A small northerly swell affected the northern coast of Puerto Rico on the week of November 18th.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.
A small northerly swell affected the northern coast of Puerto Rico on the week of November 18th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 18, 11:03 AM AST, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Juan PR 1103 AM AST Fri Nov 18 2022 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE... .UPDATE... TJSJ 18/12z sounding data indicated dry air from mid to upper levels, suggesting subsidence aloft. While at low levels, GOES-E visible channel and derived TPW values detected a patch of moisture with clouds and showers moving across the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico's surrounding waters. This patch will continue to push showers, mainly across the windward portions of the islands. Although we are not expecting thunderstorms at this time, afternoon convection will develop across the interior and southwest quadrant of Puerto Rico. The winds will continue from the northeast between 10 and 20 mph with sea breeze variations but locally higher due to gusty winds. Maximum temperatures will remain in the mid-80s but combined with the available moisture; the heat index values will reach the upper 90s. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) VFR conditions will prevail with the arrival of a -SHRA/SHRA over JSJ/IST/ISX at times. SHRA/TSRA will develop across the interior and SW-PR and downwind from the USVI btwn 18/18-22z, producing mount obsc ovr PR. Winds will continue from the NNE at 10-15 knots but gusty near SHRA and with sea breeze variations. Winds will become calm to light and VRB aft 18/23z. && .MARINE... Mariners can expect moderate to fresh easterly winds (15-20 knots) with higher gusts, mainly across the offshore waters and during the afternoon. This northeasterly wind flow is causing choppy conditions with seas between 4 and 6 feet with an average wave period of 6 seconds. However, local buoys detected a small north- northeasterly swell of around 2 feet at 14 to 16 seconds. The risk of rip currents is moderate for the Atlantic Coastline of Puerto Rico, Culebra, Vieques St Thomas, St John, and St Croix. The risk is low from Mayaguez to Salinas (following the Caribbean Coastline). && .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 439 AM AST Fri Nov 18 2022 Shallow moisture will allow scattered shower activity for the next several days. Moisture will increase during the first part of next week and passing troughs at low levels and a TUTT low moving southwest across the Windward Islands will promote much better shower activity and enhanced chances for local flooding. Winds will also increase early next week. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday... Drier air is moving into the region, which has led to a decrease in shower activity compared to yesterday. Still, patchy moisture is being carried across the region from time to time, which will help to sustain a typical shower pattern. Considering the fact that there were no thunderstorms yesterday, when conditions were somewhat more favorable for their development, the thunderstorms have been removed from the forecast for this afternoon. The steering flow is expected to gradually shift more easterly, but winds will back to northeast and then north between 500 and 400 hPa. Considering how dry the 00Z sounding was above around 625 hPa, it is likely that showers will struggle to reach as high as those winds with the more northerly component; but, those that do may drift into southwestern Puerto Rico. Otherwise, shower activity is likely to be focused on interior and western portions of the island. In the east, some streamer development is likely, which will combine with some lingering passing showers to provide some rainfall to the area, mostly for northeastern Puerto Rico into the San Juan metro. This patchy moisture is expected to continue to affect the area into Saturday. On Saturday morning, a dry slot is forecast to push into the region from the east. This will inhibit shower development. And with this dry slot likely to be affecting most of the island of Puerto Rico during the afternoon, afternoon convection is likely to be further decreased. Patchy moisture will return behind this dry slot, later in the day on Saturday. This moisture will gradually increase through the day on Sunday. As such, shower activity is also likely to increase. However, cloudiness ahead of the next feature has the potential to inhibit the increase in afternoon convection. A disturbance with a significantly more moist airmass is expected to push into the region during the night on Sunday, resulting in an increase in shower activity. && .LONG TERM...Monday through Sunday... A TUTT low east of the Windward Islands will dive onto the coast of Venezuela by Tuesday night and cause a 50 knot jet to cross over the U.S. Virgin Islands and close to eastern Puerto Rico on Monday. It will dissipate during the period, but remnants will move over the local area on Sunday. Precipitable water will begin increasing this Saturday night and will reach 2 inches by Wednesday afternoon. This moisture will continue through next Friday night. The low level trough approaching the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this Sunday night is expected to cross though on Monday, bringing the first increase in showers and mid-level moisture that has been lacking so far for today and tomorrow. Shower activity will increase Monday and Tuesday, but the best moisture will remain south until the low level flow turns more southeasterly behind another easterly wave. Currently, this wave is expected to cross through the area Wednesday afternoon and will bring the best moisture of the period. With southeast flow at lower levels and helpful divergence aloft Wednesday afternoon through Thursday, it looks like southeastern and interior Puerto Rico are being set up for another round of very heavy rain enhanced by considerable orographic lift where winds in the lower levels (surface to 700 mb) will range from 15 to 40 mph from the southeast. This will bear watching. Improving conditions begin on Friday and moisture continues to decrease Saturday and Sunday, but mainly for eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Western Puerto Rico may still be under a band of moisture held by an approaching cold front near the Windward Passage and another tropical wave passing south of the area on Sunday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 439 AM AST Fri Nov 18 2022 Generally VFR conds expected next 24 hours across aerodromes. VCSH due to passing SHRA over waters for TJSJ/TIST/TISX are expected to have limited impacts at aerodromes. Afternoon convection expected to be focused on interior and W/SW PR, keeping SHRA likely W/N of TJPS and S of TJBQ. Terrain obscurations possible. Winds generally light overnight, around 4 to 8 knots. After sunrise, winds pick up out of the east at 12 to 16 knots, with stronger gusts. && .MARINE... Issued at 439 AM AST Fri Nov 18 2022 Northerly swell will continue through the weekend and then begin to increase from 2 to 4 feet through Wednesday night. When the wind driven seas from moderate to fresh winds are added into the mix, seas will be choppy and confused for the first part of the week and then eventually hazardous in most unprotected waters by the middle of the week. Although models appear to be over forecasting winds during the middle of next week, they will still be significantly stronger than today. Also showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop with the passage of two or three tropical waves next week. && .SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PR...None. VI...None. && SHORT TERM...CAM PUBLIC DESK....ICP AVIATION...CAM
Perspectivas sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo...CORRECCION Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan PR 647 AM AST viernes 18 de noviembre de 2022 AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-190900- San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-Norte Central- Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-Las aguas costeras cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y del Caribe- 647 AM AST viernes 18 de noviembre de 2022 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Puerto Rico. .DIA UNO...Hoy y esta noche .Condiciones Maritimas...Operadores de embarcaciones pequenas deben ejercer precaucion a traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico y el Pasaje de Anegada. .Vientos...En ocasiones, se esperan condiciones localmente ventosas a traves de las aguas locales y areas costeras. .Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas para las playas de Vieques, Culebra y el norte de Puerto Rico, incluyendo Aguada y Rincon. .DIAS DOS A SIETE...sabado a jueves Un aumento en la humedad e inestabilidad temprano la proxima semana laboral traera mas aguaceros y tronadas al area, aumentando el potencial de lluvia excesiva y rayos, al igual que el riesgo de inundaciones. Las condiciones ventosas persistiran a traves de las aguas, resultando en oleaje de hasta 5 a 6 pies, mayormente para las aguas lejanas a la costa. El riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas persistira. Para temprano la proxima semana laboral, el oleaje aumenrara y es probable que el riesgo de corrientes marinas aumente de moderado a alto a traves de las playas locales. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se requiere activacion de observadores. AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-190900- San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-Santa Cruz- Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes del Caribe- 647 AM AST viernes 18 de noviembre de 2022 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses. .DIA UNO...Hoy y esta noche .Condiciones Maritimas...Operadores de embarcaciones pequenas deben ejercer precaucion a traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico. .Vientos...En ocasiones, se esperan condiciones localmente ventosas a traves de las aguas locales y areas costeras. .Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas amenazantes a la vida para las zonas de olas rompientes. .DIAS DOS A SIETE...sabado a jueves Un aumento en la humedad e inestabilidad temprano la proxima semana laboral traera mas aguaceros y tronadas al area, aumentando el potencial de lluvia excesiva y rayos, al igual que el riesgo de inundaciones. Las condiciones ventosas persistiran a traves de las aguas, resultando en oleaje de hasta 5 a 6 pies, mayormente para las aguas lejanas a la costa. El riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas persistira. Para temprano la proxima semana laboral, el oleaje aumenrara y es probable que el riesgo de corrientes marinas aumente de moderado a alto a traves de las playas locales. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se requiere activacion de observadores.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A 15-year-old male drowned when he was swept by a rip current in Isla Verde, near Condominio Condesa del Mar. Two others (under 18 years-old) were rescued.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, San Juan and Vicinity | 2022-11-18 | 15 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, November 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1067576.