An elongated upper trough extended through the Borderland. Deep monsoonal moisture remained in place across the region and when combined with some heavy rain over the previous few days lead to flash flooding in west El Paso.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
An elongated upper trough extended through the Borderland. Deep monsoonal moisture remained in place across the region and when combined with some heavy rain over the previous few days lead to flash flooding in west El Paso.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 22, 5:00 PM MST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 600 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022 .UPDATE... Lingering VCTS/VCSH through 06/08Z tonight. Best chances for vis or cig reductions at KTCS/KDMN. Otherwise E/SE surface winds at around 05-10kts with occasional G15-20kts. Skies remain SCT- BKN110 Tuesday, potentially becoming BKN060 near VCTS/VCSH after 20Z. Scattered VCTS/VCSH Tuesday afternoon, with some guidance suggests KTCS having the best chances. && .PREV DISCUSSION...239 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022... .SYNOPSIS... Tuesday remains moderately active with a weak disturbance sliding by and plenty of low-level moisture. Quieter weather into the second half of the week as drier air moves in from the north with a more typical monsoon pattern. Scattered storms begin over the mountains, ejecting outflows and isolated activity into the lowlands later in the day. Temperatures slowly rebound to near normal for the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... .SHORT TERM...Tonight and Tuesday... Still plenty of moisture in place over the region with PW's over 1.40"-1.50". Weak trough at H70 still noticeable in wind fields across southeast CWA and then another upper trough moving through NW NM and pushing southeast. With the moisture in place and some decent morning sun, scattered thunderstorms have developed over the Gila with isolated storms elsewhere. Storm motion is very slow making flooding the main threat, especially over areas already saturated by recent rains. There is some upper support moving in this evening which could support storms spreading over the lowlands, especially along and west of the Rio Grande. Many CAMS models showing evening/early morning storms moving down from TCS toward DMN and LRU. Kept scattered pops going through about 06Z-09Z before tapering down to under 20 percent. Overnight lows look similar to last few nights with 60s to around 70 in the lowlands with mid 40s to upper 50s mountains. For Tuesday, moisture starts to decrease with PW's dropping about a tenth of an inch. We lose any kind of discernible mid/upper level trough so storms will have to be triggered by terrain and daytime heating. Looks like a more typical monsoon day then with deep easterly flow firing storms off the Sacs and Blacks by early afternoon and then spreading onto the lowlands off outflows. Storm motion remains fairly slow(5-8kts) so will have to continue worrying about flooding. EC temperatures look to be running on the cool side recently and with some afternoon sun expected, think the warmer MAV guidance numbers look pretty good which put the lowlands in the lower to mid 80s, could even see a few upper 80s in the lowest elevations. && .LONG TERM...Tuesday night through Monday... The passage of a weak upper-level trough on Tuesday should push the deepest moisture into Mexico for the evening. However, a good amount of tropical moisture remains over the Borderland with dew points modeled to be around 60 degrees and PW's in the 1.3-1.5 inch range. Some showers and storms may linger into the overnight as a result with heavy downpours and spotty flooding possible. Wednesday will be somewhat of a transition day to a more typical monsoon setup as an upper high develops around the Four Corners and filters in drier continental air. This should suppress the deepest moisture along the International border or just south of it, lowering the convective threat across the area. The drying trend continues through Friday with PW's dropping closer to average for late- August (about 1 inch). The flooding threat will be diminished as a result of the more spotty storm coverage and lower moisture content. The steering flow however looks to remain very light, so the convection should be slow- moving and heavy rain may sit over the same area for a while. On a daily basis, scattered storms initiate in the higher terrain before ejecting outflow boundaries into the lowlands which could spark new activity for the evening hours. Late in the week, global models are indicating another trough swinging through the region from the northwest, which will break down the upper high. There does not look to be deep moisture or lift associated with this disturbance, although dew points should rise a few degrees. Storm chances may be slightly higher into the weekend as a result. We will see how the models trend regarding moisture content and convective coverage into Saturday, but for now, this does not appear to be a significant event. Behind the trough on Sunday, the upper high returns to the southwest US, but dew points stay elevated according to the GFS and Euro. Isolated to scattered storms remain in the forecast into early next week due to the lingering low-level moisture. Gusty outflow winds and heavy downpours are possible with the activity. In terms of temperatures, highs will slowly rebound into the low 90s in the lowlands for the weekend with more sunshine. && .AVIATION...Clouds have broken up across most of the area but low clouds remain over the Sacs into Hudspeth County. Other areas as well as any of these eastern areas which clear out will quickly develop CU of SCT-BKN040-060. CB forming over S NM mountains early in the period and spreading onto the lowlands in the mid to late afternoon. Coverage will be scattered with plenty of breaks between cells. IFR conditions possible with any direct TS hits. Scattered SHRA with isold TS possible overnight across S NM and W TX. && .FIRE WEATHER... Fire danger will remain near zero for the coming days as moisture will remain in place over the area with a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms. Coverage of these storms will be less than recent days, but flooding will still be a concern, especially over the Gila and Sacs. Storm chances will gradually decrease through the week with best chances remaining over the mountains and far west. Temperatures will be warming back to near normal by the end of the week, but min RH's will remain above 30%. Vent rates will remain poor to good. && 26-Grzywacz && && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 69 86 67 85 / 30 40 30 30 Sierra Blanca 66 78 63 77 / 30 50 30 40 Las Cruces 66 84 65 84 / 30 40 40 40 Alamogordo 63 85 63 82 / 30 40 40 40 Cloudcroft 44 60 45 60 / 30 50 30 60 Truth or Consequences 65 84 64 82 / 40 40 40 40 Silver City 59 77 60 75 / 60 60 40 60 Deming 64 84 65 82 / 40 30 40 40 Lordsburg 63 84 65 81 / 50 40 40 40 West El Paso Metro 69 85 67 83 / 30 40 30 40 Dell City 66 83 65 82 / 30 40 30 30 Fort Hancock 66 85 65 82 / 30 50 30 40 Loma Linda 62 78 61 76 / 30 40 30 40 Fabens 67 84 66 82 / 30 40 30 30 Santa Teresa 67 84 65 83 / 30 30 40 30 White Sands HQ 67 85 66 82 / 30 40 40 40 Jornada Range 65 84 64 81 / 40 40 40 40 Hatch 65 85 65 82 / 40 40 40 40 Columbus 66 83 65 81 / 40 30 40 30 Orogrande 65 85 64 82 / 30 40 30 40 Mayhill 52 70 51 70 / 30 60 30 50 Mescalero 51 72 50 72 / 30 60 40 60 Timberon 50 70 50 69 / 40 50 30 50 Winston 58 77 58 75 / 50 60 40 60 Hillsboro 61 82 62 80 / 50 50 40 50 Spaceport 63 84 63 82 / 40 40 40 40 Lake Roberts 56 77 55 74 / 60 60 40 60 Hurley 63 83 62 80 / 50 50 40 50 Cliff 64 86 60 83 / 50 50 40 50 Mule Creek 55 81 60 78 / 50 60 40 60 Faywood 64 81 63 77 / 50 50 40 50 Animas 63 84 63 81 / 40 30 40 40 Hachita 62 82 63 79 / 40 40 40 40 Antelope Wells 62 82 63 79 / 40 50 40 50 Cloverdale 59 80 60 77 / 40 50 40 60 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 99/99/31
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1104 AM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-231800- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 1104 AM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered lowlands and numerous mountain showers and thunderstorms are expected through tonight. Storm motion will be slow today which could lead to locally heavy rain and additional flooding due to the already saturated soil. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Drier air will slowly filter into the area through the end of the week, but there will continue to be a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms with the greatest coverage over area mountains and areas west of the Continental Divide. While storms are not expected to produce as much rain as in recent days, the threat for flooding will continue until the ground can start to dry out. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to stay vigilant today through tonight for heavy rain and flooding. Please call the NWS office with reports of heavy rain, rainfall totals, and any observed flooding. 26
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
127 PM MDT MON AUG 22 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0127 PM FLOOD 1 W SAN LORENZO 32.81N 107.94W
08/22/2022 GRANT NM TRAINED SPOTTER
PONDING BEGINNING IN YARD, ALSO MEASURED 1.4
INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
300 PM MDT MON AUG 22 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 9 W PINOS ALTOS 32.90N 108.39W
08/22/2022 E1.00 INCH GRANT NM TRAINED SPOTTER
ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN IN AN HOUR.
&&Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
312 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022
NMZ403-407-222145-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley NM-
Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin NM-
312 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Luna County
through 345 PM MDT...
At 310 PM MDT, off duty N W S Meteorologist reported strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 10 miles south of Faywood
to 6 miles northeast of Deming to 6 miles west of Akela. Movement
was southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph with blowing dust and pea size
hail.
SOURCE...Off duty N W S Meteorologist.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Deming, Sunshine, Rock Hound State Park and Spring Canyon State Park.
This includes Interstate 10 in New Mexico between mile markers 73 and
102.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3210 10793 3196 10745 3199 10737 3228 10744
3242 10768 3258 10791
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 331DEG 22KT 3247 10787 3234 10770 3227 10752
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH
BROWNSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
350 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022
NMZ401-402-404-222215-
Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range NM-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley NM-
Upper Gila River Valley NM-
350 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Grant
County through 415 PM MDT...
At 350 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles north of Buckhorn to 8 miles southeast
of Mule Creek. Movement was southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Cliff, Buckhorn, Gila and Mogollon Box Campground.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3321 10878 3321 10869 3304 10852 3279 10875
3298 10894
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 328DEG 20KT 3316 10877 3304 10886
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BROWNSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
451 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022
NMZ404-405-222315-
Lowlands of the Bootheel NM-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley NM-
451 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central Grant
and east central Hidalgo Counties through 515 PM MDT...
At 451 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southwest of Hachita. This storm was nearly stationary.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Hachita, Playas, Hachita Valley, Playas Valley and Big Hatchet
Refuge.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3173 10862 3203 10861 3197 10825 3169 10829
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 272DEG 3KT 3183 10842
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH
BROWNSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
600 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022
NMZ405-406-230030-
Uplands of the Bootheel NM-Lowlands of the Bootheel NM-
600 PM MDT Mon Aug 22 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central Hidalgo
County through 630 PM MDT...
At 600 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Animas, moving southwest at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Animas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3192 10883 3185 10877 3171 10884 3186 10900
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 043DEG 5KT 3184 10883
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH
BROWNThe El Paso radar (KEPZ), 20 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:16 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A public report was received of flash flooding at Mesa and Brentwood.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1053985.