New Mexico, 2022High Wind in New Mexico, May 3, 2022
May 3, 2022 · NWS ABQ · 1 event in 1 county or zone
As another storm system began to track across the central Rockies on May 3, 2022, westerly flow across New Mexico strengthened in response. With ample atmospheric mixing, strong wind generally between 45 and 55 mph were measured across much of northern and central New Mexico.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
As another storm system began to track across the central Rockies on May 3, 2022, westerly flow across New Mexico strengthened in response. With ample atmospheric mixing, strong wind generally between 45 and 55 mph were measured across much of northern and central New Mexico. The exception was near Carrizozo where a weather station in the south central mountains did measure a brief wind gust of 58 mph.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 3, 5:05 PM MST, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 3, 5:05 PM MST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
605 PM MDT Tue May 3 2022
.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
Strong instability with mid and upper level moisture over the area
has allowed virga and dry microburst winds to develop within the RGV
late this afternoon. This activity will move northeast across the
central mt chain with sudden, erratic gusts up to 50 kt possible
thru 02Z. South to southwest winds will remain strong thru 04Z over
central and eastern NM ahead of a Pacific cold front approaching from
the west. A sharp wind shift is expected to progress across western
NM to the RGV before weakening overnight. Areas of BLDU and smoke
may lead to lcl vsby reductions below 3SM at times. Meanwhile, low
level moisture and instability near the TX border south of KCVS may
result in a few SHRA/TS aft 06Z with hail the main impact from any
direct hits. Storms will exit northeastward into TX before sunrise.
Winds will be west to northwest Wednesday with overall lighter peak
gusts than today. A few SHRA/TS are possible near the CO border aft
20Z with more sudden, erratic wind gusts. Guyer
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...347 PM MDT Tue May 3 2022...
.SYNOPSIS...
Unfortunately, the chance for precipitation appears meager for the
remainder of the week, with strong winds and low relative humidity
dominating the weather pattern. There are two main exceptions, as
there will be a low chance for storms to develop overnight across
parts of Curry, Roosevelt and eastern Chaves Counties. It's unclear
if storms will form, but it they do, there will be a risk for large
hail. The other opportunity will be in the northern mountains and
northeast plains for Wednesday into Thursday morning. This will be
related to a backdoor front and upper level disturbance that shift
across the area. There is considerable concern for a lengthy period
of windy and dry conditions this weekend into early next week. Dry
air in combination with very strong winds and dry fuels will create
widespread dangerous fire weather conditions.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...
An upper level low pressure system passing eastward over CO may
trigger isolated and gusty sprinkles over the Chuska, Tusas, and
Sangre de Cristo Mountains this evening. CAPE looks too low to
support storms, but CAMs seem to be picking up on gusty virga
showers. Some of these gusty showers could develop as far south as
the south central mountains as well, where elevated moisture is
presently on the increase per visible satellite imagery. Otherwise,
CAMs are also picking up on a somewhat moist return flow of low level
moisture making it briefly into the southeast plains late tonight
with isolated thunderstorms mainly over eastern Chaves and Roosevelt
Counties. Shear and instability look sufficient enough to support a
few severe thunderstorms.
Meanwhile, a gusty Pacific cold front will dive southeastward
through western and central areas this evening with a northwesterly
wind shift west of the central mountain chain. Winds will weaken
significantly after the cold front passes.
Wednesday afternoon and night, the upper level low pressure system
will take a slight jog southeastward across NE NM as it exits CO
onto the Great Plains bringing a chance of gusty showers and
thunderstorms mainly to the mountains near the CO border and the
northeast plains.
Otherwise, areas of smoke will travel northeastward from N mountains
wildfires this evening, then more to the east-northeast tonight as
fire activity weakens. Strong northwest, west and southwest winds
are again expected Wedesday, when gusts should generally reach
around 40 mph east of the central mountain chain, except up to 50
mph from around Las Vegas to Clines Corners and Conchas Lake. These
winds should stretch pretty significant smoke plumes to the east and
northeast of the fires. Humidities will remain very low Wednesday
with continued fire weather concerns along and east of the central
mountain chain and over southern areas. 44
LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
The aforementioned storm system will depart the northeast quadrant
of the state on Thursday, with possibly one last embedded shortwave
clipping the northeast zones during the morning hours. Latest model
guidance suggest activity may actually end Wed night, but timing of
this feature will play a factor. Stronger upr level winds should be
east of the forecast area on Thursday, although 30kts at 700hPa is
still progged along the central mountain chain, centered over KCQC.
So while Thursday will be the quieter day with respect to winds, it
appears breezy conditions are expected for the traditional favored
locales within the central highlands.
Low amplitude ridge rolls eastward across New Mexico Thursday night
through Friday. The ridge axis should be far enough east by the late
afternoon hours to allow for flow aloft to slowly strengthen again.
Weak leeside cyclogenesis develops with a 1000mb low centered within
Union County. That said, most locations will remain below the breezy
category with the exception of the northern high terrain and central
highlands.
For Saturday, a longwave trough will carve out a large section of
western Canada and the northwestern U.S., placing New Mexico on its
southern fridge. Gradient aloft tightens with 700hPa speeds ranging
from one to two standard deviations above average. Meanwhile, expect
an even stronger leeside low developing over southeast CO. This will
likely support Wind Advisory level speeds across western NM as well
as along and immediately east of the central mountains.
Closed upper low previously in southern AK will dive southward into
the northwestern U.S. on Sun. Southwest winds further strengthen with
widespread 40-55kts at 700hPa and this will support greater coverage
needing a Wind Advisory with a few areas at risk for High Wind Watch/
Warning speeds. Monday may actually be the worst day for strong winds
as a 100-knot 500hPa jet orients itself over the northwest half of NM
with 700hPa wind speeds two to three standard deviations above normal.
Confidence in a high impact event continues to grow with nearly every
cluster analysis solution depicting anomalously low heights over the
western U.S. The big question will be where the closed low is located.
Will the low be closer to the PacNW or in the Great Basin and this is
going to determine the placement/orientation of the upper level jet.
Unfortunately, the aforementioned longwave trough remains parked in
the same position through the 240-hour forecast. This is a bit mind-
numbing as strong upper level winds remain centered across the CWFA
for an extended period of time. This will not bode well with respect
to the extremely sensitive fire weather/drought concerns. DPorter
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE AREAWIDE UNTIL MID
EVENING, THEN RETURN TO EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY....
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOMING WIDESPREAD
AGAIN SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
A gusty Pacific cold front will shift wind directions out of the
west and northwest this evening along and west of the central
mountain chain. Wind speeds should remain fairly strong until the
front passes. Some gusty virga showers are also forecast this
evening for the Sangre de Cristo, Tusas, and Chuska Mountains. Winds
varying from southwest to northwest are forecast to become strong
again on Wednesday with more fire weather concerns across southern
areas, the central mountain chain, and eastern areas. There will
also be a chance of gusty and light rain showers and thunderstorms
Wednesday afternoon and night in the mountains near the CO border
and across northeast areas as an upper level low pressure system
crossing CO jogs southeastward across northeast NM in route to the
Great Plains.
A weakening ridge of high pressure will cross Thursday with weaker
winds and a down day fire-weather wise, but there will be localized
critical fire weather conditions from Las Vegas to Clines Corners,
Vaughn and the Sandia Mountains. Winds will then strengthen daily
with increasing fire weather concerns Friday through Monday as a
longwave trough digs over the western US. The polar jet stream will
cross NM Sunday night through Monday, and potentially through the
middle of next week, as this broad trough continues to deepen over
the Great Basin. Widespread and extremely critical fire weather
conditions look increasingly likely Sunday and Monday as gusts
potentially range from 45 to 70 mph in many areas. 44
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for the following
zones... NMZ101>109.
Wind Advisory until 9 PM MDT this evening for the following zones...
NMZ201>207-210-211-216-219-222-223-227>230.
Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 9 PM MDT Wednesday for the following
zones... NMZ103-104-106>109.
&&
High Wind, South Central Mountains
- When
- May 3, 6:25 PM MST to 6:30 PM MST
- Where
- South Central Mountains forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A weather station near Carrizozo measured a brief wind gust of 58 mph.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, May 3, 20222 injured · $454,000 · 52 kt wind · 28 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 3, 2022$467,000 · 2.5 in hail · 21 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Ohio, May 3, 2022$213,000 · EF1 · 9 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 3, 2022$120,000 · 2 in hail · 13 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Florida, May 3 to 6, 2022$110,000 · EF0 · 13 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Georgia, May 3 to 6, 2022$38,000 · 1 in hail · 14 events
- Damaging Winds in West Virginia, May 3, 2022$48,000 · 56 kt wind · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 3, 2022$20,000 · 1.75 in hail · 11 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, May 3, 2022$16,000 · 1 in hail · 15 events
- High Surf in Hawaii, May 3 to 5, 202221 events
- Damaging Winds in West Virginia, May 3, 2022$19,000 · 50 kt wind · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in South Carolina, May 3, 20221 in hail · 18 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1012331.