New Mexico, 2022

Damaging Winds in New Mexico, June 12, 2022

June 12, 2022 · NWS ABQ · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

With an area of high pressure still present over New Mexico on June 12, 2022, conditions at the surface still remained too dry for beneficial precipitation. Nontheless, mid-level moisture allowed for the development of high-based, dry thunderstorm activity across portions of central and eastern New Mexico during the afternoon and evening hours.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

With an area of high pressure still present over New Mexico on June 12, 2022, conditions at the surface still remained too dry for beneficial precipitation. Nontheless, mid-level moisture allowed for the development of high-based, dry thunderstorm activity across portions of central and eastern New Mexico during the afternoon and evening hours. This dry activity was prone to producing more gusty and erratic downburst winds, and several stations across Quay and De Baca counties measured wind gusts in excess of 60 mph.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 12, 5:00 PM MST, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 12, 5:00 PM MST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
600 PM MDT Sun Jun 12 2022

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
Stream of moisture extending from sw to ne NM on the wrn edge of an
upper level high pressure area located over sw/central TX. Mostly
isolated showers and tstms will continue through early evening, but
should be gone by 02Z. Little or no rain but sudden and erratic winds
from virga/dry storms will be the main concern. Brief BLDU possible
with vsby of 6SM. Mt top swly winds to strengthen over nrn and wrn
NM through the night. Stronger winds at the surface are forecast for
Monday with dry and hot conditions and potential density altitude
problems.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...256 PM MDT Sun Jun 12 2022...
.SYNOPSIS...
Very hot and dry conditions will continue into early this week with
dry thunderstorms favoring the high terrain areas. Winds will trend
stronger on Monday as a storm system passes to our north, and this
will lead to widespread critical fire weather conditions. Breezy to
windy conditions persist on Tuesday before relaxing on Wednesday.
Another change in the weather pattern then looks promising for the
end of the week as a monsoonal moisture plume works its way into
Arizona and western New Mexico. This will lead to increasing
thunderstorm chances for the western half of the state Thursday and
into the weekend. Of course, this also elevates the risk for burn
scar flash flooding.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
This afternoon isn't as active compared to this time yesterday
despite the stream of moisture stretched across the state from
southwest to the north central and northeast. Drier air was also
observed on satellite imagery invading areas west of the Continental
Divide. Suspect the activity that does exist will continue to be dry
with gusty erratic winds which could produce some brief localized
blowing dust then diminish as the evening progresses.

Monday will be hot again over eastern NM with potential for another
day of near record highs. That said, highs won't be quite as hot
area wide, but still will be hot enough to issue another Heat
Advisory for portions of the east central and southeast for Monday
afternoon/early evening. Southwest winds will strengthen areawide on
Monday and some areas over northwest, west central, north central
and northeast NM may see winds strong enough for wind advisories but
will defer to later shifts. There's also potential for another round
of mostly dry convection Monday afternoon stretched from the
Continental Divide to the Pecos Valley, then moving into the south
central and southeast Monday evening.

Overnight lows will continue to be about 5-15 degrees warmer than
normal.

LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
By Tuesday, the low that had been tracking across the central Rockies
begins to lift northeastward onto the Plains, and the strongest winds
within the jet rounding its base will become focused to our
northeast. With a ~990mb surface low across SE CO, 700mb winds of
25-30 knots, and deep mixing in place, the breezy to windy conditions
will continue for one more day on Tuesday with the strongest wind
speeds focused across the northeast in closer proximity to the
surface low and the jet core. Very dry conditions will also stay in
place, and this will lead to another round of critical fire weather
conditions across the east. Winds aloft relax on Wednesday, but
while winds lessen, very dry conditions continue.

During this time, the H5 high centers itself over the SE US, but once
the westerlies relax, it will begin to gradually make its way back
towards the west. Sub-tropical moisture begins to make its way
northward into Old Mexico Wednesday, and by Thursday, the H5 high
over OK steers the moisture plume over AZ. This looks like the start
of the monsoon season for AZ and perhaps western NM Thursday, Friday,
and next weekend. The other feature to watch late this week will be
another PacNW storm system that approaches the west coast. Models
have been at odds with how strong this storm system will be and how
far southward it will dig. This time yesterday, the GFS was the
outlier amongst the deterministic guidance in showing an
unseasonably strong low that managed to steer the moisture plume
eastward into much of NM. While the deterministic ECMWF and CMC were
not enthused with this, the trend today is perhaps interesting. While
neither of the newest runs are nearly as strong or wet as the GFS
is, they are depicting increasing PWATs for central and eastern NM
this weekend with a storm system that is trending stronger. While it
is still easy to discount the GFS given its still an outlier and it
usually has this wet bias, many ensemble guidance members are even
depicting a stronger closed low that could manage to steer the
moisture plume eastward over NM. While confidence is still highest
that western NM will see increasing thunderstorm chances starting
late this week, how far eastward the moisture plume can get will
still be something to watch closely.

15

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT MONDAY FOR ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NM...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NM TUESDAY...

Hot, dry and unstable conditions will persist into mid week with
isolated dry convection with gusty erratic winds possible mainly
from the Continental Divide eastward into Monday, then focused over
mainly east central NM Monday evening and Tuesday. Cell motion this
afternoon through Monday will be to the northeast and east.
Southwest winds will be strongest areawide Monday, then remain
strong over the east Tuesday as very dry conditions persist. Winds
will diminish thereafter as high pressure aloft builds back over NM
by Thursday, allowing moisture to move into the region and bringing
greater potential for wetting storms. Temperatures will cool a
little but remain above normal through the week.

Forecast models indicate the best plume of moisture will be focused
over AZ and western NM late this week but could shift back directly
over NM early next week, increasing potential for burn scar flooding.

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon to 8 PM MDT Monday for the following
zones... NMZ101>109.

Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for the following zones...
 NMZ220-230>240.

Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for the following
zones... NMZ103-104-108.

Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening
for the following zones... NMZ103-104-108.

Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM MDT Monday for the following
zones... NMZ234-237-238.

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, De Baca

When
June 12, 7:05 PM MST to 7:10 PM MST
Where
De Baca County, Ft Sumner
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.470, -104.240

A member of the public in Fort Sumner measured a 64 mph wind gust associated with a dry microburst. One inch diameter tree branches were downed with no other damage reported. Damages are estimated for the tree.

Thunderstorm Wind, De Baca

When
June 12, 7:10 PM MST to 7:15 PM MST
Where
De Baca County, 3 mi NE of Ft Sumner
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
34.501, -104.203

The Columbia Scientific Balloon Facility measured a 66 mph wind gust associated with a dry microburst. No damage was reported.

Thunderstorm Wind, Quay

When
June 12, 7:51 PM MST to 7:55 PM MST
Where
Quay County, (Tcc)tucumcari Arpt
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.180, -103.600

An ASOS station near Tucumcari measured a 61 mph wind gust associated with strong downburst winds from nearby shower activity.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1021055, 1021056, 1021057.