Strong diurnal heating along with dewpoints in the upper 60s to mid 70s contributed to a highly unstable airmass. Multiple clusters of thunderstorms formed in the afternoon, resulting in damaging winds across northwest North Carolina.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
Strong diurnal heating along with dewpoints in the upper 60s to mid 70s contributed to a highly unstable airmass. Multiple clusters of thunderstorms formed in the afternoon, resulting in damaging winds across northwest North Carolina.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 1:35 PM EST, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 235 PM EDT Wed Jul 6 2022 .SYNOPSIS... The potential for robust thunderstorms will continue through at least Friday or Saturday. On Saturday into Sunday, a cold front will head south through the region, allowing for a trend of decreasing chances of showers and storms on Sunday, as compared to Saturday. By Monday, high pressure is expected to provide drier and slightly cooler weather. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 215 PM EDT Wednesday... Daily chances of showers and storms continue. This evening any diurnally based showers and storms that formed over the region this afternoon will start to decrease in coverage. However, convection currently upstream in West Virginia has the potential to head southeast and be on our western doorstep during the late evening hours. Guidance varies as to how far east into the forecast are this precipitation will head. Our forecast will lean more of the side of this precipitation moving across the area, with better coverage west compared to east. For much of the remainder of the overnight hours, guidance is suggesting a lull in most of the activity during the early morning hours of Thursday, but with the potential for increasing coverage across mainly the west just prior to sunrise. Coverage will be on the increase during the day Thursday with a generous coverage of showers and storms by the mid-afternoon. Also, as compared to recent days, the threat for a few of the storms to produce strong to damaging winds will continue with hail a secondary threat. Locally heavy is still possible. An area where multiple storms cross the same location in a short period of time will be a candidate for flooding issues. Temperatures will continue to be slightly above average with humid conditions. Heat index values in the east are not expected to be quite as high as recent days, perhaps 95 to 100 in some locations rather than the 100 to 105 range. Forecast confidence is moderate. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... As of 115 PM EDT Wednesday... A cold front will move across the area Thursday night and should push south into North Carolina by sunrise Friday. However, a few models stall the front around the VA/NC border. The location of this boundary will determine if all or just part of the County Warning Area sees strong to severe storms Friday afternoon and evening. Following the passing of this disturbance, a new cold front will slowly move south into North Carolina. But a second disturbance tracking along this boundary could bring another round of strong convection Saturday afternoon and evening. Saturday night, high pressure move over the northeastern state and helps push the cold front south into South Carolina. There is a Slight Risk of severe weather Thursday evening across RNK's VA and NC counties. For Friday into Friday night, the entire area is under a Marginal Risk. Currently, there is no risk outlooked for Saturday. Risk levels for this period of the forecast will likely be upgraded, especially for Friday and possibly Saturday. With an afternoon arrive of showers and thunderstorms Friday, temperatures have the potential to warm a few degrees above normal. Clouds and showers will limit daytime heating Saturday with highs about 5F cooler than normal. Irregardless of the temperatures, dew points will run from the upper 60s to mid 70s through the period. This will make for muggy night and bad hair days. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 130 PM EDT Wednesday... High pressure will keep the area dry through at least Wednesday morning. A cold front will move across the region Wednesday afternoon/evening. Wednesday could possibly be the only day we see rain next week. Temperatures will run about 10F cooler on Sunday, then moderate back to normal Tuesday and Wednesday. && .AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 130 PM EDT Wednesday... Across the mountains we were seeing a mix of MVFR and low end VFR ceilings that to low dew point depressions yielding low LCL value during the heating of the day. As the afternoon progresses, we are looking for ceilings to increase into at least low end VFR. The exception will be areas under and near the stronger showers and thunderstorms. Coverage of showers and storms is expected to continue increasing this afternoon as earlier cloud covered regions experience daytime heating. Also, we will have to watch convection upstream across WV heading towards western sections of the region late this afternoon or early evening. Overnight, with low level moisture getting trapped under the inversion mountain low clouds and or fog look possible again tonight, with fog also in the river valleys of the Piedmont region. Look for conditions to improve to VFR by late tomorrow morning with the start of additional showers and storms by mid-day. Confidence in the above aviation scenario is moderate. Extended Aviation Discussion... Our pattern of daily chances of showers and storms will continue through at least Saturday, with decreasing chances and coverage on Sunday. By Monday, high pressure will finally begin to win with limited if any convection. For the most part, daytime conditions will yield VFR conditions outside the heavier showers and storms. During the overnights, areas of temporary sub-VFR ceilings and patchy fog area possible, with improving conditions during the morning. && .EQUIPMENT... As of 900 AM EDT Wednesday... The Roanoke NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards WXL60 transmitter is operating in low power mode during antenna maintenance. Repairs are expected to be completed late Thursday afternoon, July 7. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...None. WV...None. && SYNOPSIS...DS NEAR TERM...DS SHORT TERM...RCS LONG TERM...RCS AVIATION...DS EQUIPMENT...DS
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 238 PM EDT Wed Jul 6 2022 NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ042>044-507-508- 071845- Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski- Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke- Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Mercer-Summers- Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier- 238 PM EDT Wed Jul 6 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia, southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Thunderstorms this afternoon and evening could become severe. Damaging winds and localized flooding will be the main threats. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Thunderstorms Thursday and Friday could become severe, with damaging winds and localized flooding the main threats. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. Reports should be submitted by phone by calling 1-866-215-4324, social media, by email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or online at www.weather.gov/rnk. NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-071845- Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- 238 PM EDT Wed Jul 6 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina, northwest North Carolina, central Virginia and south central Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. A few storms this afternoon and evening could be severe. Damaging winds and localized flooding are the main threats. In addition, heat index values will approach 105 degrees in a few spot this afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Thunderstorms could be strong to severe Thursday and Friday, with damaging winds the main threat, along with localized flooding. In addition, heat indices may reach 100 degrees in the afternoon Thursday and Friday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. Reports should be submitted by phone by calling 1-866-215-4324, social media, by email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or online at www.weather.gov/rnk.
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</html>The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 104 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:55 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm trees blew down several trees.
Thunderstorm winds blew down two trees, one on Yellow Bank Road and another on Traphill Road.
Thunderstorm winds blew down a tree on Green Acres Road.
Thunderstorm winds blew down one tree on North Marley Ford Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1047601, 1047604, 1047607, 1047606.