The Cedar Creek Fire continued to burn through the month. It grew to approximately 127,283 acres.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PQR wrote it up.
The Cedar Creek Fire continued to burn through the month. It grew to approximately 127,283 acres.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 8:14 PM PST, 3 hours 46 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Portland OR
914 PM PDT Fri Sep 30 2022
.UPDATE...Stratus lingered in isolated places even into the evening.
This resulted in forecasted highs being too warm, and forecasted
humidity too low. The easterly winds are befinning to show up in the
Cascades, but no real defined drop in humidity just yet. While
humidity is higher right now, still expecting it to lower overnight
as subsidence under the upper ridge settles down and the east winds
increase. Winds look slightly stronger tomorrow night over the outer
waters, see the marine discussion below. /Kriederman
&&
.SYNOPSIS...High pressure will bring warm and dry conditions
through much of the next week, with daytime highs running well
above seasonal normals. Gusty east winds are expected over the
higher terrain and through the Columbia River Gorge tonight and
Saturday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...Stratus has lingered
longer than expected across the Willamette Valley today but is
now quickly eroding from north to south, revealing abundant
sunshine that will be a mainstay of the forecast for the
foreseeable future as a ridge of high pressure builds in
aloft. Temperatures will likely end up about five degrees
cooler than originally forecasted today given the lingering
cloud cover. Otherwise, the primary forecast concern in the
short term will be east winds developing over the higher terrain
this evening and lasting into Saturday, leading to localized
fire weather concerns in parts of the Cascades. The upper level
low that brought rain to the region the past few days has
stalled along the ID/WY border and is impeding the eastward
progress of the upper level ridge, keeping the ridge axis
centered offshore for now. This has resulted in the developing
thermal trough setting up closer to the coast, which will induce
gusty east winds tonight into Saturday through the Cascades and
spreading into the foothills. Generally expecting winds in the
30 mph range through the Cascades and the Gorge as well as parts
of the Coast Range, but can't rule out a few gusts to 40 mph in
the high Cascades as the gradient peaks early Saturday morning.
Winds will also be breezy in parts of the valley on Saturday,
but with more of a northerly component and lower in magnitude
than in the higher terrain likely topping out around 20-25 mph.
In terms of temperatures, Saturday should see temperatures reach
the mid 80s in the valley given a warmer and sunnier start to
the day, with similar highs on Sunday as 850 mb temps remain
around 15-16 C. The upper low will finally be dislodged
eastward on Sunday, allowing the ridge to shift directly
overhead and causing the thermal trough to shift east of the
crest. This will bring an end to the easterly winds, with benign
and dry conditions prevailing into the extended term as
temperatures remain 10-15 degrees above seasonal norms into at
least the beginning of next week. /CB
.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...Not much change in the long
term as WPC's cluster analysis for 500 mb heights depicts good
agreement amongst models and their ensembles in regards to the
synoptic-scale pattern, suggesting upper level ridging will
result in above normal 500 mb heights through much of next week.
It is therefore looking more likely that the dry and mild
conditions will last through next week, with forecast high
temperatures remaining in the 80s in the Willamette Valley
through next Friday. /CB/mh
&&
.AVIATION...A surface thermal trough will continue pushing
offshore tonight, resulting in increasing easterly winds. The wind
direction should be more northerly to northeasterly across the
Willamette Valley. The strengthening offshore flow will also bring
a relatively drier airmass into southwest Washington and northwest
Oregon, which will help keep skies clear and maintain VFR flight
conditions. The strongest east winds are expected through the
western Columbia River Gorge and eastern portions of the Portland
metro. Easterly wind gusts will likely peak around 20 to 25 kt at
KTTD and 15 to 20 kt at KPDX beginning around 18Z Saturday.
For detailed Pac NW aviation weather information, go online to:
https://weather.gov/zse
KPDX AND APPROACHES...Clear skies are expected to continue through
Saturday evening, resulting in VFR flight conditions. Expect winds
to veer to the east sometime between 17-19Z Saturday as offshore
flow strengthens. Easterly wind gusts will most likely approach
20 kt Saturday afternoon. -TK
&&
.MARINE...Buoy observations from late Saturday evening showed
northerly winds continuing to gust to around 25 kt along with
steep seas around 5 to 7 feet at 5 to 7 seconds. Therefore, will
maintain the current Small Craft Advisory in effect across the
northern, central, and southern waters.
Winds across all waters are still forecasted to fall below Small
Craft Conditions by early Saturday morning. However, expect
northerly winds to restrengthen late Saturday afternoon with
gusts increasing back to 25 kt over the outer waters to the south
of Cape Falcon. Have decided to issue a second set of Small Craft
Advisories for PZZ272 and PZZ273 from 5 PM PDT Saturday through 3
AM PDT Sunday. Winds should fall back below small craft advisory
criteria for these marine zones after 3 AM Sunday. Wave heights
are also expected to decrease on Sunday, falling to 3 to 4 feet
Sunday afternoon and then hovering within that range through
Wednesday. -TK
For information about recent marine zone changes, go online to:
https://www.weather.gov/pqr/marinezone
&&
.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...None.
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until midnight PDT tonight for coastal
waters from Cape Foulweather OR to Florence OR out 10
nm.coastal waters from Cape Shoalwater WA to Cape Falcon OR
out 60 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Saturday for coastal waters
from Cape Foulweather OR to Florence OR from 10 to 60 nm.
Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM Saturday to 3 AM PDT Sunday for
coastal waters from Cape Foulweather OR to Florence OR from
10 to 60 nm.
&&
www.weather.gov/portland
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www.twitter.com/NWSPortland1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The Cedar Creek Fire continued to burn through the month, growing to approximately 127,283 acres with 60 percent containment by October 27th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oregon in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, October 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1059712.