North Carolina, 2022

Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in North Carolina, May 27, 2022

May 27, 2022 · NWS RAH · 39 events in 15 counties and zones

Two rounds of severe weather moved through central NC on the 27th of May tied to a deep upper-level low pressure system over the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys and an approaching cold front from the Tennessee Valley. The first round of storms was focused along a low-level moisture transport axis in the morning, producing strong straight line winds across the northern half of central North…

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$83,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
39

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.

Two rounds of severe weather moved through central NC on the 27th of May tied to a deep upper-level low pressure system over the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys and an approaching cold front from the Tennessee Valley. The first round of storms was focused along a low-level moisture transport axis in the morning, producing strong straight line winds across the northern half of central North Carolina, along with flash flooding concerns over the western Piedmont and urban areas in the northeast Piedmont. The second round of storms formed along a pre-frontal convergence axis in the afternoon and early evening, stretching from Granville to Scotland County. A cluster of storms organized into a storm complex, which produced local flooding over the Sandhills into southern Wake County and a strong mesocyclone over the Raleigh metro area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 27, 1:25 AM EST, 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 1:25 AM EST, 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
225 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front and increasingly humid air will retreat north across
the southern Mid Atlantic this morning. A pre-frontal trough will
then become quasi-stationary over the Piedmont today, followed by
the passage of a cold front across the region tonight. High
pressure, and associated much drier and warm conditions, will build
across the region this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 900 PM Thursday...

00Z surface analysis continued to show the wedge front over the n-nw
Piedmont, shifting a little north since this afternoon but still
invof Forsyth Co.  Satellite imagery shows the deep moisture plume
ahead of the upper low centered over western NC with some embedded
disturbances, the most notable an MCV over s-c GA.  Earlier
discreet, shallow supercells in the Foothills have more or less
coalesced into a broken line of storms with periodic rotation. The
line is inching eastward as the storms move n-ne and will flirt with
western Forsyth over the next couple of hours.  The line extends
back to CLT, and while not as vigorous there, there has been renewed
development aided by sely flow and an axis of 500-1000 MLCAPE
extending from CHS to CLT.  Sfc winds are still backed to sely and
the low-level flow will be supportive of some rotation in storms,
though the overall intensity of the storms should wane some with
loss of heating.  Will also have to monitor the eastward progression
of the line, as it would favor training of storms over the Winston-
Salem area if it does push east. Severe Thunderstorm Watch 275
expires at 10pm and we do not expect any need for extension
overnight.

There should be a lull in convection between 11pm and 4-5am,
afterwhich high res guidance suggests another round of storms
moving into the southern Piedmont, likely supported by the upstream
MCV and weak destablization that generally continues over the
western Piedmont.  Point soundings in the western Piedmont erode a
weak cap by 5am and maintain enough hodograph curvature to warrant
at least a low end threat of an isolated severe storm or tornado.,
particularly as the LLJ is forecast to intensify to ~40kt overhead.
However, confidence is low given the unfavorable diurnal timing.

Outside of the convective threat, no changes were really made to
the forecast other than adjustments to observations in cloud cover,
with less cloud cover in the east.  lows will remain mild in the
upper 60s to mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 210 AM Friday...

The upper trough will progress through the region Sat, with the sub-
tropical ridge shifting eastward into the region Sat night. At the
surface, the cold front/surface trough will sit over the Coastal
Plain Sat, then continue eastward to along the NC coast Sat night,
with relatively cool high pressure settling over the Appalachians
and into the mid-Atlantic through Sat night. Some showers and storms
are possible along the lingering front/trough Sat, but should
largely be east of central NC. Otherwise, dry weather is expected
across the area through Sat night. Highs in the low to mid 80s, with
lows in the upper 50s NW to mid 60s SE expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 225 AM Friday...

The sub-tropical ridge will remain over the Southeast and mid-
Atlantic through mid-week, with the center of the high generally
over the OH Valley/northern mid-Atlantic. An area of low pressure
off the Southeast US coast Mon/Tue, should move westward and inland
over the Southeast by mid week. While rain cannot be completely
ruled out, the high just to the north should keep it suppressed to
the south. High pressure will dominate at the surface Mon, with a
Piedmont trough possible Tue and Wed. A northern stream wave will
move through the northern Plains and upper MS Valley through Wed and
into the Great Lakes/OH Valley Wed night/Thu, pushing the ridge
south and east. The best chance for rain in the extended forecast
will be with this wave and associated cold front and pre-frontal
trough, as they move into the mid-Atlantic/Northeast US Thu/Thu
night. Temperatures will remain above average, gradually moderating
with time, through at least mid-week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 220 AM Friday...

Occasionally gusty sly low level flow will transport increasingly
moist and humid air across cntl NC this morning. This regime will
favor both widespread IFR to MVFR ceilings this morning and also the
development and maintenance of multiple bands of showers and storms
ahead of a cold front and following drier and more stable air
that will not move east across the region until tonight.

Outlook: Warm and dry high pressure, and associated VFR conditions,
will extend across the region this weekend through early next week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MWS
NEAR TERM...Smith
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...KC
AVIATION...MWS
Hazardous weather outlook, May 26, 9:45 PM EST, 4 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1045 PM EDT Thu May 26 2022

NCZ007>011-024>028-041>043-076>078-088-089-280245-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-
Edgecombe-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Cumberland-Sampson-
1045 PM EDT Thu May 26 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Scattered to locally numerous thunderstorms on Friday will be capable
of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and an isolated tornado.
Heavy rain and flash flooding may also result.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ021>023-038>040-073>075-083>086-280245-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Stanly-
Montgomery-Moore-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-
1045 PM EDT Thu May 26 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to redevelop
late tonight. Strong winds and localized heavy rainfall will be
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Scattered to locally numerous thunderstorms on Friday will be capable
of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and an isolated tornado.
Heavy rain and flash flooding may also result.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 26, 8:15 PM EST, 5 hours 59 minutes before
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The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 99 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:13 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

38 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Forsyth

When
May 27, 2:14 AM EST
Where
Forsyth County, 0.95 mi SW of Pfafftown
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.142, -80.384

Trees were reported down near the intersection of Lake Forest Dr and Shelwin Ct.

Thunderstorm Wind, Forsyth

When
May 27, 2:17 AM EST
Where
Forsyth County, 0.7 mi SE of Dosier
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.172, -80.373

Trees were reported down near the intersection of Warner Rd and Archdale Rd near Pfafftown.

Thunderstorm Wind, Forsyth

When
May 27, 5:09 AM EST
Where
Forsyth County, 1.18 mi NNW of Lewisville
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.117, -80.426

Power lines were reported down near the intersection of Hilary Ct and Conrad Sawmill Rd in Lewisville.

Thunderstorm Wind, Forsyth

When
May 27, 5:24 AM EST
Where
Forsyth County, 1.89 mi SE of Easton View
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.034, -80.192

A tree was reported down near the 4100 block of Fox Meadow Ln near Sedge Garden.

Thunderstorm Wind, Forsyth

When
May 27, 5:36 AM EST
Where
Forsyth County, 2.38 mi S of Grims Xrds
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.186, -80.086

A tree fell on a mobile home near the intersection of Pondarosa Dr and Tipton Dr.

Thunderstorm Wind, Stanly

When
May 27, 5:44 AM EST
Where
Stanly County, 1.47 mi N of Cottonville
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.221, -80.200

Many trees were reported down around the intersection of Rocky River Springs Rd and Southern Rd in Norwood.

Thunderstorm Wind, Davidson

When
May 27, 5:45 AM EST
Where
Davidson County, 3.71 mi S of Silver Hill
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.647, -80.191

A tree fell down on the roadway near the intersection of Old Silver Hill Rd and Route 8 near High Rock.

Thunderstorm Wind, Forsyth

When
May 27, 5:45 AM EST
Where
Forsyth County, 1.47 mi ESE of Kernersville
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
36.114, -80.055

A tree was reported down on Graves street near Spring St in Kernersville.

Thunderstorm Wind, Davidson

When
May 27, 5:47 AM EST
Where
Davidson County, 0.33 mi NE of Denton
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.633, -80.116

A tree was reported down in Denton, near the intersection of Jones St and W Salisbury St.

Thunderstorm Wind, Davidson

When
May 27, 6:10 AM EST
Where
Davidson County, 1.11 mi WSW of Thomasville
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.875, -80.099

A tree was down on the roadway in Thomasville near the intersection of Wall St and Farmview Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Alamance

When
May 27, 7:07 AM EST
Where
Alamance County, 0.84 mi SW of Haw River
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.091, -79.380

A tree was reported down near the intersection of W Main St and Stone Quarry Rd in Haw River.

Thunderstorm Wind, Alamance

When
May 27, 7:09 AM EST
Where
Alamance County, 1.78 mi NW of Snow Camp
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.901, -79.448

A tree was reported down near the intersection of Bass Mountain Rd and Beale Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Richmond

When
May 27, 7:10 AM EST
Where
Richmond County, 1.7 mi W of Covington
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
35.146, -79.900

A tree was reported down near Little River at the intersection of Route 73 and Teddar Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Chatham

When
May 27, 7:24 AM EST
Where
Chatham County, 0.94 mi N of Siler City Arpt
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.714, -79.498

A tree was down along the road near the intersection of Airport Rd and Brower Rd in Siler City.

Thunderstorm Wind, Moore

When
May 27, 7:25 AM EST
Where
Moore County, 3.24 mi SE of Robbins
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.401, -79.555

A tree fell on power lines near the intersection of Mt. Carmel Rd and North Carolina Highway 24.

Thunderstorm Wind, Orange

When
May 27, 7:34 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 1.71 mi NNW of Etland
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.104, -79.178

A tree was reported down in the town of Efland at the intersection of Cedar Grove Rd and Lebanon Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Chatham

When
May 27, 7:42 AM EST
Where
Chatham County, 0.45 mi S of Bear Creek
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.614, -79.381

A tree fell on power lines near the intersection of Old US 421 S and Arrow Point Ln near Goldston.

Thunderstorm Wind, Person

When
May 27, 7:48 AM EST
Where
Person County, 1.38 mi N of Paynes Tavern
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.370, -79.020

A large tree was reported down, slightly blocking the intersection of Burlington Rd and Wesleyan Rd near Roxboro.

Thunderstorm Wind, Chatham

When
May 27, 7:50 AM EST
Where
Chatham County, 5.95 mi SE of Silk Hope
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.721, -79.293

A tree was reported down 7 miles west of Pittsboro at the intersection of Hadley Mill Rd and Jay Shambley Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Person

When
May 27, 7:52 AM EST
Where
Person County, 1.19 mi NNW of Paynes Tavern
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.367, -79.024

Four trees were reported down near the intersection of Batha Dr and Burlington Rd southwest of Roxboro.

Thunderstorm Wind, Person

When
May 27, 8:02 AM EST
Where
Person County, 2.58 mi NE of Mt Tirzah
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.311, -78.874

A tree was reported down on the roadway, blocking both lanes, at the intersection of Jim Latta Rd and Welch Whitfield Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Moore

When
May 27, 8:02 AM EST
Where
Moore County, 0.49 mi NW of Hill Crest
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.326, -79.425

A tree fell on power lines near the intersection of Hardy Rd and Connell Rd near Carthage.

Thunderstorm Wind, Durham

When
May 27, 8:03 AM EST
Where
Durham County, 1.67 mi ENE of Rougemont
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.231, -78.904

Four trees were reported down near the Person/Durham County line, at the intersection of Moores Mill Rd and Bowen Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Moore

When
May 27, 8:05 AM EST
Where
Moore County, 2.67 mi N of Southern Pines Arpt
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.268, -79.374

A tree fell on power lines in Whispering Pines near the intersection of Lakeview Dr and Lakewood Ct.

Thunderstorm Wind, Orange

When
May 27, 8:06 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 1.5 mi SSE of Chapel Hill
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.901, -79.058

A tree was reported down in Chapel Hill at the intersection of South Columbia St and Old Pittsboro Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Orange

When
May 27, 8:10 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 2.57 mi E of Chapel Hill Wllms Ar
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.930, -79.024

A large tree was reported down near the intersection of Fordham Blvd and Willow Dr in Chapel Hill.

Thunderstorm Wind, Orange

When
May 27, 8:10 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 2.52 mi ESE of Chapel Hill to 2.57 mi E of Chapel Hill Wllms Ar
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.909, -79.027

Traffic lights were out along Fordham Blvd between Willow Dr and Raleigh Rd in Chapel Hill, caused by downed trees.

Thunderstorm Wind, Chatham

When
May 27, 8:15 AM EST
Where
Chatham County, 3.22 mi NW of Farrington
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
35.834, -79.059

A tree was reported down near Fearrington at the intersection of Lystra Rd and Governors Dr.

Thunderstorm Wind, Durham

When
May 27, 8:21 AM EST
Where
Durham County, 1.47 mi N of Gorman to 0.32 mi SE of Gorman
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.071, -78.821

An extremely large tree crashed onto a house on Red Mill Rd. Additional trees were reported down along Red Mill Rd near I-85.

Thunderstorm Wind, Granville

When
May 27, 8:37 AM EST
Where
Granville County, 0.1 mi W of Hester to 2.25 mi N of Mt Energy
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
36.170, -78.672

Power outages were caused by downed trees north of Creedmoor near Hester Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Vance

When
May 27, 8:52 AM EST
Where
Vance County, 1.66 mi SE of Dabney
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
36.334, -78.458

Power outages caused by downed trees near the town of Dabney at the intersection of W Hills Dr and Deerwood Tr.

Thunderstorm Wind, Vance

When
May 27, 9:03 AM EST
Where
Vance County, 2.83 mi WNW of Middleburg
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.412, -78.369

A tree fell on the roadway near Middleburg at the intersection of Anderson Creek Rd and Satterwhite Point Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Vance

When
May 27, 9:03 AM EST
Where
Vance County, 3.27 mi ESE of Townsville to 2.55 mi NE of Williamsboro
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
36.475, -78.380

Power outages were due to downed trees along Thomas Rd near Bullocksville.

Thunderstorm Wind, Wake

When
May 27, 9:20 AM EST
Where
Wake County, 1.73 mi W of Leesville
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.902, -78.761

A large tree fell down on a vehicle near the Raleigh-Durham International Airport.

Thunderstorm Wind, Franklin

When
May 27, 9:44 AM EST
Where
Franklin County, 0.82 mi ESE of Bunn
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.965, -78.257

Two trees fell down near the intersection of Main St and Hollingsworth St near Bunn. One tree was on a resident's fence.

Thunderstorm Wind, Halifax

When
May 27, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Halifax County, 0.43 mi N of Weldon
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.426, -77.599

A tree was reported down near the intersection of W 4th St and Elm St in Weldon.

Thunderstorm Wind, Wake

When
May 27, 4:34 PM EST
Where
Wake County, 1.81 mi N of Garner
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
35.746, -78.620

A tree fell on a home near the intersection of Aaron Dr and Dandridge Dr near Garner.

Thunderstorm Wind, Wake

When
May 27, 4:38 PM EST
Where
Wake County, 3.48 mi N of Auburn
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
35.730, -78.556

Power outages were caused by fallen trees damaging equipment near the intersection of Barwell Rd and Rock Quarry Rd.

Flash Flood, Wake

When
May 27, 4:42 PM EST to 6:00 PM EST
Where
Wake County, 1.49 mi NNE of Burt to 1.52 mi SSE of Hollemans Xrds
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.620, -78.890

Law enforcement reported road and lane closures due to flash flooding near the intersection of Avent Ferry Rd and Center Hill Dr. Flooding was also reported nearby along Bartley Holleman Rd.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, May 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1029190, 1029191, 1029194, 1029192, 1029198, 1029195, 1029199, 1029240, 1029239, 1029200, 1029209, 1029211, 1029241, 1029207, 1029233, 1029225, 1029208, 1029213, 1029204, 1029229, 1029228, 1029236, 1029234, 1029237, 1029214, 1029217, 1029221, 1029203, 1029238, 1029243, 1029247, 1029242, 1029248, 1029249, 1029252, 1029245, 1029250, 1029251, 1029189.