 37 18 43 / 40 0 0 0
TYR 21 35 18 44 / 10 0 0 0
GGG 24 38 21 47 / 20 0 0 0
LFK 24 42 24 51 / 30 0 0 0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Winter Weather Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for ARZ059-
070-071.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for ARZ050-051-
060-061-072-073.
LA...Winter Weather Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for
LAZ001>006-012>014-021.
OK...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for OKZ077.
TX...Winter Weather Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for TXZ097-
111-112-126-137-138-150-152-165.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ096-
108>110-124-125-136-149.
&&
13/24/13Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1215 PM CST Thu Feb 3 2022 ARZ059-070-071-LAZ001>006-012>014-021-TXZ097-111-112-126-137-138- 150-152-165-041815- Little River-Miller-Lafayette-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne- Lincoln-Union-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Caldwell-Bowie-Morris- Cass-Marion-Gregg-Harrison-Rusk-Nacogdoches-Angelina- 1215 PM CST Thu Feb 3 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Arkansas in the Texarkana vicinity, for all of north Louisiana's I-20 corridor, and for deep east Texas and northeast Texas from Lufkin to Longview and Atlanta. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight... The freezing line will continue to edge southward this afternoon and evening. So we can expect the ongoing rain to transition over to a light wintry mix of precipitation later this afternoon and evening. A winter weather advisory is in effect until 9PM. Expect driving conditions to quickly deteriorate once this transition occurs, with a trace to one tenth of an inch of ice accumulations possible in the advisory and then freezing any slush hard overnight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday... Any lingering icy bridges or overpasses may thaw a bit, but then refreeze for Saturday morning with low 20s. Beyond this residual threat of lingering ice early on Friday and possibly Saturday, no other hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio operators and storm spotters may be needed through tonight. ARZ050-051-060-061-072-073-OKZ077-TXZ096-108>110-124-125-136-149- 041815- Sevier-Howard-Hempstead-Nevada-Columbia-Union-McCurtain-Red River- Franklin-Titus-Camp-Wood-Upshur-Smith-Cherokee- 1215 PM CST Thu Feb 3 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Oklahoma, for portions of south central and southwest Arkansas, and for portions of northeast Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight... Much colder and now drier air continue to pour into the region with a wintry mix now affecting much of the area in the Winter Storm Warning, which continues until 6PM. Expect driving conditions to quickly deteriorate once this transition occurs, with freezing rain accumulations near a quarter inch, along with sleet and snow accumulations possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday... Given the expected icy surfaces in the warning area, many roads will freeze hard overnight and may thaw a bit Friday afternoon with upper 30s, but then refreeze leftovers overnight with lower 20s. So there may even be some residual threat of lingering ice early on Saturday, but no other hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio operators and storm spotters may be needed through this afternoon. LAZ010-011-017>020-022-TXZ151-153-166-167-041815- De Soto-Red River-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-La Salle-Panola- Shelby-San Augustine- 1215 PM CST Thu Feb 3 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Louisiana to the south of I-20 and for Toledo Bend country and deep east Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight... Colder air will slowly arrive during the mid to late afternoon, and given ongoing rain, a wintry mix of precipitation may end the event this evening with some trace amounts of ice possible on elevated road ways. Use caution if traveling overnight or early on Friday with below freezing readings for the commute. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday... No other hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio operators and storm spotters may be needed through tonight. 24
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
240 PM CST THU FEB 3 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM FREEZING RAIN HUGHES SPRINGS 33.00N 94.63W
02/03/2022 E0.01 INCH CASS TX PUBLIC
LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE ON ELEVATED SURFACES. A
MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET AT THE TIME OF
OBSERVATION.
&&
BBPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
252 PM CST THU FEB 3 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM FREEZING RAIN 1 N MOUNT VERNON 33.19N 95.22W
02/03/2022 E0.10 INCH FRANKLIN TX EMERGENCY MNGR
COMBINED ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. MANY
ROADS SLICK AND HAZARDOUS, ESPECIALLY
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.
&&
BBPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
325 PM CST THU FEB 3 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM FREEZING RAIN HUGHES SPRINGS 33.00N 94.63W
02/03/2022 E0.03 INCH CASS TX PUBLIC
EVENT STILL ONGOING.
&&
BBPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
437 PM CST THU FEB 3 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM FREEZING RAIN 1 SW IDABEL 33.90N 94.82W
02/03/2022 E0.25 INCH MCCURTAIN OK POST OFFICE
SOCIAL MEDIA POST OF ESTIMATED TREE BRANCH
ICE ACCRETION UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH.
&&
BBPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
448 PM CST THU FEB 3 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM FREEZING RAIN 1 N TYLER 32.35N 95.30W
02/03/2022 E0.20 INCH SMITH TX PUBLIC
&&
BBPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
449 PM CST THU FEB 3 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 AM FREEZING RAIN 1 NNE TYLER 32.35N 95.30W
02/03/2022 E0.01 INCH SMITH TX BROADCAST MEDIA
FREEZING RAIN ONGOING.
0916 AM SLEET 4 WSW LINDALE 32.47N 95.47W
02/03/2022 E0.1 INCH SMITH TX BROADCAST MEDIA
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ONGOING IN THE
HIDEAWAY COMMUNITY.
0918 AM FREEZING RAIN 3 S NORPHLET 33.28N 92.67W
02/03/2022 E0.01 INCH UNION AR BROADCAST MEDIA
FREEZING RAIN ONGOING. CAMERA ICED OVER
NORTH OF EL DORADO.
0940 AM FREEZING RAIN 6 ENE GILMER 32.76N 94.85W
02/03/2022 E0.01 INCH UPSHUR TX AMATEUR RADIO
ICE JUST STARTING TO ACCRETE ON TREES. EVENT
ONGOING.
1014 AM SLEET MINEOLA 32.67N 95.49W
02/03/2022 E0.1 INCH WOOD TX PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORT OF SLEET ACCUMULATING ON DECKS
IN THE MINEOLA AREA. EVENT ONGOING.
1030 AM FREEZING RAIN 7 ESE RINGOLD 34.18N 95.01W
02/03/2022 E0.25 INCH MCCURTAIN OK TRAINED SPOTTER
QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ESTIMATED DUE
TO COMMERCIAL POWER OUTAGES. TREES BRANCHES
ALSO DROOPING DUE TO ICE ACCRETION. EVENT
STILL ONGOING ALTHOUGH TRANSITIONING TO
SLEET AT THIS LOCATION.
1100 AM FREEZING RAIN 4 N TYLER 32.39N 95.31W
02/03/2022 E0.05 INCH SMITH TX BROADCAST MEDIA
ICE ACCRETION MEASURED IN TREE BRANCHES.
FREEZING RAIN STARTING TO TRANSITION TO
SLEET. EVENT ONGOING.
1250 PM FREEZING RAIN UNION GROVE 32.59N 94.91W
02/03/2022 E0.01 INCH UPSHUR TX PUBLIC
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET IS
CURRENTLY FALLING.
0130 PM FREEZING RAIN 5 N NASHVILLE 34.01N 93.84W
02/03/2022 E0.01 INCH HOWARD AR PUBLIC
A LIGHT GLAZE STARTING TO FORM IN THE TREES.
0130 PM FREEZING RAIN 1 SSW IDABEL 33.89N 94.82W
02/03/2022 E0.01 INCH MCCURTAIN OK PUBLIC
A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE OBSERVED IN THE TREES
WITH A MIX OF SLEET STARTING AT THE TIME OF
OBSERVATION.
0215 PM SLEET 1 WNW QUITMAN 32.80N 95.45W
02/03/2022 E0.5 INCH WOOD TX EMERGENCY MNGR
ESTIMATES AROUND HALF AN INCH OF COMBINED
SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATION. MOST ROADS JUST
WET, ALTHOUGH BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AROUND
THE AREA WERE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.
0215 PM FREEZING RAIN 1 N MOUNT VERNON 33.19N 95.22W
02/03/2022 E0.10 INCH FRANKLIN TX EMERGENCY MNGR
COMBINED ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. MANY
ROADS SLICK AND HAZARDOUS, ESPECIALLY
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.
0230 PM FREEZING RAIN HUGHES SPRINGS 33.00N 94.63W
02/03/2022 E0.01 INCH CASS TX PUBLIC
LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE ON ELEVATED SURFACES. A
MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET AT THE TIME OF
OBSERVATION.
0315 PM FREEZING RAIN HUGHES SPRINGS 33.00N 94.63W
02/03/2022 E0.03 INCH CASS TX PUBLIC
EVENT STILL ONGOING.
0400 PM FREEZING RAIN 1 SW IDABEL 33.90N 94.82W
02/03/2022 E0.25 INCH MCCURTAIN OK POST OFFICE
SOCIAL MEDIA POST OF ESTIMATED TREE BRANCH
ICE ACCRETION UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH.
0430 PM FREEZING RAIN 1 N TYLER 32.35N 95.30W
02/03/2022 E0.20 INCH SMITH TX PUBLIC
&&The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 995628.