Reports of brief funnel clouds were received during the afternoon across portions of eastern North Dakota into the central Red River Valley. These funnels dissipated before reaching the ground.
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The episode as NWS FGF wrote it up.
Reports of brief funnel clouds were received during the afternoon across portions of eastern North Dakota into the central Red River Valley. These funnels dissipated before reaching the ground.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 4, 11:48 AM CST, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1248 PM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 1237 PM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022 It's complicated out there. In addition to a weak sfc low still in SE ND and sagging cold front out of CAN, numerous mesoscale boundaries are being noted within the Valley into eastern ND, along with weak ascent north of an effective warm front extending into NW MN northeast of the sfc low. A little more robust convection has just been noted near the cold front/sfc trof near Rolla, as well as very near the sfc low around the Fargo metro. However, with temps still in the 70s, instability is still weak. Best chance to increase instability looks to be within eastern ND into the Valley where clouds are a little more scattered or absent away from the effective warm front. Scattered weak convection will continue early this afternoon until temps and instability can increase later this afternoon. Confidence remains low on any particular favored location for more robust afternoon convection. UPDATE Issued at 950 AM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022 Early morning impulse is pushing its way into central and eastern MN as well as into southern MB, along with it more widespread convection. Regional obs suggest a sfc low resides in southeastern ND with an trof extension NNW into Devils Lake basin. East of these sfc features, clouds should linger through the morning. Along this trof and points east are where widely scattered showers and weak thunderstorms are possible through the rest of the morning. Getting into the afternoon, confidence in the convective evolution isn't high. There will remain the chance of scattered afternoon storms as mid level flow from the WSW noses in steeper lapse rates (but rather marginal for this area on the order of 6-7 C/km) into our area from the west, helping build weak but sufficient instability (MLCAPE 1-2 kJ/kg) over the area aided by lingering low level moisture and daytime heating. Morning WV imagery denotes a notable wave pushing WNW across eastern MT. The bulk of this synoptic lift should bypass the area into southern SK/MB. However, there are some very subtle waves surrounding this main wave that should track over the area. This in combination of any sfc convergence (like the sfc trof in eastern ND) and any other terrain enhanced convergence may be enough to spark initiation this afternoon once convective temps are reached (progged to be near 80F, much like yesterday). Enhanced upper flow along the northern periphery of the upper low in combination with the MT shortwave should aid in shear, although shear is mostly confined to the mid and upper levels of the column of a unidirectional nature. The combination of weak but sufficient instability, lingering moisture, and unidirectional shear will keep the potential for stronger storms to develop with perhaps some supercellular characteristics. This will keep the messaging of some isolated severe storms with main hazards of hail to the size of quarters and perhaps gusty winds to 60 mph this afternoon into early evening. UPDATE Issued at 622 AM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022 The activity on radar has really diminished over the past couple of hours. However, as expected, it has not completely gone away. The best focus with the low level jet will shift into Minnesota during the day hours. However, isolated to scattered storms remain possible just about anywhere through the morning, with some possible redevelopment in the afternoon (mainly on the MN side of the river). && .SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 304 AM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022 Strong to severe thunderstorms would bring the most impact being the Fourth of July, with many people being outdoors. That is the main focus for the short term. Early this morning there were multiple clusters of storms, one over southwest North Dakota, one over northeast South Dakota, another over south central South Dakota, and a fourth over eastern Nebraska. The overall surface pattern is fairly weak with any boundaries being pretty subtle. Most of the current activity is likely driven by a broad low level jet, with the strongest portion feeding into the eastern Nebraska complex. However, the anomalously broad low level jet extends all the way from western ND, along the ND/SD border, over toward Duluth MN. The best 850mb moisture transport extends up toward the ND/SD border west of MN, where precipitable water values are over 1.7 inches. These higher precipitable water values will continue to slowly shift east today into tonight. The best low level jet will focus into eastern SD by 12z this morning, then into MN by 18z. So expect all the activity across the area to continue a slow eastward progression. Will have to keep an eye on the complex along the ND/SD border, but most CAMs have it weakening as it rides eastward. However, it does not go away, so there should be fair amount of showers/storms across the FA this morning. Maybe slightly better precipitation chances across the southern half of the FA. Highs today should be fairly similar to Sunday's, and the humidity will remain in place. As far as any heavy rainfall concerns, the previous shift had issued a flood watch for the far southern FA. Latest NDAWN reports from down in that region only show a few spots with amounts greater than 0.50 inches. The heavier rain has been further south, down near Aberdeen. With uncertainty yet in how the storm complex south of Bismarck evolves, will keep the watch going for now. There is more of a northerly flow coming in for tonight, which is when the fireworks displays are planned. Nothing strong though, mainly in the 5 to 15 mph range. There is no low level jet tonight, and most CAMs are looking dry. However, there are a few solutions showing some activity around the area, so can't completely rule anything out. Moving into Tuesday, most of the FA should remain dry. Steady north winds at 10 to 15 mph should keep the humidity just a tad lower than Sunday/Monday. Highs still look to be seasonal, with most areas in the mid 70s to low 80s. Thunder chances look better to the west and south of this FA, with CAMs showing another potential storm complex forming over the western high plains and dropping through central and eastern SD through the late morning and afternoon. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 304 AM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022 The forecast continues to have uncertainty surrounding the precipitation chances in our future, with chances for showers and thunderstorms practically every day during the long term period. Largely zonal flow on top of a ridge in the south dictates our pattern for the week, with our precipitation chances rising from low amplitude shortwaves making their way along the ridge. Due to the progressive nature of these systems, confidence is low on where exactly the showers and thunderstorms will set up across our area. QPF with these systems appears to be on the lower side in the ensembles, with about a 20 - 30% chance of seeing greater than a quarter of an inch across eastern North Dakota and northwestern Minnesota. The QPF statement goes for the weekend as well, but there's a bit more to the weekend than what we will see throughout the week. A low pressure system over the Pacific Northwest will move into Canada while translating eastward north of the international border. With this low, we could see some impacts including more precipitation and the chance for some stronger storms from a shortwave associated with the initial Low. MUCAPE values of 3000+ J/kg are a possibility on Saturday night, with higher moisture being advected into the area as well. Once we move closer to the system temporally, we will have more knowledge on the specificity of the impacts. Impressively, the ensembles have a good handle on the timing and breakdown of the Low so it is worth watching. Temperature wise, warm air advection under the ridge is helping warm our temperatures. Expect highs to reach the upper 80s to low 90s by the end of the weekend before taking a bit of a dip on Monday. Low temperatures will remain in the upper 50s in the far north to the 60s elsewhere in the FA. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 1237 PM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022 Low confidence forecast due to chance for scattered showers and storms area-wide. While unlikely, can't rule out a stronger storm to move across any particular TAF site before 03 UTC. Additionally, areas of MVFR and IFR CIGs are noted across the region, with KBJI in northwest MN holding best chance for these CIGs throughout the TAF period. This evening, brings additional chances for lowered CIGs in the MVFR to IFR range after a front moves through from the north. This may linger into tomorrow. Otherwise, generally light winds can be expected outside of stronger thunderstorms where gusty, variable winds may be experienced for a brief time. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. UPDATE...CJ SHORT TERM...Godon LONG TERM...AK AVIATION...CJ
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 318 AM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-050830- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods- West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake- East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen- South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier- Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks- Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland- Western Walsh- 318 AM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this morning and again this afternoon. 1 inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts are the main hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1208 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1154 PM TSTM WND GST 1 ENE FORT RANSOM 46.53N 97.91W
06/29/2022 M60.00 MPH Ransom ND MESONET
PERSONAL WEATHER STATION MEASURED 60 MPH WIND GUST NEAR
FORT RANSOM.
1201 AM TSTM WND GST 4 NW FORT RANSOM 46.57N 97.99W
06/30/2022 M62.00 MPH Ransom ND MESONET
PERSONAL WEATHER STATION MEASURE 62 MPH WIND GUST NEAR
FORT RANSOM.
1206 AM TSTM WND GST 3 SW MOORETON 46.24N 96.92W
06/30/2022 M50.40 MPH Richland ND MESONET
PEAK WIND MEASURED AT AN NDAWN STATION AT 10 METERS.
1213 AM TSTM WND DMG ENDERLIN 46.62N 97.60W
06/30/2022 RANSOM ND BROADCAST MEDIA
LARGE TREE DOWN IN ENDERLIN. REPORT RELAYED VIA SOCIAL
MEDIA.
1228 AM TSTM WND GST 5 N LEONARD 46.72N 97.25W
06/30/2022 M59.00 MPH Cass ND MESONET
PEAK WIND MEASURED AT AN NDAWN STATION.
1251 AM TSTM WND GST 2 E WOLVERTON 46.56N 96.69W
06/30/2022 M54.00 MPH Wilkin MN MESONET
PEAK WIND MEASURED AT AN NDAWN STATION AT 10 METERS.
1253 AM TSTM WND GST 2 NNW FARGO 46.90N 96.83W
06/30/2022 M58.00 MPH Cass ND ASOS
PEAK WIND MEASURED AT THE FARGO AIRPORT /KFAR/.
0115 AM TSTM WND GST 1 WNW DETROIT LAKES 46.82N 95.86W
06/30/2022 M51.00 MPH Becker MN AWOS
PEAK WIND MEASURED AT THE DETROIT LAKES AIRPORT /KDTL/.
0201 AM TSTM WND GST 2 SSW PARK RAPIDS 46.89N 95.08W
06/30/2022 M52.00 MPH Hubbard MN ASOS
PEAK WIND MEASURED AT THE PARK RAPIDS AIRPORT /KPKD/.
&&
GREGORY.GUSTPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
132 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1110 PM HAIL 2 NE WALHALLA 48.94N 97.89W
06/23/2022 E1.00 INCH Pembina ND PUBLIC
HAIL AND VERY STRONG WINDS NOTED ACROSS CENTRAL WALHALLA
TOWNSHIP.
&&
GREGORY.GUSTThe Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 73 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:12 UTC.
2 funnel cloud. Local standard time, as filed.
A brief funnel cloud was observed by Grand Forks airport personnel at a point approximately 12-14 miles to their north northwest. The funnel dissipated about the time of their initial report.
A public report of a brief funnel cloud in south central Oakwood Township was relayed by law enforcement. No touchdown was observed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Dakota in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in North Dakota, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1044640, 1044641.