What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 16, 12:55 PM EST, 0 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 16, 12:55 PM EST, 0 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
155 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front will sweep across the Mid Atlantic today
bringing the threat of severe weather to the region. High
pressure will build in on Tuesday. A weak low may cross the region
on Thursday along a warm front. High pressure will build across
the western Atlantic Friday and into next weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
***Severe Thunderstorm Watch #229 in Effect through 8 PM...
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for eastern
Pennsylvania and most of New Jersey, with the exception of Cape
May, Cumberland, and Salem counties until 8 pm. Unstable air is
in place across the area ahead of an approaching cold front and
the second of multiple short wave/vorticity impulse aloft.
This wave has intensified the showers and thunderstorms across
northeast Pennsylvania. This activity will continue to move
northeast across eastern Pennsylvania and northern and central
New Jersey this afternoon. Another short wave/vorticity impulse
approaches the area this afternoon as a cold front moves into
the area, and this will set off another area of showers and
thunderstorms that will move into the area from the southwest.
Much of the area remains under an ENHANCED risk for severe
weather. ML CAPEs over the area look to be maxing out around
1000-2000 j/kg so the storms should be intensifying as they
move in. What's also concerning is that the forcing and shear
continues to look quite impressive as a sharp trough axis in the
upper levels pivots in while acquiring a negative tilt helping
to trigger significant 500 mb height falls on the order of 100m
over 12 hours. And the best forcing appears to be targeting
eastern PA. Deep layer shear vectors look to be around 40 knots
with hodographs indicating low level turning of the winds as
well and 0-1 km SRH values of 100-200 m2s2. Given this set up
with the linear nature of the forcing and more than ample
moisture widespread severe weather appears likely. The mode
should be mostly linear as a main line moves into our eastern PA
zones but I'm still concerned that there could be storms that
develop out ahead of the line in response to low level
convergence from sea and bay breezes. If this occurs, this would
favor interior southern NJ and Delmarva and the mode could tend
towards discrete supercells. Expect the primary line of storms
to move eastward through the afternoon likely affecting the
urban corridor by around 21z or so. But again, if storms do
develop ahead of the line the set up on radar could get a bit
"messy" with merging storms and outflow boundaries.
In terms of the specific severe weather threats, damaging straight
line winds of 60-70 mph are still the main threat but given the
low level shear, SRH, and low LCLs tornadoes can't be ruled
out. Also, the strong lift and L57 lapse rates around 6.5 C/km
could also support large hail. Biggest threat for hail and
tornadoes could end up being with more "discrete" type cells
that develop ahead of the main line or with merging storms.
Finally, PWats should increase to around 1.5 inches and while
and the overall system will be fairly progressive, rain rates
will likely be intense meaning if any areas near or over the
urban corridor get hit with multiple rounds this could lead to
instances of flash flooding.
The storms should reach the coast by around 0z and while they may
have started to weaken somewhat, they will still be capable of
producing severe weather even here. Activity should finally come to
an end by around mid evening as the front sweeps off the coast
ushering in cooler, drier air. Following a warm, humid day today
with highs for most areas well into the 70s to near 80, lows tonight
will be in the 50s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
A surface cold front will be well offshore Tuesday morning with
an upper level low located near the Ontario/ Quebec border. The
primary wave axis will be negatively tilted across the Canadian
Maritimes, with another weak wave diving down the western flank
of the closed low. This will keep modest cold air advection
across the region through the day with dewpoints slowly falling
into the low to mid 40s by the afternoon hours. High
temperatures Tuesday will be mainly in the mid to upper 70s
across the region, with 60s forecast over the southern Poconos.
West winds of 10 to 20 MPH are forecast, with gusts as high as
30 MPH possible.
Tuesday night, surface high pressure will approach from the west
with winds rapidly weakening as the PBL decouples. Expect low
temperatures in the mid 40s to lower 50s across the area.
Surface high pressure will move overhead Wednesday with 850 MB
temperatures lowering to around 6 degrees C. This will make
Wednesday the coolest day of the work week with highs mainly in
the upper 60s to low 70s. Clouds will be increasing though as a
shortwave rapidly approaches from the west.
Wednesday night, a warm front will approach the region from the
southwest with a weak surface low forming along the baroclinic
zone. Showers will then move in from the west Wednesday night.
Overall, the track of the surface low appears to be further
north than previously forecast. Expect lows mainly in the 50s
Wednesday night/ Thursday morning.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Most of the overall synoptic pattern in the extended is in
rather good agreement with the GEFS, GEPS, and EPS this morning.
The below normal mid-level heights of Tuesday and Wednesday will
slowly transition to above normal by Friday/ Saturday as the
mid-level ridge amplifies over the western Atlantic. Sunday into
Monday of next week, the sub-tropical ridge will begin to break
down ushering in a break from the very warm temperatures of
Saturday. There does, however, remain substantial variability
in the details of how the evolution of the wave pattern occurs,
and the degree of amplification.
During the day Thursday, the surface warm front will lift north
across the region with showers ongoing initially. As the wave
exits the coast, a brief break in the precipitation is expected
(on the subsident side of the shortwave). However, timing of the
wave remains rather important here though, as a slower
progression would favor another round of showers and
thunderstorms developing Thursday afternoon due to day time
heating. Either way, Thursday doesn't look like a complete
washout, but clouds will be rather widespread with dewpoints
rapidly climbing back towards 60 degrees.
By Friday, temperatures will start to climb with highs in the
mid 80s expected. Dewpoints will also be right back in the mid
60s. The uptick in humidity will be noticeable. On Saturday, the
amplification of the mid-level ridge will take shape with
heights rapidly rising across the region. Expect high
temperatures in the low 90s across the urban corridor. A
surface cold front will then cross the region Sunday with
temperatures falling back towards normal for this time of year.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
A line of convection from KRDG to KBGM moving ENE and should
impact Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and northwestern NJ 18Z to 22Z.
More convection is expected from KTTN to KILG and points south
and east from 19Z to 23Z, including KPHL. G50kt possible with
stronger storms. Ceiling and Vsbys will be VFR for entire period
except 2SM and 2kft deck in convection. Surface winds will
become westerly this evening 10 to 20 knots and continue into
Tuesday.
Outlook...
Tuesday night...VFR. West winds 5 to 15 kts. High confidence.
Wednesday...VFR. Northwest winds winds 5 to 15 kts with gusts
up to 20 kts. High confidence.
Wednesday night and Thursday...Clouds increasing from the west.
VFR initially then slowly lowering to MVFR/ IFR as showers
spread over the region. Southerly winds backing from the
southeast 5 to 10 kts. A slow recovery to VFR possible Thursday
afternoon. Moderate confidence on overall pattern, but low
confidence on where exactly the showers set up.
Friday...Mainly VFR. South winds 5 to 15 kts. Moderate
confidence.
&&
.MARINE...
South to southwest wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts around 20
knots. Occasional gusts around 25 knots are possible this
afternoon ahead of a cold front and line of showers and
thunderstorms. Waves on our ocean waters will likely stay in the
3 to 4 foot range. Waves on Delaware Bay are expected to be 2
feet or less. There will also be the potential for some fog on
the waters through this morning.
A strong cold front is anticipated to pass across the coastal waters
of New Jersey and Delaware this evening. It will likely be preceded
by strong to severe thunderstorms. The wind is then expected to
shift to the west and northwest at 10 to 15 knots tonight.
Outlook...
Tuesday and Tuesday night...Sub-SCA conditions. West winds
around 15 kts gusting up to 20 kts. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Wednesday through Friday...Winds and seas are expected to remain
below SCA criteria.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
Synopsis...Haines
Near Term...Fitzsimmons/Robertson
Short Term...Haines
Long Term...Haines
Aviation...Fitzsimmons/Franklin/Haines
Marine...Fitzsimmons/Haines/Kruzdlo
Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 12:46 PM EST, 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
DEZ001-171746-
New Castle-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ002-171746-
Kent-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ003-171746-
Inland Sussex-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ004-171746-
Delaware Beaches-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ054-171746-
Carbon-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ055-171746-
Monroe-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ060-171746-
Berks-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ061-171746-
Lehigh-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ062-171746-
Northampton-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ070-171746-
Delaware-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ071-171746-
Philadelphia-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ101-171746-
Western Chester-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ102-171746-
Eastern Chester-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ103-171746-
Western Montgomery-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ104-171746-
Eastern Montgomery-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ105-171746-
Upper Bucks-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ106-171746-
Lower Bucks-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ001-171746-
Sussex-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ007-171746-
Warren-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ008-171746-
Morris-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ009-171746-
Hunterdon-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ010-171746-
Somerset-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ012-171746-
Middlesex-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ013-171746-
Western Monmouth-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ014-171746-
Eastern Monmouth-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ015-171746-
Mercer-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ016-171746-
Salem-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ017-171746-
Gloucester-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ018-171746-
Camden-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ019-171746-
Northwestern Burlington-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ020-171746-
Ocean-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ021-171746-
Cumberland-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ022-171746-
Atlantic-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ023-171746-
Cape May-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ024-171746-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ025-171746-
Coastal Atlantic-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ026-171746-
Coastal Ocean-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ027-171746-
Southeastern Burlington-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ012-171746-
Kent MD-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ015-171746-
Queen Annes-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ019-171746-
Talbot-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ020-171746-
Caroline-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ430-171746-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ431-171746-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ450-171746-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ451-171746-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ452-171746-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ453-171746-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ454-171746-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ455-171746-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 16, 12:12 PM EST, 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
112 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
PAZ054-060-061-161815-
Lehigh PA-Berks PA-Carbon PA-
112 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Berks, northwestern
Lehigh and southwestern Carbon Counties through 215 PM EDT...
At 112 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Pine Grove to near Wernersville. Movement
was northeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Allentown, Reading, Wyomissing, Kutztown, Jim Thorpe, Hamburg,
Fleetwood, Sinking Spring, Laureldale, Nesquehoning, Womelsdorf,
Weatherly, Wernersville, Topton, Robesonia, Leesport,
Shoemakersville, Bernville, Lyons and Strausstown.
This includes the following highways...
Northeast Extension between mile markers 56 and 63.
Interstate 78 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 14 and 55.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4054 7617 4058 7606 4057 7602 4065 7598
4070 7583 4074 7576 4083 7590 4091 7599
4096 7585 4059 7552 4025 7604 4032 7617
4052 7633
TIME...MOT...LOC 1712Z 229DEG 31KT 4058 7634 4031 7612
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
Iovino